Premier League · resolved market
Millwall FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0a03eba04419bde4e5574925753b0bd4f9f98a7092cd58025870ddc2a0376439
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,125
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,223
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,125 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 50c | 7,593$3,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,766.09 | 768 | 42.6%327 W · 441 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 45c | 7,371$3,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,332.83 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa797…dedebacked Over | 46c | 6,568$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,567.97 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x361b…74febacked Over | 53c | 5,500$2,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,585.11 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Under | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 47c | 3,511$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,649.99 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -4.7wins | -0.21per pick | 53cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 34c | 2,438$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.86 | 1,012 | 33.2%336 W · 676 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 49c | 2,040$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.6 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78e3…2bcabacked Under | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -5.2wins | -0.18per pick | 39cpaid | -47%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Over | 74c | 1,709$1,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.22 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 47c | 1,586$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 52c | 1,103$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.04 | 232 | 43.5%101 W · 131 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 47c | 700$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331 | 301 | 49.5%149 W · 152 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…0dedbacked Over | 53c | 571.52$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.22 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +3.9wins | +0.22per pick | 56cpaid | +48%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 52c | 456.35$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.79 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Under | 36c | 279.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 65c | 257.71$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.18 | 226 | 44.2%100 W · 126 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over | 53c | 234.89$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.4 | 209 | 56%117 W · 92 L | +15.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed Over | 48c | 199.98$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.99 | 216 | 48.6%105 W · 111 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cf…2224backed Under | 52c | 194.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 49c | 194.05$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.26 | 136 | 33.8%46 W · 90 L | -9.9wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 52c | 172.6$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.22 | 140 | 55%77 W · 63 L | +18.4wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 47c | 152.99$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.5 | 556 | 54.9%305 W · 251 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 66c | 150.8$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.02 | 578 | 33%191 W · 387 L | -29.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x425e…ecfabacked Over | 53c | 121.66$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 50c | 112.02$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.8 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | +21.4wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 48c | 99.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 154 | 44.8%69 W · 85 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 48c | 90.38$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.41 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2889…edcfbacked Over | 52c | 80.59$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.68 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…b506backed Under | 46c | 79.17$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.75 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Under | 48c | 78.96$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.9 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 52c | 73.98$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.51 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Over | 51c | 65.3$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.74 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Under | 50c | 64$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x056b…5a03backed Under | 49c | 62.66$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.57 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 52c | 53.1$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.49 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 121 | 39.7%48 W · 73 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 50c | 49.93$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.83 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 51c | 47.86$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.35 | 592 | 47.6%282 W · 310 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 44c | 45.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.42 | 732 | 58.5%428 W · 304 L | +46.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x65ee…3240backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d9…1059backed Over | 51c | 39.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.48 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcd2…ce8bbacked Over | 44c | 34.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 52c | 33.67$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.16 | 886 | 35.8%317 W · 569 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f78…3546backed Over | 50c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 50c | 31.96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.07 | 284 | 56.7%161 W · 123 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c2…190dbacked Over | 65c | 30.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x164c…1de0backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8613…2f76backed Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 408 | 21.8%89 W · 319 L | -53.7wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7809…6600backed Over | 54c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.97 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +40%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked Under | 49c | 27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Over | 51c | 26.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 118 | 44.9%53 W · 65 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a85…e543backed Under | 51c | 25.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Under | 48c | 24.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 49c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 605 | 57.5%348 W · 257 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0011…4333backed Over | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 58c | 18.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 93 | 58.1%54 W · 39 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 56c | 18.11$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 96 | 60.4%58 W · 38 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 56c | 18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Millwall FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Millwall FC vs. Norwich City FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Millwall FC vs. Norwich City FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Millwall FC vs. Norwich City FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Millwall FC vs. Norwich City FC: Millwall FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Millwall FC vs. Norwich City FC: Millwall FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Millwall FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Millwall FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Millwall FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Millwall FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Millwall FC (-1.5)Millwall FC won
- Spread: Millwall FC (-2.5)Millwall FC won
- Spread: Norwich City FC (-1.5)Millwall FC won
- Spread: Norwich City FC (-2.5)Millwall FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.