Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 April 6-12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x37a5fcf87b8bd006ca2c2584a644562695648a723916a1cdf7bfea87f62ee16e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,042
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,186
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,042 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa310…8083backed No | 0c | 10,274$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0970…5ae4backed No | 16c | 6,964$1,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,129.06 | 280 | 21.1%59 W · 221 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e1d…d0fabacked Yes | 78c | 6,638$5,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,454.13 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 44c | 2,441$1,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,357.89 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41ae…51e0backed Yes | 54c | 1,769$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.52 | 140 | 19.3%27 W · 113 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +119.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed Yes | 50c | 1,552$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.88 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4204…4637backed Yes | 61c | 1,348$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x991f…d3c2backed No | 42c | 1,152$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.5 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x771a…3659backed No | 48c | 1,000$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd769…f90cbacked Yes | 41c | 999.07$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.45 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | -13.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b16…4ae8backed Yes | 43c | 885.38$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.29 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -14%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…8916backed No | 12c | 727.73$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.33 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…7423backed Yes | 57c | 681.68$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.38 | 348 | 48.6%169 W · 179 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed No | 56c | 552.61$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.55 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef9…afacbacked Yes | 34c | 452.48$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.64 | 86 | 19.8%17 W · 69 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 61c | 403.08$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.88 | 115 | 33%38 W · 77 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57cb…bbb3backed No | 57c | 400$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed Yes | 52c | 372.35$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.73 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c06…b98abacked Yes | 66c | 287.52$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.26 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed No | 49c | 285.88$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.88 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x807d…76dcbacked No | 48c | 228.38$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.62 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x726f…d8e7backed No | 42c | 220.64$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.6 | 113 | 30.1%34 W · 79 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed No | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 258 | 1.2%3 W · 255 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -84%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1137…4ed5backed Yes | 47c | 177.99$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.68 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe65…cd92backed Yes | 55c | 168.89$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.31 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1275…1517backed Yes | 43c | 165.23$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.17 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa280…fbbabacked No | 58c | 160.94$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.01 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24a6…0e2dbacked No | 59c | 151.49$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.38 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c7…def7backed No | 63c | 150.27$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfa…9bb4backed Yes | 40c | 114.2$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.52 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd55d…7484backed No | 60c | 109.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.99 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f69…acb6backed No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 179 | 2.2%4 W · 175 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95bc…9852backed No | 45c | 99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81d…20f7backed No | 49c | 94.55$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.33 | 100 | 67%67 W · 33 L | +7.5wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…9a1abacked No | 61c | 94.38$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.57 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc18e…b090backed No | 42c | 91.65$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.49 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | +5.8wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaa59…75ecbacked No | 67c | 90.95$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.88 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc887…869bbacked No | 59c | 90$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.1 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd8…3f70backed No | 58c | 80.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.98 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6b…6360backed No | 44c | 62.68$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9b…7e7cbacked No | 23c | 62.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33fb…897cbacked Yes | 31c | 60.89$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.02 | 56 | 14.3%8 W · 48 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39d4…f1f5backed Yes | 78c | 59.26$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5e…3921backed No | 23c | 58.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 29cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9620…5052backed No | 69c | 55.38$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.21 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 67cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 40c | 55$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.82 | 83 | 27.7%23 W · 60 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf4c…33b5backed Yes | 46c | 53.35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.89 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed No | 33c | 53.03$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf1f…3537backed No | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa813…04fbbacked No | 44c | 49.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 99 | 64.6%64 W · 35 L | +17.0wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd050…be7abacked Yes | 50c | 49.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 99 | 40.4%40 W · 59 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04fa…f437backed No | 70c | 47.87$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.51 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 45cpaid | -76.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5784…0830backed No | 57c | 47.72$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.23 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf040…d11fbacked No | 51c | 35.75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.23 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 67cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e14…5adabacked No | 42c | 32.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a01…bd3fbacked No | 73c | 31.74$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.02 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x227d…1a26backed No | 61c | 30.95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 90 | 63.3%57 W · 33 L | +13.8wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5e3d…bd04backed Yes | 78c | 30.45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.71 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…4b28backed No | 65c | 26.66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed No | 58c | 24.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 62cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…501dbacked No | 62c | 24.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf199…ab80backed Yes | 59c | 23.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.81 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c5…3533backed No | 59c | 23.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2004…914abacked No | 49c | 23.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.37per pick | 51cpaid | -82%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe61…e9c2backed No | 49c | 21.16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 24 | 79.2%19 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 65cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked No | 60c | 19.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 April 6-12?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 April 6-12?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 April 6-12?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 April 6-12?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 April 6-12?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 April 6-12?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 April 6-12?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 April 6-12?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 April 6-12?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 April 6-12?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 April 6-12?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 April 6-12?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 April 6-12?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 April 6-12?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.