TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Other European Leagues · resolved market

Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-03-22?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$201,536

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $201,536 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 370 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6d3c…d294backed No72c29,493$21,308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,185.012,06848.1%995 W · 1,073 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked No38c25,039$9,412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,627.0613050%65 W · 65 L+10.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa69d…509bbacked Yes27c19,000$5,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,130250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd829…95f9backed Yes28c15,766$4,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,375.282420.8%5 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-30.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No59c15,330$9,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,311.17,88945.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L+11.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes58c12,607$7,334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,334.1283440.8%340 W · 494 L-35.3wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ccc…f2dabacked Yes69c10,000$6,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,900333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.35per pick69cpaid-51.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked No74c7,938$5,874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,063.782277.3%17 W · 5 L+5.4wins+0.25per pick53cpaid+53.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No66c6,570$4,317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,253.495,60442%2,356 W · 3,248 L+75.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc521…b46abacked Yes31c5,294$1,627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,627.194344.2%19 W · 24 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No58c4,739$2,765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,974.772,13045.8%975 W · 1,155 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed No73c4,181$3,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,142.533745.9%17 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19cd…997abacked Yes27c4,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,080333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-47.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No73c3,468$2,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$937.542,33446.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L+14.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No71c3,403$2,427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$976.0843546.7%203 W · 232 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No71c2,500$1,775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7253754.1%20 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa445…0286backed Yes3c2,200$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7430%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6556…26d6backed Yes27c1,922$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518.9250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+101.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed No73c1,788$1,305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.766861.8%42 W · 26 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8cbc…c413backed Yes59c1,695$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+25.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Yes27c1,661$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.387439.2%29 W · 45 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+19.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes23c1,611$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3726752.2%35 W · 32 L+7.6wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+40.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No73c1,500$1,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40511855.9%66 W · 52 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2634…fa30backed Yes27c1,500$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a39…a189backed No73c1,500$1,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Yes27c1,481$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001752.9%9 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No69c1,347$931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.392,17948%1,046 W · 1,133 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed No73c1,275$931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.259255.4%51 W · 41 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No61c1,070$656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.0264143.4%278 W · 363 L+1.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe388…9da3backed Yes28c1,067$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-31.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes50c856.86$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.3463849.5%316 W · 322 L+26.8wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1653…24b0backed Yes64c851.53$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.982055%11 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7088…0086backed Yes23c800$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.19per pick38cpaid+104.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes27c740.74$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20058229.2%170 W · 412 L-19.5wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed No53c691.46$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.4417146.8%80 W · 91 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No71c594.84$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.931,44151.1%736 W · 705 L-16.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked No71c557.75$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.75850%4 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc952…1d90backed No39c512.82$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.82633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-25.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc39…1564backed No71c500$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1451770.6%12 W · 5 L+3.6wins+0.21per pick49cpaid+40.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No73c500$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1352860.7%17 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x37e6…b6a5backed Yes11c499.99$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551526.7%4 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick21cpaid+40.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed No72c470$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.49058.9%53 W · 37 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x65f2…c6f5backed Yes27c466.67$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick29cpaid+34%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0e3…37fabacked Yes30c466.4$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.874254.8%23 W · 19 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa89e…431dbacked Yes27c444.44$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick30cpaid-33.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed Yes26c437$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.6210345.6%47 W · 56 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes24c436.78$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.4238147.5%181 W · 200 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd76…b935backed Yes27c430.99$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.375742.1%24 W · 33 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes42c420$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.6851140.9%209 W · 302 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No70c419.92$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.1898653.2%525 W · 461 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf18…efefbacked Yes27c402.04$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked No73c400$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1081952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb20c…45d0backed Yes27c381.91$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10320%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed No53c377.11$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.7418940.2%76 W · 113 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes47c375.09$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.1171533.8%242 W · 473 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-28.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d34…3406backed No70c371.43$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.431040%4 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-30.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x01c9…4386backed Yes27c363.76$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003360.6%20 W · 13 L+5.1wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+61.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No72c359.12$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.091,46748%704 W · 763 L+3.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4c7…ddc8backed Yes28c356.61$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No73c337$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.9923746.8%111 W · 126 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No73c335.9$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.1277350.2%388 W · 385 L+2.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed No70c332.98$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.893743.2%16 W · 21 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a0d…82c9backed No70c331$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed No76c324.34$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.5217836.5%65 W · 113 L-18.7wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-34%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0b5e…61b4backed Yes62c321.84$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003151.6%16 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick61cpaid-2.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x155d…3ec8backed Yes27c318.52$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$861650%8 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Yes27c316.24$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.385127.5%14 W · 37 L-4.6wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-28.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7a3c…8cddbacked Yes32c313.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick24cpaid+33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97b3…4a85backed Yes26c306.33$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.584153.7%22 W · 19 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9737…09c1backed No71c306$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.74250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-29.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52ac…02afbacked Yes27c296.3$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22d2…82d7backed Yes12c288.74$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.383534.3%12 W · 23 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-23.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf3d…fd74backed Yes62c282.56$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.193943.6%17 W · 22 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No73c282.5$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.6285250.4%429 W · 423 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked No71c277$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.333953.8%21 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe44c…f15cbacked No74c267.57$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.57977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.26per pick51cpaid+52%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8544…3d33backed No76c263.42$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.424461.4%27 W · 17 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-11.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No71c250$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.514257.7%82 W · 60 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No71c250$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.57258.3%42 W · 30 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed No77c220.78$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.788158%47 W · 34 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2bd1…0fe7backed Yes27c205.15$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.39757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No71c200$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583060%18 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe220…f862backed No31c200$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1381050%5 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+19.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f84…67efbacked Yes27c200$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5424030.4%73 W · 167 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed No72c199.99$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569359.1%55 W · 38 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed No57c196.7$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.9334158.9%201 W · 140 L+25.9wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcf95…7865backed Yes26c195.68$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.882857.1%16 W · 12 L+4.1wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+34.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2bb8…1371backed Yes31c190$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed No73c187.86$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.728665.1%56 W · 30 L+11.6wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+35.1%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes27c185.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013251.5%68 W · 64 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes40c185.1$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.839042.2%38 W · 52 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-18.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd03…df4abacked Yes22c181.34$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.547529.3%22 W · 53 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49ca…5944backed Yes28c178.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011359.3%67 W · 46 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed No71c175$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.753850%19 W · 19 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed No71c175$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.7510756.1%60 W · 47 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed No72c174$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.9613258.3%77 W · 55 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8b0…3508backed Yes27c166.67$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+25.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb996…038cbacked No70c166$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.82100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce3a…2477backed No70c166$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe840…0566backed Yes27c159.37$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.95250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.