Premier League · resolved market
Millwall FC vs. Norwich City FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf1afd0e36bb16e8149d21acfa11d1a2b972c912ac75afcf809d5356d798e4134
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,213
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,498
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,213 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa797…dedebacked Yes | 55c | 5,868$3,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,227.29 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 45c | 4,515$2,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,474.19 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 67c | 3,127$2,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044.42 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Yes | 31c | 1,508$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.55 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 31c | 1,413$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.04 | 740 | 56.9%421 W · 319 L | +46.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 46c | 1,122$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.1 | 452 | 49.6%224 W · 228 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 71c | 344.71$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.28 | 1,615 | 34.9%564 W · 1,051 L | -28.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfff3…38a6backed Yes | 27c | 300$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 44c | 205.12$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.6 | 541 | 32.9%178 W · 363 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…3c2bbacked Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed Yes | 55c | 144.58$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.08 | 214 | 48.6%104 W · 110 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 41c | 143.07$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.41 | 157 | 40.1%63 W · 94 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Yes | 31c | 108.48$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.63 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Yes | 59c | 107.47$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.41 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | -9.8wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe288…ecaebacked Yes | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed No | 69c | 93.51$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.99 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -6.2wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 44c | 90.66$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.58 | 578 | 47.8%276 W · 302 L | +18.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe76c…1c3cbacked Yes | 56c | 89.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 52c | 89.25$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.48 | 953 | 32.5%310 W · 643 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 55c | 87.82$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.47 | 532 | 40%213 W · 319 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 45c | 70.82$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.95 | 1,208 | 42.2%510 W · 698 L | -27.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Yes | 31c | 70$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.97 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed No | 43c | 63.98$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.47 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed No | 58c | 48.81$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked No | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.05 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b8…4a59backed Yes | 59c | 35.59$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3a…e85dbacked No | 46c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.23 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -34%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x788e…e086backed Yes | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Yes | 57c | 21.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 79 | 31.6%25 W · 54 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7088…0086backed No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Millwall FC vs. Norwich City FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Millwall FC vs. Norwich City FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Millwall FC vs. Norwich City FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Millwall FC vs. Norwich City FC: Millwall FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Millwall FC vs. Norwich City FC: Millwall FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Millwall FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Millwall FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Millwall FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Millwall FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Millwall FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Millwall FC (-1.5)Millwall FC won
- Spread: Millwall FC (-2.5)Millwall FC won
- Spread: Norwich City FC (-1.5)Millwall FC won
- Spread: Norwich City FC (-2.5)Millwall FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.