La Liga · resolved market
Will CD Mirandés win on 2026-01-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e22eafe1d000404c4437c5ee1a5c710f7845d6329d90c39cb3256c7ee8d2ff2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,908
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,527
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,908 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 26c | 6,069$1,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,567.01 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 48c | 4,136$1,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,966.54 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a09…db1cbacked No | 75c | 4,045$3,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.3 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked No | 49c | 3,520$1,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,795.15 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…85bbbacked No | 72c | 1,388$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.64 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed No | 74c | 1,300$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 73c | 773$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.43 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 52c | 506.64$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.7 | 490 | 57.1%280 W · 210 L | +26.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 33c | 500$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48f9…cd95backed No | 71c | 500$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 75cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 72c | 402.75$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 110 | 37.3%41 W · 69 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Yes | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | -11.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked No | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 28c | 202.11$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.59 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked No | 51c | 196.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.27 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 46c | 173.92$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.13 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked No | 54c | 172.08$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.62 | 84 | 33.3%28 W · 56 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed No | 52c | 168.32$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.79 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 47c | 165.78$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.68 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…592fbacked Yes | 49c | 153.69$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec0…5d42backed Yes | 10c | 101.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Yes | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 424 | 58%246 W · 178 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 40c | 94.67$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.51 | 299 | 46.5%139 W · 160 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93e2…51e8backed Yes | 69c | 92.75$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60b4…c103backed Yes | 68c | 82.46$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed No | 72c | 72.99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.44 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3559…ee15backed Yes | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 40c | 65.54$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.38 | 156 | 43.6%68 W · 88 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 71c | 53.5$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.52 | 319 | 52.4%167 W · 152 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9443…dd60backed Yes | 75c | 53.46$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 70cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 28c | 51.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 129 | 25.6%33 W · 96 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed No | 39c | 51.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.06 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked No | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 60c | 36.54$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.59 | 127 | 44.1%56 W · 71 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed No | 51c | 36.22$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.75 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -5.7wins | -0.20per pick | 61cpaid | -34%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…3a51backed Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Yes | 51c | 27.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 307 | 49.2%151 W · 156 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf9…1abfbacked No | 71c | 26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7563…1fb3backed No | 73c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…6535backed Yes | 77c | 19.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CD Mirandés win on 2026-01-10?this page
- Will CD Mirandés vs. UD Almería end in a draw?Yes won
- Will UD Almería win on 2026-01-10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.