La Liga · resolved market
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-02-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3f965bb6dd7ac522a3ae50fe4c149ef0f3705175dbfd1ca6f96961b42627aa45
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $160,913
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $167,842
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $160,913 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 200 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8627…5382backed Yes | 39c | 20,000$7,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,788.46 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1c…6535backed Yes | 38c | 10,000$3,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,749.97 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 61c | 9,331$5,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,607.64 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed No | 40c | 8,522$3,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,113.79 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed No | 63c | 7,937$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,936.51 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 62c | 7,000$4,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,660 | 241 | 47.7%115 W · 126 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes | 39c | 6,372$2,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,485.08 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 61c | 4,303$2,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,678.17 | 504 | 49.8%251 W · 253 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 62c | 3,511$2,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,346.4 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed Yes | 38c | 3,041$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155.18 | 167 | 40.1%67 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 62c | 3,000$1,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b7…7ffabacked Yes | 38c | 2,826$1,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed No | 61c | 2,810$1,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,096.02 | 192 | 55.2%106 W · 86 L | +11.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46e6…d4cdbacked No | 58c | 2,696$1,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,142.12 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 44c | 2,406$1,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,339.81 | 213 | 22.1%47 W · 166 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Yes | 70c | 2,333$1,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,632.8 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed No | 32c | 1,938$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,317.5 | 208 | 43.3%90 W · 118 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…b6bdbacked Yes | 72c | 1,906$1,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,369 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 60c | 1,808$1,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,091.94 | 608 | 32.4%197 W · 411 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 56c | 1,623$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.75 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d0…9391backed No | 62c | 1,593$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.34 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +21%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed No | 63c | 1,587$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.3 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 61c | 1,150$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.41 | 501 | 49.5%248 W · 253 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed No | 47c | 1,117$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.9 | 137 | 28.5%39 W · 98 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 32c | 1,102$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.75 | 400 | 33.5%134 W · 266 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 18c | 1,087$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 237 | 27%64 W · 173 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 42c | 1,042$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.58 | 839 | 39.8%334 W · 505 L | -21.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 38c | 1,010$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.7 | 223 | 35%78 W · 145 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x891a…f3bebacked Yes | 25c | 1,003$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 191 | 30.4%58 W · 133 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7c…958ebacked No | 52c | 999.99$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482 | 113 | 36.3%41 W · 72 L | +9.9wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +450.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 38c | 858.34$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.16 | 532 | 42.3%225 W · 307 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 46c | 850$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 38c | 839.47$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319 | 494 | 47%232 W · 262 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 52c | 775.03$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.1 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed Yes | 38c | 754.93$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.87 | 98 | 40.8%40 W · 58 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed No | 62c | 750$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 59c | 730.32$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.34 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…5286backed Yes | 35c | 600$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 159 | 40.3%64 W · 95 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86be…4490backed No | 62c | 590.32$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.32 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 62c | 524$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.12 | 204 | 49.5%101 W · 103 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Yes | 38c | 519.75$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe271…1570backed Yes | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3999…c2bbbacked Yes | 39c | 507.69$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 61c | 500$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.67 | 428 | 51.4%220 W · 208 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f07…0170backed No | 31c | 495.31$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.76 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa62d…92e0backed Yes | 39c | 461.54$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 62 | 22.6%14 W · 48 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42ce…bdcfbacked Yes | 22c | 459.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 65c | 422.76$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.9 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 31c | 400$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xede1…54cbbacked Yes | 38c | 394.74$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 65c | 367$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.45 | 196 | 62.8%123 W · 73 L | +20.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 38c | 366$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.08 | 351 | 48.4%170 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…dea4backed Yes | 16c | 363.54$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.08 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 31cpaid | -82.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 58c | 354.51$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.19 | 596 | 55.4%330 W · 266 L | +31.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ad…8c85backed No | 63c | 350$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +75.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed6f…2378backed Yes | 38c | 350$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked No | 61c | 348.19$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.47 | 213 | 55.9%119 W · 94 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 71c | 344.28$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.44 | 125 | 53.6%67 W · 58 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 61c | 336.25$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.05 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…8882backed No | 49c | 324.58$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.91 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Yes | 77c | 314$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.23 | 154 | 42.2%65 W · 89 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 38c | 300$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked No | 62c | 300$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 239 | 47.7%114 W · 125 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5675…f99cbacked Yes | 39c | 300$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed No | 62c | 293$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.34 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes | 69c | 288.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 231 | 52.8%122 W · 109 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d15…7a34backed Yes | 38c | 268.42$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Yes | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 110 | 37.3%41 W · 69 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb110…0ad1backed Yes | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98e0…bf01backed No | 78c | 256.18$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.18 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…6941backed No | 65c | 255$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.28 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Yes | 39c | 250$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9512…a3d7backed No | 55c | 218.75$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.75 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc29a…70b1backed Yes | 38c | 217.05$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.48 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9279…ccf1backed No | 63c | 213.49$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Yes | 57c | 209$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.48 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26b1…c3ddbacked Yes | 38c | 200.48$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.18 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe519…2f48backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92e9…8759backed No | 63c | 198.41$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x570c…3fb3backed Yes | 38c | 194.85$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3798…c20ebacked Yes | 38c | 190.5$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.39 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 37c | 182.4$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.49 | 481 | 53.6%258 W · 223 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29bf…08a1backed Yes | 19c | 179.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 125 | 38.4%48 W · 77 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8082…4d66backed Yes | 30c | 172.7$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc85f…15f8backed No | 77c | 166.99$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.41 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…9e23backed Yes | 20c | 160$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 158 | 32.9%52 W · 106 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed No | 34c | 151$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.34 | 152 | 46.1%70 W · 82 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f12…1937backed Yes | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a55…c349backed Yes | 52c | 135.93$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaaa…f91dbacked Yes | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01d7…5fd2backed No | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -8.1wins | -0.16per pick | 68cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xef88…29a3backed Yes | 68c | 126.85$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.7 | 46 | 76.1%35 W · 11 L | +8.8wins | +0.19per pick | 57cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x565b…fa9bbacked Yes | 25c | 120.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes | 19c | 117.88$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.92 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe968…de6fbacked No | 62c | 117.53$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked No | 34c | 115$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.48 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 77c | 113.78$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.17 | 616 | 57.8%356 W · 260 L | +42.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c1…185cbacked Yes | 37c | 107$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe252…2071backed Yes | 59c | 101.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.9 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-02-28?this page
- Will Athletic Club win on 2026-02-28?No won
- Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.