Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 April 6-12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c1bb58f6c0f79a101ca861f59ad6b97b4f2858ec695ff8321982d05934ce667
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $321,621
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $318,481
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $321,621 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f55…e9a4backed Yes | 4c | 23,023$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.8 | 142 | 13.4%19 W · 123 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3f…7112backed Yes | 6c | 8,953$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.38 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1f…7631backed No | 52c | 7,440$3,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,553.39 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea30…4144backed Yes | 4c | 6,354$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.86 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab7…d144backed Yes | 11c | 6,352$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.6 | 47 | 8.5%4 W · 43 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14e2…282fbacked Yes | 3c | 4,589$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.3 | 40 | 7.5%3 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 4c | 4,371$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.44 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b16…4ae8backed Yes | 3c | 3,787$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.46 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -14%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac63…1d1abacked Yes | 2c | 3,756$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19fc…b4e3backed Yes | 5c | 3,229$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.91 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -80.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4af7…2381backed Yes | 32c | 3,200$1,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,038.16 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 27cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16c9…65febacked Yes | 4c | 3,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa996…99dabacked Yes | 5c | 2,943$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.32 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b89…fdf9backed Yes | 8c | 2,922$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.77 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b64…707bbacked Yes | 1c | 2,853$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.31 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c35…feebbacked Yes | 2c | 2,770$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.93 | 27 | 0%0 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd980…5be0backed Yes | 4c | 2,459$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.18 | 112 | 10.7%12 W · 100 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +120.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a5…3396backed Yes | 2c | 2,368$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.93 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed No | 76c | 2,249$1,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.57 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Yes | 3c | 2,092$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.01 | 258 | 1.2%3 W · 255 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -84%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f69…acb6backed Yes | 4c | 2,084$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.13 | 179 | 2.2%4 W · 175 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf54c…e6ccbacked Yes | 3c | 2,020$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.59 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb37b…5186backed No | 71c | 1,980$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.43 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb49…340bbacked Yes | 2c | 1,878$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.9 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70f3…2822backed Yes | 14c | 1,877$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.85 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdde9…4bd5backed Yes | 1c | 1,733$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 128 | 8.6%11 W · 117 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5533…51babacked Yes | 1c | 1,731$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.87 | 197 | 0%0 W · 197 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c6…927bbacked Yes | 4c | 1,720$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.99 | 167 | 2.4%4 W · 163 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes | 1c | 1,692$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.55 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd769…f90cbacked Yes | 25c | 1,500$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | -13.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x238f…3015backed Yes | 2c | 1,347$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.58 | 59 | 0%0 W · 59 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 1c | 1,300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 212 | 6.6%14 W · 198 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 1c | 1,300$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 416 | 3.1%13 W · 403 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…1131backed Yes | 3c | 1,200$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +147.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0970…5ae4backed Yes | 14c | 1,025$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.46 | 280 | 21.1%59 W · 221 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58aa…a481backed No | 66c | 941.41$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.58 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b7a…8304backed No | 58c | 926.18$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.58 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4681…a224backed No | 67c | 886.86$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.66 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a16…7439backed Yes | 11c | 854.4$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.98 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06f5…7244backed Yes | 2c | 744.07$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2543…ce9bbacked Yes | 2c | 563.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77a6…4387backed Yes | 2c | 468.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81df…dbfcbacked Yes | 11c | 445$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.13 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e6…5fe5backed Yes | 3c | 437.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6869…1528backed Yes | 10c | 400$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41ae…51e0backed Yes | 33c | 397.24$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.12 | 140 | 19.3%27 W · 113 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +119.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce7b…7677backed Yes | 14c | 369.37$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.65 | 46 | 17.4%8 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed36…e096backed Yes | 51c | 364.49$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.89 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | -7.4wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc986…e7bfbacked Yes | 9c | 343.38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.44 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fac…4723backed Yes | 12c | 337.96$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.56 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 19cpaid | -89.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x726f…d8e7backed Yes | 41c | 329.14$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.14 | 113 | 30.1%34 W · 79 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2a…de7dbacked Yes | 12c | 299.98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 120 | 12.5%15 W · 105 L | -8.9wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…6ebcbacked Yes | 33c | 288.1$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.42 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -5.3wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e41…9054backed Yes | 11c | 276.1$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 19cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1137…4ed5backed No | 77c | 253.23$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.16 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…e4bcbacked Yes | 7c | 233.07$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.31 | 39 | 7.7%3 W · 36 L | -5.7wins | -0.15per pick | 22cpaid | -69%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf295…881ebacked Yes | 14c | 215.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.23 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3709…dcb5backed No | 69c | 214.43$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.47 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02bb…cb45backed Yes | 7c | 202.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe49…27a9backed Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed0…9c4fbacked Yes | 11c | 199.82$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.98 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2f…cd03backed Yes | 47c | 197.9$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.01 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecf8…5d1bbacked Yes | 12c | 197.87$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.58 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ce…6da0backed Yes | 14c | 196.55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.52 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33fb…897cbacked Yes | 29c | 194.32$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.35 | 56 | 14.3%8 W · 48 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f82…463bbacked Yes | 48c | 192.73$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.51 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…5449backed No | 68c | 179.72$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.51 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e3…c9d0backed Yes | 16c | 177.22$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.77 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe15f…93d7backed Yes | 12c | 170$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 13c | 169.36$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 89 | 19.1%17 W · 72 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e3d…bd04backed No | 79c | 166.98$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eef…040ebacked No | 67c | 149.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81d…20f7backed No | 66c | 143.3$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.13 | 100 | 67%67 W · 33 L | +7.5wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf4c…33b5backed Yes | 18c | 133.16$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d74…596bbacked Yes | 21c | 118.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.81 | 26 | 3.8%1 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 11cpaid | -92.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed No | 78c | 104.2$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.57 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 62cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3a…3b17backed Yes | 35c | 100.58$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.24per pick | 30cpaid | -76.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1258…4ac1backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf114…8003backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 85 | 21.2%18 W · 67 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2432…ae39backed Yes | 13c | 99.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 27cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x991f…d3c2backed Yes | 44c | 95.51$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.22 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ec…519dbacked Yes | 12c | 91.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2387…ffb4backed Yes | 49c | 83.39$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 18c | 79.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 315 | 23.8%75 W · 240 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6b…6360backed No | 72c | 67.98$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa813…04fbbacked No | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 99 | 64.6%64 W · 35 L | +17.0wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…8205backed Yes | 34c | 40.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbca…659bbacked Yes | 49c | 38.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf040…d11fbacked No | 76c | 37.95$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 67cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…501dbacked No | 70c | 36.55$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.83 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d7d…e1a5backed No | 62c | 30.56$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.65 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22c2…2324backed Yes | 48c | 28.22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4db…fddcbacked Yes | 56c | 24.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79f4…f558backed No | 79c | 22.79$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked No | 64c | 22.55$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd156…0688backed Yes | 46c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe61…e9c2backed No | 62c | 21.16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.04 | 24 | 79.2%19 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 65cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 April 6-12?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 April 6-12?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 April 6-12?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 April 6-12?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 April 6-12?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 April 6-12?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 April 6-12?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 April 6-12?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 April 6-12?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 April 6-12?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 April 6-12?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 April 6-12?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 April 6-12?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 April 6-12?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.