La Liga · resolved market
Will UD Almería win on 2026-01-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2287f48cd1e9a6c3be454d4446aa83147089214dd14b7337cab375fcb4f887c6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $225,329
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $229,179
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $225,329 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Yes | 42c | 204,490$85,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85,885.77 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 58c | 149,518$86,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62,797.56 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked No | 58c | 48,868$28,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,524.67 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 58c | 2,699$1,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.14 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07bc…393abacked No | 58c | 1,500$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked No | 59c | 1,250$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.5 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed No | 60c | 999.72$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.72 | 104 | 37.5%39 W · 65 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 58c | 985.78$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.4 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked No | 58c | 786.98$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.72 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ece…ef2fbacked No | 68c | 735.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 19c | 700.65$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.02 | 490 | 57.1%280 W · 210 L | +26.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 40c | 483.44$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.73 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f2…d776backed Yes | 26c | 400$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 69 | 33.3%23 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5b…1008backed Yes | 9c | 386.83$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…8a89backed No | 56c | 257.12$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.13 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 35c | 256.85$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.49 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b9…948abacked Yes | 33c | 242.42$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Yes | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked No | 58c | 226.45$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.78 | 84 | 33.3%28 W · 56 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed Yes | 34c | 179.41$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +7.9wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 60c | 173.18$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.32 | 240 | 47.9%115 W · 125 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Yes | 25c | 168.32$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.08 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 62c | 166.86$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.47 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecc…6b37backed No | 60c | 155$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.15 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Yes | 42c | 150.36$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.15 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50fc…ba9abacked No | 56c | 140$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.08 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Yes | 45c | 133.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | -11.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xedc6…314abacked No | 60c | 133.33$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 16c | 131.57$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.32 | 156 | 43.6%68 W · 88 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 69c | 129.51$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.94 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Yes | 32c | 128.13$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 56c | 122.01$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.48 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 44c | 113.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 262 | 41.2%108 W · 154 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa64b…1e4bbacked Yes | 25c | 113.68$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.42 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff2…d10fbacked No | 68c | 110$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42bf…30f7backed Yes | 46c | 106.52$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…deffbacked Yes | 48c | 103.18$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Yes | 43c | 98.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.25 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d92…68e8backed Yes | 46c | 97.83$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 265 | 45.3%120 W · 145 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed Yes | 44c | 88.64$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.99 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -5.7wins | -0.20per pick | 61cpaid | -34%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yes | 40c | 84.79$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.08 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed No | 59c | 83.42$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -5.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x92dc…1e05backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6d…c504backed No | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93f2…da0ebacked Yes | 42c | 80.95$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Yes | 42c | 76.19$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23d4…5607backed Yes | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…5590backed No | 59c | 74.61$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.59 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b90…710fbacked Yes | 18c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed No | 59c | 55$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…f272backed Yes | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c0…07d8backed No | 55c | 49$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2d…379dbacked Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3552…0d65backed Yes | 24c | 45.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4790…2dd7backed No | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked No | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.3 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +4.9wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Yes | 45c | 39.85$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.01 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…d7d8backed Yes | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc981…a53dbacked No | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 73c | 33.24$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.83 | 572 | 52.1%298 W · 274 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf0…d51fbacked No | 57c | 32.47$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x234c…b85fbacked No | 60c | 32.4$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcaad…b5a9backed Yes | 43c | 29.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf9…1abfbacked No | 59c | 28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.48 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4463…f3d0backed Yes | 47c | 26.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.28per pick | 46cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2b02…399dbacked No | 60c | 19.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…dce6backed No | 55c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b00…cfbdbacked No | 60c | 17.23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.89 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…6d49backed No | 60c | 16.75$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will UD Almería win on 2026-01-10?this page
- Will CD Mirandés vs. UD Almería end in a draw?Yes won
- Will CD Mirandés win on 2026-01-10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.