Premier League · resolved market
Millwall FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2706e9813c4b18f683117af06fa63d3d3521e29112efddc9fc8a59bb3c893b1b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,205
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,076
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,205 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0ee4…276fbacked Under | 71c | 10,000$7,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,900 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 63c | 9,231$5,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,408.3 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 29c | 3,448$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.92 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 29c | 2,214$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642 | 886 | 35.8%317 W · 569 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Under | 44c | 1,955$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,095.11 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 24c | 1,852$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.06 | 768 | 42.6%327 W · 441 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 64c | 1,828$1,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.03 | 1,012 | 33.2%336 W · 676 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Over | 29c | 1,724$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.96 | 173 | 39.9%69 W · 104 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 29c | 1,377$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.33 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 29c | 1,083$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.97 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd2…7f85backed Under | 73c | 958.9$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Under | 68c | 735.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.29 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 32c | 728.98$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.16 | 489 | 50.1%245 W · 244 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 18c | 661.82$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.15 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 53c | 480$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.4 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 22c | 445.58$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.12 | 578 | 33%191 W · 387 L | -29.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…0dedbacked Under | 74c | 405.41$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.41 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +3.9wins | +0.22per pick | 56cpaid | +48%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 55c | 350$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.5 | 773 | 36.4%281 W · 492 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 63c | 259.83$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.79 | 93 | 58.1%54 W · 39 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 63c | 256.78$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.97 | 96 | 60.4%58 W · 38 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 29c | 244.08$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.74 | 141 | 44%62 W · 79 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 21c | 236.17$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.63 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 46c | 216.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.82 | 721 | 42.7%308 W · 413 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 63c | 216$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.48 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 61c | 211$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.49 | 296 | 43.6%129 W · 167 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 62c | 179.13$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.3 | 284 | 56.7%161 W · 123 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Under | 61c | 154.5$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.81 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 29c | 85$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.65 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 76c | 73.49$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.65 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -10.8wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…1d75backed Under | 63c | 43.87$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.28 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Under | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 408 | 21.8%89 W · 319 L | -53.7wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Over | 29c | 39.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under | 78c | 37$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Under | 70c | 33.07$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.92 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd97…ae50backed Under | 65c | 21.62$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.18per pick | 69cpaid | +27%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Under | 62c | 18.52$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 220 | 57.7%127 W · 93 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 71c | 15.04$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.36 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Millwall FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Millwall FC vs. Norwich City FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Millwall FC vs. Norwich City FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Millwall FC vs. Norwich City FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Millwall FC vs. Norwich City FC: Millwall FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Millwall FC vs. Norwich City FC: Millwall FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Millwall FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Millwall FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Millwall FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Millwall FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Millwall FC (-1.5)Millwall FC won
- Spread: Millwall FC (-2.5)Millwall FC won
- Spread: Norwich City FC (-1.5)Millwall FC won
- Spread: Norwich City FC (-2.5)Millwall FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.