Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 April 6-12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x946fbb1271a050299536b58f88583ca5c083551fbc74953f85c0717432978758
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $421,217
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $437,907
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $421,217 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 275 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Yes | 45c | 15,211$6,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,888.05 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x691b…d550backed No | 44c | 11,244$4,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,276.57 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 60cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1f…7631backed No | 58c | 11,133$6,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,641.38 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5360…1f6fbacked Yes | 9c | 9,586$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.54 | 146 | 6.2%9 W · 137 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf34…dc6ebacked Yes | 10c | 8,917$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856.12 | 33 | 9.1%3 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | +122.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc12a…dc73backed No | 65c | 6,774$4,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,364.3 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c20…cb2cbacked No | 74c | 6,381$4,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,674.12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2708…bd47backed Yes | 5c | 5,575$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed Yes | 47c | 5,245$2,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,459.78 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 31c | 5,234$1,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,627.8 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0970…5ae4backed No | 56c | 4,208$2,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,865.63 | 280 | 21.1%59 W · 221 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e1d…d0fabacked Yes | 45c | 4,203$1,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,878.54 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a60…cc65backed Yes | 2c | 3,728$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.62 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 9cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1a…e54ebacked Yes | 4c | 3,183$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb37b…5186backed Yes | 46c | 2,956$1,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,346.51 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa898…71c1backed Yes | 32c | 2,869$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$916.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab87…bddebacked No | 40c | 2,809$1,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +148.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf632…02aabacked Yes | 2c | 2,698$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.62 | 73 | 21.9%16 W · 57 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…aa06backed Yes | 50c | 2,606$1,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,302.15 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb49…340bbacked Yes | 63c | 2,513$1,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,581.8 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4af7…2381backed Yes | 53c | 2,379$1,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,267.42 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 27cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2464…44a1backed No | 52c | 2,356$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125.69 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes | 34c | 2,095$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.39 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b16…4ae8backed Yes | 19c | 2,063$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.72 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -14%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a40…4093backed No | 57c | 2,007$1,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.94 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -72.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88b4…cf0bbacked No | 51c | 1,908$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Yes | 52c | 1,819$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.09 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f32…1532backed No | 54c | 1,786$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.04 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee2…46e1backed Yes | 25c | 1,757$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.11 | 406 | 43.3%176 W · 230 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…8916backed No | 50c | 1,503$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.68 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97bc…30cdbacked Yes | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.8 | 67 | 23.9%16 W · 51 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +111.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x846f…750ebacked No | 51c | 1,448$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.63 | 130 | 38.5%50 W · 80 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89e1…9528backed Yes | 54c | 1,412$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.53 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.35per pick | 50cpaid | -79.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb12…d1b3backed No | 57c | 1,273$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 7c | 1,200$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.66 | 212 | 6.6%14 W · 198 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5f…634dbacked No | 76c | 1,200$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaeb…a557backed No | 59c | 1,169$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x007f…58dabacked No | 55c | 1,135$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.31 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed36…e096backed Yes | 50c | 1,113$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.85 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | -7.4wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xda6b…a403backed Yes | 3c | 1,033$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.89 | 62 | 0%0 W · 62 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d97…d127backed Yes | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x771a…3659backed No | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…8748backed Yes | 26c | 937.44$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.13 | 71 | 12.7%9 W · 62 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca2…134fbacked No | 47c | 887.49$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.85 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6306…852abacked Yes | 13c | 865.97$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.58 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x726f…d8e7backed Yes | 29c | 857.82$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.94 | 113 | 30.1%34 W · 79 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc33b…2372backed Yes | 46c | 801.95$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.9 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked No | 29c | 759.08$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.48 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Yes | 4c | 749.26$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.29 | 258 | 1.2%3 W · 255 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -84%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0688…7a12backed No | 57c | 735.66$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.96 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c34…5569backed Yes | 9c | 716.81$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…5aafbacked No | 61c | 660.69$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.67 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -52%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 54c | 651.5$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.27 | 115 | 33%38 W · 77 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6dc…246ebacked No | 67c | 633$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.53 | 137 | 70.1%96 W · 41 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaea3…fe61backed Yes | 50c | 599.03$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.52 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f69…acb6backed Yes | 4c | 566.88$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.03 | 179 | 2.2%4 W · 175 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…bef0backed No | 60c | 565.44$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.18 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.17per pick | 62cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x936e…473fbacked Yes | 61c | 559.26$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 29c | 535.64$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.5 | 315 | 23.8%75 W · 240 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c69…f7b6backed Yes | 44c | 533.9$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f82…463bbacked Yes | 17c | 533.04$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.98 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c06…b98abacked Yes | 34c | 532.33$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf6…ceb2backed Yes | 55c | 510.11$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c6…927bbacked Yes | 6c | 500.92$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.68 | 167 | 2.4%4 W · 163 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…0618backed No | 49c | 492.66$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb2…25b9backed No | 57c | 469.33$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.93 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0b…4e72backed No | 40c | 456.8$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +159%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa140…5531backed No | 76c | 400$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +29%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed Yes | 33c | 396.87$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.93 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2db…6865backed No | 60c | 395.07$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.03 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe7…98e3backed Yes | 49c | 382.51$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.49 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 36cpaid | +131.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0063…7c04backed Yes | 50c | 380.99$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad8…6dbfbacked Yes | 24c | 370$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdca7…1e2bbacked Yes | 11c | 305.38$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd050…be7abacked Yes | 43c | 302.8$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.65 | 99 | 40.4%40 W · 59 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61b9…20a3backed Yes | 48c | 287.26$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.67 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa772…05efbacked No | 35c | 279.69$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.8 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +34%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x247f…6749backed No | 38c | 277.73$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.71 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.35per pick | 45cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe190…0a5dbacked Yes | 17c | 276.91$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.07 | 103 | 1.9%2 W · 101 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e9a…e7e0backed No | 77c | 275.51$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.72 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +53%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac63…1d1abacked No | 38c | 270.24$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb04f…2f22backed Yes | 14c | 265.44$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0258…13bfbacked No | 55c | 240.47$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.4 | 181 | 62.4%113 W · 68 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa748…3f28backed Yes | 16c | 237.28$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf114…8003backed Yes | 19c | 232.02$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.43 | 85 | 21.2%18 W · 67 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd187…c76cbacked Yes | 39c | 230.08$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc8…251abacked Yes | 63c | 225.41$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.01 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccb3…2eadbacked No | 57c | 221.2$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.71 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56be…17d3backed Yes | 42c | 218.21$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.65 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1137…4ed5backed Yes | 43c | 215.97$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.79 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf4c…33b5backed Yes | 45c | 209.75$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.62 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d5…8935backed Yes | 55c | 200$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc18e…b090backed No | 79c | 199.1$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.13 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | +5.8wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x807d…76dcbacked No | 60c | 197.86$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.46 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x187f…a85bbacked Yes | 39c | 197.62$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.07 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba13…57c4backed No | 59c | 196.9$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53e9…d896backed No | 69c | 191.78$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2387…ffb4backed No | 63c | 190.63$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37dc…85ccbacked No | 75c | 187.07$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.77 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6693…9454backed Yes | 15c | 181.65$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 April 6-12?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 April 6-12?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 April 6-12?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 April 6-12?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 April 6-12?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 April 6-12?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 April 6-12?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 April 6-12?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 April 6-12?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 April 6-12?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 April 6-12?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 April 6-12?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 April 6-12?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 April 6-12?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.