Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Millwall FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0cbd2880332554a97b98a94173a271a6b545cb71e64cc0d306cf9af0d0b2055a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Millwall FCof Millwall FC, Norwich City FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,147
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,864
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,147 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Norwich City FC | 19c | 2,213$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.53 | 740 | 56.9%421 W · 319 L | +46.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Millwall FC | 66c | 1,868$1,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.67 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Norwich City FC | 27c | 1,034$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.55 | 953 | 32.5%310 W · 643 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…b629backed Millwall FC | 43c | 969.34$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.14 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +87.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x851b…961ebacked Millwall FC | 34c | 618.57$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.57 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03c9…d8c1backed Millwall FC | 43c | 391$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.87 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.44per pick | 39cpaid | +159.3%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Norwich City FC | 61c | 290.34$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.88 | 755 | 42.3%319 W · 436 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Millwall FC | 18c | 217$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.94 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | +13.5wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9a34…a28bbacked Millwall FC | 21c | 180.71$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.81 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Norwich City FC | 66c | 176.51$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.01 | 452 | 49.6%224 W · 228 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x884b…c480backed Millwall FC | 21c | 142.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.86 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +98.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Norwich City FC | 20c | 110$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Norwich City FC | 55c | 98.93$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.28 | 541 | 32.9%178 W · 363 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Norwich City FC | 61c | 98.09$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.56 | 136 | 33.8%46 W · 90 L | -9.9wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Norwich City FC | 18c | 93.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda34…b1debacked Millwall FC | 63c | 78.14$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Millwall FC | 47c | 75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.75 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Millwall FC | 75c | 37.85$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.62 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Millwall FC | 46c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 70 | 37.1%26 W · 44 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Norwich City FC | 61c | 20.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 1,615 | 34.9%564 W · 1,051 L | -28.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Millwall FC (-1.5)this page
- Millwall FC vs. Norwich City FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Millwall FC vs. Norwich City FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Millwall FC vs. Norwich City FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Millwall FC vs. Norwich City FC: Millwall FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Millwall FC vs. Norwich City FC: Millwall FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Millwall FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Millwall FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Millwall FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Millwall FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Millwall FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Millwall FC (-2.5)Millwall FC won
- Spread: Norwich City FC (-1.5)Millwall FC won
- Spread: Norwich City FC (-2.5)Millwall FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.