Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 March 2-8?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x86fcd31d9b6cc8f29dc976f1b3549a4219fe1d8d9a7868b337bcb855009650a9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $658,709
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $658,709 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 156 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x615e…5295backed Yes | 0c | 104,519$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.52 | 227 | 0.9%2 W · 225 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc2…2f88backed Yes | 0c | 22,000$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 32 | 0%0 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked No | 71c | 20,530$14,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,954 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 14c | 18,880$2,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,710.99 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x960d…c2a2backed Yes | 1c | 16,289$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf90…5263backed Yes | 0c | 14,442$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…e798backed Yes | 3c | 13,043$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.58 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc17b…7ec2backed Yes | 9c | 10,675$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b64…707bbacked Yes | 2c | 10,146$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 49c | 10,000$4,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,922.39 | 120 | 25%30 W · 90 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4124…8af2backed No | 55c | 8,532$4,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,843.4 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Yes | 28c | 8,076$2,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,270.02 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70f3…2822backed Yes | 1c | 7,756$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed Yes | 22c | 7,335$1,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,595.22 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 26c | 6,895$1,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,767.12 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fac…0cc1backed Yes | 0c | 6,490$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbeda…4acbbacked Yes | 3c | 6,066$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.72 | 142 | 2.1%3 W · 139 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50a5…bafebacked Yes | 11c | 6,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.53 | 234 | 11.1%26 W · 208 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1414…18fcbacked Yes | 1c | 5,105$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff5…50eabacked Yes | 4c | 4,922$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.8 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -29%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdde9…4bd5backed Yes | 10c | 4,383$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.5 | 128 | 8.6%11 W · 117 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x268b…22d7backed Yes | 1c | 3,811$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf2…b087backed Yes | 22c | 3,657$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b06…0b42backed Yes | 7c | 3,390$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.66 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 5c | 3,310$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.91 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b89…fdf9backed Yes | 13c | 3,207$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…2c72backed Yes | 9c | 3,000$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.9 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +4.7wins | +0.17per pick | 8cpaid | +270.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee2…46e1backed Yes | 21c | 2,892$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.63 | 406 | 43.3%176 W · 230 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25af…bcafbacked Yes | 8c | 2,864$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.35 | 399 | 8.5%34 W · 365 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d74…596bbacked Yes | 10c | 2,490$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 26 | 3.8%1 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 11cpaid | -92.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6294…33f3backed No | 55c | 2,332$1,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042.73 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f05…43e7backed Yes | 2c | 1,985$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd78c…3469backed Yes | 6c | 1,956$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.92 | 86 | 1.2%1 W · 85 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -87.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a7…5fd4backed Yes | 6c | 1,825$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Yes | 3c | 1,650$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.7 | 258 | 1.2%3 W · 255 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -84%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c35…feebbacked Yes | 6c | 1,614$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.97 | 27 | 0%0 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 18c | 1,604$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.54 | 44 | 11.4%5 W · 39 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe516…14ffbacked Yes | 4c | 1,547$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.51 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x379f…cbaebacked Yes | 2c | 1,379$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.31 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 35cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3520…1fa0backed Yes | 51c | 1,343$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes | 4c | 1,289$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.05 | 268 | 3.4%9 W · 259 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeae5…33c1backed Yes | 3c | 1,229$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.32 | 103 | 15.5%16 W · 87 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ae…51e0backed Yes | 17c | 1,217$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.09 | 140 | 19.3%27 W · 113 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +119.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8176…5836backed Yes | 38c | 1,198$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e8…904cbacked Yes | 15c | 976.67$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.08 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 14cpaid | -83.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6af…a0ebbacked Yes | 6c | 958.33$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9249…cc75backed Yes | 36c | 944.09$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.34 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8a…7699backed No | 65c | 933$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.28 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d60…7fecbacked Yes | 1c | 929.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6af9…a022backed No | 54c | 900$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0688…7a12backed No | 65c | 840$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.6 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6dc…246ebacked No | 63c | 800$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298 | 137 | 70.1%96 W · 41 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1137…4ed5backed No | 76c | 789.61$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.61 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ede…e0e8backed Yes | 12c | 767.65$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 17cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca68…bd3abacked Yes | 2c | 718.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c23…bfecbacked Yes | 42c | 711.67$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.9 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c27…494bbacked Yes | 2c | 702.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59db…1d13backed No | 51c | 649.99$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca4f…ff9ebacked Yes | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b4…c169backed Yes | 4c | 601.62$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed Yes | 3c | 591.01$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94e4…b647backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0970…5ae4backed Yes | 22c | 484.77$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.28 | 280 | 21.1%59 W · 221 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51e0…027bbacked Yes | 52c | 450.17$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed No | 74c | 444.84$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.65 | 77 | 67.5%52 W · 25 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed Yes | 23c | 428.26$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.5 | 136 | 24.3%33 W · 103 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba10…b244backed Yes | 19c | 419.11$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f4…9ed0backed No | 66c | 367.19$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.14 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcaab…24ddbacked Yes | 7c | 331.31$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.31 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0c…ae76backed Yes | 32c | 314.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xede1…1c68backed Yes | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed Yes | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Yes | 8c | 299.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac25…9523backed Yes | 36c | 299.02$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.64 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 31c | 285.54$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.28 | 165 | 37.6%62 W · 103 L | -21.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd8…acf1backed No | 59c | 271.67$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9112…7797backed Yes | 8c | 266.84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf80d…0c0cbacked Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d8a…5bd3backed Yes | 40c | 247.46$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1d…d05ebacked Yes | 20c | 232.69$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae46…7889backed Yes | 49c | 228.02$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.73 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x916e…2be2backed Yes | 19c | 207$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32a3…a818backed Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 27cpaid | -84.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…d27bbacked Yes | 49c | 192.35$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.25 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd55d…7484backed Yes | 30c | 190$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fa…af3abacked Yes | 16c | 187.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…f384backed Yes | 35c | 171.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeace…5d17backed No | 74c | 170.58$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.82 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x790c…ee12backed Yes | 40c | 166.66$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6293…3c27backed Yes | 19c | 155$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.87 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 26cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c1e…4a65backed No | 52c | 153.92$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.88 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 34cpaid | +129.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0258…13bfbacked No | 77c | 150$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 181 | 62.4%113 W · 68 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd14…1c17backed Yes | 37c | 148.19$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.69 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2640…32bdbacked Yes | 35c | 143.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2482…a721backed Yes | 29c | 142.33$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.32 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89eb…8da5backed No | 56c | 135.68$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.7 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcaed…37d5backed Yes | 11c | 130$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c7…ff77backed Yes | 13c | 128.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +877.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba0b…7132backed Yes | 37c | 128.1$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa244…8e63backed No | 50c | 124.47$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.99 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 22cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 March 2-8?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $52,000 March 2-8?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 March 2-8?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 March 2-8?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 March 2-8?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 March 2-8?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 March 2-8?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 March 2-8?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 March 2-8?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 March 2-8?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 March 2-8?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 March 2-8?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 March 2-8?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 March 2-8?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.