Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba8526e4bf87c26c043d7048d364508d066117c173a91f2c56a82128fdc9102c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $331,714
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $318,509
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $331,714 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 431 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde7b…5f4bbacked Yes | 52c | 48,301$24,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,997.57 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 71c | 29,447$20,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,929.1 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabca…8cd7backed Yes | 47c | 22,100$10,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,387.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 39c | 17,762$6,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,844.58 | 147 | 29.9%44 W · 103 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 46c | 16,769$7,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,680.29 | 343 | 33.5%115 W · 228 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ca…1705backed No | 65c | 16,608$10,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,857.32 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8c…e36fbacked No | 32c | 12,009$3,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,207.13 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +5.2wins | +0.35per pick | 52cpaid | +82%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 46c | 11,188$5,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,084.76 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c14…0869backed No | 43c | 10,663$4,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,029.65 | 107 | 40.2%43 W · 64 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc1…8db4backed No | 30c | 7,791$2,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,453.69 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…ebc1backed No | 38c | 6,398$2,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,939.62 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 44c | 6,245$2,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,516.87 | 136 | 25.7%35 W · 101 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x077e…06d2backed No | 48c | 5,090$2,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,646.8 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d5…8935backed No | 48c | 5,000$2,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,580 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 32c | 5,000$1,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,419.97 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed No | 32c | 4,985$1,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,366.6 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 62c | 4,800$2,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,976.99 | 315 | 34%107 W · 208 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked No | 54c | 4,580$2,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,106.79 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked No | 47c | 4,154$1,954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 47 | 23.4%11 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 55c | 4,021$2,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,211.98 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked No | 32c | 4,000$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,720 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed Yes | 71c | 4,000$2,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,840 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd24b…ef76backed Yes | 67c | 3,983$2,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,673.02 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 38c | 3,711$1,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,283.9 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff72…cdaabacked Yes | 66c | 3,700$2,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,459 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…bfa2backed Yes | 53c | 3,104$1,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,641.72 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 47c | 3,067$1,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,431.31 | 154 | 45.5%70 W · 84 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed Yes | 55c | 2,748$1,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,508.33 | 244 | 33.2%81 W · 163 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddae…3242backed Yes | 5c | 2,689$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 50c | 2,667$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,326.98 | 154 | 31.2%48 W · 106 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked No | 52c | 2,644$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,269.21 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57c5…07aabacked No | 34c | 2,447$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,615.62 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1f…c855backed Yes | 48c | 2,419$1,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,161.24 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed Yes | 56c | 2,400$1,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,353.75 | 211 | 61.1%129 W · 82 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbebe…72e1backed Yes | 70c | 2,400$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,679.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 44c | 2,022$894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,128.3 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9efd…ad00backed No | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13ac…2c1abacked No | 50c | 1,928$961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.29 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 46c | 1,659$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97af…9bc6backed No | 43c | 1,653$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933.89 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +40%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 49c | 1,603$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.93 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fb…19dcbacked Yes | 63c | 1,600$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9797…c193backed Yes | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7d…aa8dbacked No | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d66…928fbacked No | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -50%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed11…10bebacked Yes | 51c | 1,355$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.02 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 43c | 1,341$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.19 | 171 | 40.4%69 W · 102 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93a9…0b88backed No | 55c | 1,314$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.92 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e3…6677backed Yes | 11c | 1,300$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 44c | 1,277$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.71 | 332 | 38.6%128 W · 204 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x100a…0919backed No | 36c | 1,236$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.04 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe391…eea1backed Yes | 32c | 1,233$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacad…3480backed Yes | 72c | 1,227$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 34c | 1,177$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.84 | 83 | 32.5%27 W · 56 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f1…d87bbacked No | 34c | 1,165$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.48 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd62…6a7ebacked Yes | 23c | 1,136$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.2 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6b…6e11backed No | 53c | 1,107$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed Yes | 60c | 1,100$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 48c | 1,096$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.99 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Yes | 15c | 1,064$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.95 | 51 | 11.8%6 W · 45 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f71…4e83backed Yes | 12c | 1,048$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked No | 41c | 1,047$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.51 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed No | 45c | 1,042$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.45 | 180 | 41.1%74 W · 106 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72e2…6610backed Yes | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb5a…8008backed Yes | 68c | 1,013$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eae…5e6dbacked No | 47c | 1,010$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.92 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f37…1410backed No | 44c | 1,000$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.7 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86c1…cacebacked No | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdaf…eff6backed Yes | 53c | 1,000$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.5 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…535bbacked Yes | 3c | 1,000$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2282…73e8backed Yes | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac0…55f3backed No | 52c | 994.25$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.24 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa4…cd4ebacked Yes | 8c | 915.6$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked No | 41c | 900$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.18 | 93 | 26.9%25 W · 68 L | -8.2wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4bed…7574backed Yes | 69c | 899.43$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 18c | 868.65$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.33 | 182 | 37.4%68 W · 114 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1ac6backed Yes | 33c | 846$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.42 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0778…73d1backed No | 79c | 837.23$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.62 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0336…4bb0backed Yes | 46c | 823.54$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.83 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a9…516abacked No | 49c | 806$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e9…bdacbacked No | 33c | 800.03$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.04 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb1…acc2backed Yes | 23c | 800$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 65c | 742.53$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.49 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa696…1d24backed Yes | 47c | 732.98$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.17 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc88e…67f2backed No | 36c | 717.25$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09b4…494bbacked No | 50c | 700$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 43c | 670.7$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.6 | 334 | 21.9%73 W · 261 L | -23.8wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x78a1…e6bdbacked Yes | 12c | 667$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.04 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b28…15dfbacked No | 39c | 634.5$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.04 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 50c | 613$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.55 | 196 | 31.1%61 W · 135 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 43c | 612$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.78 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked No | 32c | 605.28$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.96 | 165 | 44.2%73 W · 92 L | +10.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05ac…6d71backed Yes | 65c | 600$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 70cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0a53…7a6fbacked No | 47c | 600$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf92c…87f7backed No | 41c | 579.95$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.17 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f6…0e74backed No | 35c | 569.54$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.9 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked No | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.04 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3e…ff11backed Yes | 2c | 563.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked No | 48c | 557$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.53 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…ee64backed No | 49c | 555$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.05 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?this page
- Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?Yes won
- Will Jaleel Amador be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?No won
- Will James Felton Keith be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?No won
- Will Matt Miller be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?No won
- Will Oscar Romero be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.