La Liga · resolved market
Will CD Mirandés vs. UD Almería end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x215751555afffed09f12944767e29db8f33619680cc0154e1a2f6423777e638e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,064
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $72,666
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,064 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd7c1…b554backed No | 1c | 39,934$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.31 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -36%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 71c | 1,355$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.89 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 47c | 526.87$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.33 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 29c | 482.76$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.76 | 144 | 27.8%40 W · 104 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 29c | 473.9$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335 | 490 | 57.1%280 W · 210 L | +26.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 25c | 399.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 232 | 55.6%129 W · 103 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 75c | 170.49$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.62 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 41c | 163.05$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.45 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Yes | 29c | 153.51$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.99 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb071…4d2ebacked No | 73c | 151.72$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Yes | 29c | 137.93$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.93 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 69c | 133.63$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.85 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 75c | 132$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.21 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 70c | 99.21$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.41 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23d4…5607backed Yes | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.29 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa64b…1e4bbacked Yes | 29c | 81.24$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.72 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 42c | 62.89$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 596 | 55.4%330 W · 266 L | +31.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 28c | 42.31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.34 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed No | 73c | 31.47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.97 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -5.7wins | -0.20per pick | 61cpaid | -34%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Yes | 75c | 28.36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.09 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | -11.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…9305backed No | 72c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.7wins | -0.22per pick | 57cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 77c | 24.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 240 | 47.9%115 W · 125 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed No | 70c | 21.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed No | 71c | 20.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a8…642bbacked No | 78c | 19.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 77cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CD Mirandés vs. UD Almería end in a draw?this page
- Will CD Mirandés win on 2026-01-10?No won
- Will UD Almería win on 2026-01-10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.