TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will FC Sion win on 2026-08-20?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$91,207
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$117,185

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,207 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbba2…24febacked No78c25,609$19,908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,701.22100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No70c13,954$9,817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,137.212,47333.9%839 W · 1,634 L-95.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes23c6,521$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.8343344.6%193 W · 240 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes42c5,241$2,179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,178.973,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes30c3,883$1,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,174.891,03346.1%476 W · 557 L-3.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05b2…953bbacked Yes3c2,518$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.312437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4b1…d21fbacked No47c1,782$838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$944.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes22c1,584$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.2191950.9%468 W · 451 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a03…92d3backed Yes26c1,156$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.442045%9 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes25c1,119$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.641,60438.9%624 W · 980 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d92…7822backed No46c999.98$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Yes55c916.71$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003554.3%19 W · 16 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+26.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No73c897.24$654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.7381440.5%330 W · 484 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes21c882.17$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.988048.2%424 W · 456 L+17.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Yes21c871.23$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.9611657.8%67 W · 49 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Yes22c852$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.4438144.1%168 W · 213 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+20.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x422c…9840backed Yes23c850$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.54219%8 W · 34 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick25cpaid+4.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x09b0…a3b6backed No53c715$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.35066%33 W · 17 L+7.3wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+33.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9c5b…ec01backed Yes26c680.38$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.6318252.7%96 W · 86 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes22c668.89$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.6696947.5%460 W · 509 L+13.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes41c600.37$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.032,33341.7%972 W · 1,361 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes54c593.28$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.5856849.6%282 W · 286 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd970…bbbabacked No53c591$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.776973.9%51 W · 18 L+19.0wins+0.28per pick46cpaid+87.8%equal weight73+0.20 edge/pick
0xbecf…0f51backed No73c572.1$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.13259.4%19 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes22c568$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.961,02247.5%485 W · 537 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes22c568$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.961,31650.8%668 W · 648 L+33.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed Yes25c502.08$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.522128.6%6 W · 15 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x61d9…dd5abacked Yes4c500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0f8…ae2ebacked No77c431.32$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.372166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.4wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+62.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf3a3…3f10backed Yes24c408.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002433.3%8 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes22c375.17$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.2131849.4%157 W · 161 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes22c340.9$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7514443.8%63 W · 81 L-0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No75c307.65$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.566150.5%334 W · 327 L+22.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaaca…f5d5backed Yes23c299.48$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.5317443.1%75 W · 99 L-0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe053…fd08backed No77c288.74$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.7785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.22per pick63cpaid+23.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed Yes9c282.21$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.348463.1%53 W · 31 L+8.0wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Yes22c272.72$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6014744.9%66 W · 81 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4edd…ddf1backed Yes9c260.63$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.46633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-53.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed Yes26c260$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.631842.1%134 W · 184 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes11c241.26$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.3997346%448 W · 525 L-4.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0178…3f7abacked Yes20c230$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca10backed Yes23c217.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506547.7%31 W · 34 L+6.1wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+35.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3f58…d93abacked Yes20c217$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.835839.7%23 W · 35 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+26.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf762…d55fbacked No47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1064344.2%19 W · 24 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Yes22c196.42$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.5344156%247 W · 194 L+22.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed No51c184.95$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.8411650.9%59 W · 57 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4eea…8896backed Yes23c171$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.33520%1 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-41.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x884b…c480backed Yes23c130.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301540%6 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-39%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Yes45c127.33$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.8558061.9%359 W · 221 L+22.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f45…e6a7backed Yes24c125$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid+18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Yes45c115.76$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.2685260.9%519 W · 333 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6feb…c082backed Yes23c110.7$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.467146.5%33 W · 38 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa945…59fdbacked No75c109$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.251181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.21per pick60cpaid+34.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2a7e…9dc6backed Yes23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2312941.9%54 W · 75 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2064…0ab1backed No45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x87f7…8f45backed No45c98.19$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.728446.4%39 W · 45 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9cb…bd28backed Yes24c94.4$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes53c92.68$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.8553564.7%346 W · 189 L+29.1wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+8.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Yes46c84$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.8113467.9%91 W · 43 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x78c5…f623backed Yes18c77.77$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1420%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20ad…f368backed Yes23c76.79$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.663348.5%16 W · 17 L+4.0wins+0.12per pick36cpaid+32.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed Yes50c74.56$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.377269.4%50 W · 22 L+10.2wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+28.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xe432…934abacked Yes21c74$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.542748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b0a…e482backed No53c73.83$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.73348.5%16 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-13.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b09…aca6backed No54c73.45$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.45977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.24per pick54cpaid+43.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x910a…1aa7backed No76c66.43$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.942425%6 W · 18 L-3.1wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-53.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd06b…3353backed Yes54c64.81$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+14.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc8e…944ebacked No78c64.1$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.18070%56 W · 24 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick72cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked No69c61$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.9838952.7%205 W · 184 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad22…1e9fbacked Yes26c57.12$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.62837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.22per pick60cpaid-40.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7953…9fd1backed No47c56.63$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.99540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-21.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe01b…fa88backed Yes54c55.56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-29.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x974a…8efdbacked Yes21c53.81$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.22955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.15per pick41cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b04…403fbacked Yes26c53.75$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.963348.5%16 W · 17 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-21.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7b18…dd26backed No77c52.92$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.171464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+19.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe7e9…99e6backed No77c51.95$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.951752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+23.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked No77c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.627846.4%129 W · 149 L-12.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6951…66f3backed Yes26c46.15$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125145.1%23 W · 28 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93f9…9ccbbacked Yes23c43.48$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick33cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x95c8…3469backed No47c42.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.553145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a06…248abacked Yes25c42.16$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.541428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.1wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-51.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes48c41.42$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6812868%87 W · 41 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+18.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdd28…2aefbacked No52c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.22334.8%8 W · 15 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick28cpaid-11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x833c…ac24backed No78c36.74$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.216358.7%37 W · 26 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No79c36$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.7415352.9%81 W · 72 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No68c34$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.8845348.3%219 W · 234 L+0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes32c34$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8833446.7%156 W · 178 L-14.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Yes39c32.79$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9329470.1%206 W · 88 L+21.6wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+9.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No76c32$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.541,57355.7%876 W · 697 L+25.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed No74c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.86958%40 W · 29 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+9.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1ccf…99ecbacked No77c25.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.97250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed No79c22.5$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.7518056.7%102 W · 78 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick57cpaid0%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x49c5…3de7backed No76c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.75333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-56.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x962e…1d75backed Yes53c19.8$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.444168.3%28 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…7f72backed No77c19.62$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.59977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick59cpaid+45%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.