TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$126,208
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$147,181

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $126,208 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x37a3…2784backed No0c19,050$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0530%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8627…5382backed No70c15,000$10,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,5003158.1%18 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf053…3939backed Yes70c11,944$8,354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,589.772166.7%14 W · 7 L-0.1wins0.00per pick67cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes30c7,881$2,365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,515.612,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No35c6,802$2,401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,400.933,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No43c5,150$2,196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,196.264,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes30c4,889$1,468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,421.831,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46e6…d4cdbacked Yes64c4,624$2,965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,659.1822753.3%121 W · 106 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+19.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x19e2…ce3cbacked Yes31c4,600$1,426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,173.8915034.7%52 W · 98 L+0.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes31c3,595$1,114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,480.5410848.1%52 W · 56 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+18.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No69c3,485$2,392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,391.6592254.1%499 W · 423 L+1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3ba…e793backed Yes57c3,134$1,773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,360.979557.9%55 W · 40 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c5d…2d94backed No69c2,930$2,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,021.7250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick70cpaid-28.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed Yes30c2,746$824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,922.153053.3%16 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed No70c2,333$1,633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,632.784238.1%16 W · 26 L-4.2wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-28.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Yes30c2,045$621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,424.1215150.3%76 W · 75 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No45c1,515$683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$683.461,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No7c1,510$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.0721322.1%47 W · 166 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-32.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Yes23c1,499$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,154.415044.7%67 W · 83 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…4e11backed No69c1,459$1,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,006.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0df…8f41backed No67c1,361$911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$910.694463.6%28 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe648…b79abacked Yes32c1,142$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$778.165232.7%17 W · 35 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No42c1,099$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.4383939.8%334 W · 505 L-21.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No69c1,015$701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.5464046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bba…cf14backed No70c971.86$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.34452.3%23 W · 21 L-7.5wins-0.17per pick69cpaid-25.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xaaaf…620abacked No69c900$621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No31c817.98$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.721,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbb9…fd83backed Yes73c761.67$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.83475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No74c678.01$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.5449057.1%280 W · 210 L+26.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x01c9…4386backed Yes67c667.16$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.165151%26 W · 25 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5f12…1937backed Yes24c625.42$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.374526.7%12 W · 33 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick28cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No39c588.64$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.760832.4%197 W · 411 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Yes31c579.16$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.1620843.3%90 W · 118 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5b7…7ffabacked No70c577.14$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed No75c546.09$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.1741147.9%197 W · 214 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes45c441.93$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.9323152.8%122 W · 109 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x80da…2086backed Yes31c425.81$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.813622.2%8 W · 28 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-31.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Yes24c416.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.674235.7%15 W · 27 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-8.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4512…5d41backed Yes25c400$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3007838.5%30 W · 48 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+18.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7014…41eebacked Yes27c400$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2921145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+18.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No33c393$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.3940033.5%134 W · 266 L-27.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbc57…f5f4backed Yes53c377.42$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.421050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+18.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb630…d769backed No3c375$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea99…f13ebacked No65c359$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.35757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed Yes31c355.74$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.465230.8%16 W · 36 L-0.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9271…a28abacked Yes31c343$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.679634.4%33 W · 63 L-8.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed No41c326$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.9315444.8%69 W · 85 L+0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe85f…7f69backed Yes31c322.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.582740.7%11 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes29c319.66$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.0513728.5%39 W · 98 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa198…9249backed No69c310.49$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No69c300.24$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.1732645.4%148 W · 178 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68c0…7e68backed Yes31c297.13$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.021338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87d6…8076backed Yes70c293.21$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.966100%6 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+40.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfa83…4965backed Yes31c290.32$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.321136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-24.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x806b…5cd8backed Yes31c290.32$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.321154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick58cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes30c250$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17548153.6%258 W · 223 L+16.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Yes25c249.91$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.2218842%79 W · 109 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2212…b427backed Yes43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.567853.8%42 W · 36 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No69c214$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.6635148.4%170 W · 181 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x093a…1b3fbacked Yes73c205.72$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.72250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-31.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b43…9e23backed Yes31c204.11$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.1115832.9%52 W · 106 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7789…14c0backed Yes30c200$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1401100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No73c200$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14661657.8%356 W · 260 L+42.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6633…dcfebacked No69c200$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1381241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bde…b181backed Yes30c200$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1401338.5%5 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick26cpaid+36.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a38…81abbacked No41c196.5$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.57955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaffe…7140backed Yes31c190$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.19237%34 W · 58 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Yes30c180$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12611636.2%42 W · 74 L-7.6wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed No47c155$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.855137.3%19 W · 32 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-16.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa580…a6febacked Yes65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.851060%6 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64a8…7bc3backed Yes65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.85837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.30per pick67cpaid-44.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x371e…0f81backed No61c146.36$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.281457.1%8 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc1b…3b5bbacked No70c142.86$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002025%5 W · 15 L-3.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-12.2%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No69c132.99$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.7683650.7%424 W · 412 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6310…0d90backed Yes77c130.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.142272.7%16 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick68cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes31c129.03$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.0311342.5%48 W · 65 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa03f…a7dabacked Yes32c118.29$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.74650%3 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+41.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e1a…d5a3backed No26c111.75$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.613225%8 W · 24 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-41.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No54c104.52$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.9259655.4%330 W · 266 L+31.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes25c104$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7814023.6%33 W · 107 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick20cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Yes31c100$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6911260.7%68 W · 44 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes31c100$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6962744.3%278 W · 349 L-2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd265…a7ecbacked No30c98.8$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.642821.4%6 W · 22 L-6.0wins-0.21per pick43cpaid-65%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x9734…8f5ebacked Yes43c93.5$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.53435.3%12 W · 22 L-3.9wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-31.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed No41c87.18$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.0822553.8%121 W · 104 L+18.6wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+27.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8e93…5da3backed Yes67c83.58$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.58450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-17.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes63c81.1$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.119652.6%103 W · 93 L-15.6wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-14.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked No76c76.39$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.4328847.6%137 W · 151 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f4d…ebdebacked No70c73.43$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.43470.6%24 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+14%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes51c71.46$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.6735145.6%160 W · 191 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8cd…e951backed No70c71$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.72181%17 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick72cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2233…f18ebacked Yes47c65.96$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3303…9895backed No70c65.9$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.13666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked No73c65$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.3812944.2%57 W · 72 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked No76c65$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.413249.2%65 W · 67 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7db0…f397backed No76c65$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.41747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x41ad…8dddbacked No26c63$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.563557.1%20 W · 15 L+9.1wins+0.26per pick31cpaid+85.1%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xba79…e944backed Yes32c62.5$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.514250.7%72 W · 70 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3435…a117backed Yes32c59.66$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.577623.7%18 W · 58 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9651…0488backed Yes31c58.06$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.067254.2%39 W · 33 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.