La Liga · resolved market
Will AD Ceuta FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa2393517de3483fc8c377b3db0bd264a0b7205f63fa39151075498275cfd7473
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,393
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,564
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,393 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed No | 72c | 38,491$27,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,814.65 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 28c | 22,154$6,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,015.81 | 834 | 44.6%372 W · 462 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 38c | 4,437$1,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,772.56 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed No | 70c | 4,311$3,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,017.41 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 30c | 3,914$1,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,748.56 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 30c | 2,299$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,598.27 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 28c | 1,237$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.7 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 71c | 954.54$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.39 | 319 | 52.4%167 W · 152 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c23…261ebacked Yes | 28c | 749.89$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.69 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Yes | 33c | 737.79$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.64 | 283 | 57.2%162 W · 121 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Yes | 33c | 737.79$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.64 | 234 | 56.4%132 W · 102 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Yes | 29c | 704.63$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.34 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 33c | 678.73$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.71 | 357 | 59.4%212 W · 145 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Yes | 33c | 678.73$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.71 | 224 | 55.8%125 W · 99 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 33c | 678.73$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.71 | 403 | 57.1%230 W · 173 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Yes | 33c | 678.73$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.71 | 203 | 60.1%122 W · 81 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 45c | 650$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.5 | 232 | 55.6%129 W · 103 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe081…fc19backed No | 70c | 644.57$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Yes | 28c | 612.11$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.72 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…22d0backed No | 69c | 538.29$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.42 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Yes | 28c | 531.02$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.34 | 224 | 46%103 W · 121 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 34c | 486.6$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.49 | 351 | 45.6%160 W · 191 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 35c | 420.21$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.01 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Yes | 28c | 341.71$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.03 | 91 | 64.8%59 W · 32 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 27c | 316.24$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.72 | 754 | 51.2%386 W · 368 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 30c | 257.03$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.92 | 697 | 50.8%354 W · 343 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 29c | 250$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.5 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 29c | 250$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.5 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Yes | 28c | 240.12$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.89 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecb2…a30cbacked No | 22c | 228.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.23 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d54…4d13backed No | 35c | 210$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 27c | 200.27$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.42 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 71c | 179.97$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.78 | 342 | 52%178 W · 164 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 73c | 170.54$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.5 | 444 | 24.1%107 W · 337 L | -50.1wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x788e…e086backed Yes | 28c | 166.14$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Yes | 53c | 146.71$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.25 | 227 | 58.1%132 W · 95 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x033b…5e3fbacked Yes | 30c | 141.78$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.82 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | +4.8wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 74c | 135$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 118 | 20.3%24 W · 94 L | -11.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 29c | 133.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.62 | 999 | 33.4%334 W · 665 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 35c | 130.34$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.55 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 23c | 107.4$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.66 | 413 | 23.2%96 W · 317 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb17…32b2backed Yes | 27c | 105.85$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.27 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 73c | 97.95$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.31 | 413 | 48.7%201 W · 212 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Yes | 36c | 96.88$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.35 | 199 | 53.3%106 W · 93 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2488…ff0ebacked No | 32c | 96.76$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.96 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 54cpaid | -50%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc57f…cfffbacked No | 32c | 96.52$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.89 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd2…0820backed Yes | 31c | 96.11$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 30c | 95.8$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.06 | 627 | 44.3%278 W · 349 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked No | 21c | 80.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.31 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Yes | 31c | 80.09$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.26 | 178 | 56.7%101 W · 77 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Yes | 31c | 80.09$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.26 | 176 | 59.7%105 W · 71 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 29c | 78.59$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.8 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Yes | 79c | 66.62$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.99 | 331 | 61.3%203 W · 128 L | +12.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Yes | 79c | 66.62$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.99 | 239 | 57.7%138 W · 101 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Yes | 79c | 66.62$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.99 | 96 | 60.4%58 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Yes | 79c | 66.62$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.99 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b56…9100backed Yes | 27c | 64.18$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.85 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Yes | 30c | 60.53$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.37 | 82 | 68.3%56 W · 26 L | +14.7wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Yes | 28c | 59.32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.71 | 89 | 38.2%34 W · 55 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 30c | 54$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8858…ed3ebacked No | 37c | 52.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf824…651fbacked No | 23c | 50.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15bb…2033backed Yes | 28c | 50.17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.89 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…5f50backed Yes | 29c | 49.78$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.35 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 29c | 45.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.66 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dda…8799backed No | 70c | 42.09$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.46 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 73c | 40.93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.88 | 481 | 53.6%258 W · 223 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8027…cf81backed Yes | 30c | 37.41$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.18 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd044…7f47backed Yes | 31c | 35.19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.42 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +159.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked No | 75c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed No | 71c | 23.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 276 | 53.6%148 W · 128 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf715…bbf0backed No | 70c | 23.27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.29 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +27%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x615c…c1a8backed No | 73c | 13.77$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AD Ceuta FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B end in a draw?this page
- Will AD Ceuta FC win on 2026-04-10?No won
- Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol B win on 2026-04-10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.