Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-08-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf431f9212509eebe0649d76f5558287271e61b319ba41862dc6df9b9df6ac7c8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $121,960
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $131,104
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $121,960 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 181 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde31…df79backed No | 48c | 38,045$18,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,182.09 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 54c | 13,145$7,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,031.15 | 270 | 39.3%106 W · 164 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 37c | 10,727$3,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,769.32 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked No | 75c | 3,988$2,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,998.7 | 76 | 77.6%59 W · 17 L | +13.5wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked No | 76c | 3,617$2,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,746.54 | 107 | 68.2%73 W · 34 L | +15.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 61c | 3,286$2,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,008.84 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 50c | 3,218$1,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,608.92 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e78…067ebacked No | 49c | 2,789$1,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,362.35 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked No | 76c | 2,642$2,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,007.4 | 130 | 67.7%88 W · 42 L | +12.8wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a4…3c66backed Yes | 51c | 2,000$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -34%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Yes | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +418.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3859…3070backed Yes | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.99 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 51c | 1,912$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$943.62 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 50c | 1,818$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$906.34 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 62c | 1,681$1,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,038.78 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 55c | 1,551$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.97 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed No | 50c | 1,517$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.87 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x155d…3ec8backed Yes | 53c | 1,412$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.58 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +3.9wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 52c | 1,393$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.49 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…2aefbacked Yes | 31c | 1,184$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.55 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…920dbacked Yes | 57c | 1,167$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.02 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 49c | 1,077$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.99 | 192 | 50.5%97 W · 95 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed Yes | 27c | 1,066$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.68 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3824…e756backed Yes | 38c | 1,055$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.66 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +4.2wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 73c | 1,025$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.57 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Yes | 31c | 980$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.8 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…08afbacked Yes | 51c | 916.58$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.72 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +8.4wins | +0.20per pick | 41cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe053…fd08backed Yes | 77c | 889.78$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.12 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 63cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 53c | 839.52$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.28 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae6a…de5ebacked Yes | 48c | 827.27$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.27 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 63c | 814.52$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.29 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd76…b935backed Yes | 25c | 799.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.99 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.24per pick | 40cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xafd0…ebd0backed No | 60c | 789.47$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.42 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x462d…ce9bbacked Yes | 54c | 740.74$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 45c | 681.37$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.7 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1602…fbb0backed Yes | 31c | 645.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 70c | 625.79$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.85 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7150…6a8abacked Yes | 39c | 614$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.82 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +4.9wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 22c | 607.58$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.91 | 169 | 40.2%68 W · 101 L | -11.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 79c | 599.74$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.11 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Yes | 52c | 582.38$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.38 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.18per pick | 61cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Yes | 40c | 549.06$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.46 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 50c | 527.94$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.98 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 51c | 526.01$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.46 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked No | 80c | 500$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 57c | 448$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.64 | 78 | 59%46 W · 32 L | +7.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87d6…d1e7backed Yes | 52c | 399.99$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +91%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc28c…6fb2backed Yes | 49c | 381.51$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.38 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 54c | 352$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.92 | 112 | 35.7%40 W · 72 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 78c | 344.57$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.87 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd868…7f60backed Yes | 22c | 339.5$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.81 | 45 | 8.9%4 W · 41 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 47c | 332.66$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.08 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 35c | 315.42$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.17 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 54c | 313.55$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.72 | 655 | 35.6%233 W · 422 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed No | 44c | 300$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 318 | 42.1%134 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…21b4backed Yes | 52c | 299.99$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Yes | 40c | 291.2$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.75 | 84 | 63.1%53 W · 31 L | +8.0wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Yes | 56c | 284.57$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.23 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdeda…8e35backed Yes | 52c | 277.62$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.26 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 23c | 268.64$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.63 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93f9…9ccbbacked Yes | 25c | 241.26$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.57 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8709…7d3dbacked Yes | 21c | 239.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.29 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 44c | 236.98$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.97 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked No | 71c | 230$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.3 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 59c | 218.03$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.67 | 453 | 48.3%219 W · 234 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…d93abacked Yes | 31c | 217$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.73 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18b…a2c7backed Yes | 54c | 215.02$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5bc…cd69backed Yes | 52c | 211.54$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06b…3353backed Yes | 55c | 209.04$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.04 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…4f22backed Yes | 54c | 204.7$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.16 | 45 | 73.3%33 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 63c | 200.55$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.87 | 359 | 44.8%161 W · 198 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked No | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 146 | 30.1%44 W · 102 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf762…d55fbacked No | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x156e…676bbacked Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44b7…2e99backed Yes | 52c | 199.99$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +91.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 56c | 199.21$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.65 | 142 | 41.5%59 W · 83 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 66c | 199.02$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.23 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefa1…8a16backed Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…4040backed No | 52c | 195.37$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.59 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xded4…1e6dbacked Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd673…2305backed Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 41c | 182$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.76 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Yes | 47c | 180.28$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.27 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 46c | 165.73$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.01 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7088…0086backed Yes | 33c | 150$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8366…54ffbacked Yes | 43c | 146.47$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.83 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 46c | 140.92$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.54 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b2…7b9cbacked Yes | 30c | 133.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.33 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd41b…f231backed Yes | 52c | 130.77$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.77 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fb…ec4fbacked Yes | 47c | 127.12$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.12 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 49c | 127$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.23 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Yes | 53c | 125.94$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.76 | 389 | 52.7%205 W · 184 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 79c | 125$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 239 | 50.2%120 W · 119 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20d7…2485backed Yes | 48c | 124.07$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.08 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe01b…fa88backed Yes | 45c | 122.22$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.22 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 34c | 120$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.92 | 202 | 44.6%90 W · 112 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x122b…ac59backed Yes | 59c | 118.98$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.33 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…f368backed Yes | 25c | 118.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.88 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c0…c6f9backed Yes | 51c | 117.07$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.07 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-08-20?this page
- Will FC Sion vs. AFC Ajax end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Sion win on 2026-08-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.