TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will AD Ceuta FC win on 2026-04-10?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$91,775
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$93,976

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,775 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 156 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x19e2…ce3cbacked Yes45c47,579$21,235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,234.815034.7%52 W · 98 L+0.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No53c24,083$12,857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,226.811,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No60c12,848$7,686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,162.53,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed Yes52c4,344$2,258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,258.012356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No68c3,281$2,229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,051.694,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No53c2,688$1,417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,271.2974457.5%428 W · 316 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed No51c2,508$1,279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,228.883366.7%22 W · 11 L+3.9wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+19.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked No49c2,500$1,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2755253.8%28 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No50c2,198$1,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,092.9875451.2%386 W · 368 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa8d9…48a6backed No50c1,940$970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9703351.5%17 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Yes51c1,903$971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$970.62548%12 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5839…2c33backed Yes54c1,804$974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$973.815957.6%34 W · 25 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No70c1,723$1,212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.161,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x751d…9f55backed Yes48c1,589$763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$762.791526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick38cpaid+8.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed No52c1,367$714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652.331952.4%167 W · 152 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes20c1,220$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.4635145.6%160 W · 191 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6945…873dbacked No49c989.18$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.481656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No50c982.96$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.822,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No58c826.14$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.7792345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3d4…6297backed No51c825.02$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.164461.4%27 W · 17 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x03c6…b115backed Yes43c673.81$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.74250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-24.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Yes15c632.67$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.920843.3%90 W · 118 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No48c613.49$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.1948153.6%258 W · 223 L+16.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No51c600$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.569750.8%354 W · 343 L+3.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed No72c580.12$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.6722455.8%125 W · 99 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed No72c545.36$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.259660.4%58 W · 38 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x660d…56acbacked Yes53c498.09$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.9911551.3%59 W · 56 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No50c496.05$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.821,56651.6%808 W · 758 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No59c490.45$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.457554.7%41 W · 34 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked No51c400$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1966657.6%38 W · 28 L+7.8wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+28.1%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No59c397.43$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.1128357.2%162 W · 121 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed No46c390.99$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.135431.5%17 W · 37 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfec2…08afbacked Yes53c361.03$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.3510634.9%37 W · 69 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No60c343.65$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.3435759.4%212 W · 145 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed No60c343.65$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.3320360.1%122 W · 81 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No60c343.39$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.0840357.1%230 W · 173 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No60c321.49$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.8223456.4%132 W · 102 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed No59c308.44$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.947954.4%43 W · 36 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40d2…312fbacked No52c300$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1442955.2%16 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked No51c300$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1472070%14 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+21.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes39c290.04$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.8811820.3%24 W · 94 L-11.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-49.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No52c261$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.171,08150.6%547 W · 534 L+11.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked No51c254.02$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.3816660.8%101 W · 65 L+10.3wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No52c250$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12089050%445 W · 445 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No52c243.75$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1171,03848.1%499 W · 539 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a15…52d6backed No53c237.27$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.712964.3%83 W · 46 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9b5…1212backed Yes24c229.67$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.459740.2%39 W · 58 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddf5…aaa3backed Yes52c212.97$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.72757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+34.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2f3…1732backed Yes24c209.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.460%0 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed No67c209.45$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.5322758.1%132 W · 95 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1871…59e6backed Yes40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8016446.3%76 W · 88 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes49c197.84$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.9422939.3%90 W · 139 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x724c…1521backed No50c195.47$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.493265.6%21 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked No52c189.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.223957.7%138 W · 101 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8ed…8bb4backed No53c185.96$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.122657.7%15 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed No53c184.76$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.6233161.3%203 W · 128 L+12.1wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No49c179.95$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.7734252%178 W · 164 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xccb3…2eadbacked Yes46c172.97$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.961040%4 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-21.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes48c153.59$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.5983444.6%372 W · 462 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No49c149.88$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.051,50838.7%583 W · 925 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No52c122.94$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.019250%46 W · 46 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed Yes53c122.73$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.052653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked No55c116.43$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.688867%59 W · 29 L+8.4wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+20.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe0d0…8db8backed No50c115.42$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.541060%6 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f52…b510backed Yes47c111.05$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.2825%2 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x281b…9428backed Yes53c110.02$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.31728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-35.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcfb5…f5ecbacked No52c106.53$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.146464.1%41 W · 23 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked No53c101.11$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.7419555.9%109 W · 86 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x11d8…5be4backed Yes54c97.24$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.51955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+40.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e9f…5403backed No51c97.2$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.934045%18 W · 22 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No48c96.88$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.3823855.9%133 W · 105 L+0.8wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed No70c96.36$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.779164.8%59 W · 32 L+7.9wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+13.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes49c94.64$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.4841348.7%201 W · 212 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked No53c91.66$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.0811566.1%76 W · 39 L+9.2wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+16.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes61c91.38$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.6419662.8%123 W · 73 L+20.5wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+32.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xea8d…89b1backed No53c85.73$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.625068%34 W · 16 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed No53c73.33$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.467861.5%48 W · 30 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed Yes26c73.14$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.093850%19 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed Yes50c71.88$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.9411566.1%76 W · 39 L+13.9wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+36.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x73a4…6692backed No51c68.1$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.16757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc77…17afbacked Yes53c67.84$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe65…0546backed No52c66.68$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+18.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02d…16cabacked Yes44c65.67$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9920047.5%95 W · 105 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3baa…68ecbacked No53c64.18$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.162962.1%18 W · 11 L+3.6wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+10.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed No38c64$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.6815150.3%76 W · 75 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1fa8…0b19backed No61c62.24$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.473582.9%29 W · 6 L+8.3wins+0.24per pick59cpaid+64.7%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xf8c8…7c4cbacked No51c60$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.420252.5%106 W · 96 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Yes21c60$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.66440.6%26 W · 38 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4820…c613backed Yes40c58.41$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.471127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-41.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x981b…b8eabacked No50c58.2$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.19643.8%42 W · 54 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3565…0b17backed No50c57.69$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.588956.2%50 W · 39 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Yes44c57.11$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.1317643.8%77 W · 99 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Yes50c57.06$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.5316456.7%93 W · 71 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Yes50c57.06$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.5317659.7%105 W · 71 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c23…261ebacked No51c55.6$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.051163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+18.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66fc…2720backed No53c52.2$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.343966.7%26 W · 13 L+4.6wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+20.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No47c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.529545.4%134 W · 161 L-0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f76…9798backed No49c49.46$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.222850%14 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6684…2985backed Yes40c48.2$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.281526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.15per pick42cpaid-9.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5b56…9100backed No52c46.84$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.561353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+39.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.