TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Jazz vs. Thunder

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Thunderof Jazz, Thunder
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,263,723
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,133,099

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,263,723 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9f2f…2ca8backed Jazz3c212,114$5,409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,408.79745.4%44 W · 53 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1961…c461backed Jazz3c200,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0008750.6%44 W · 43 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Jazz1c118,759$699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.4670147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Jazz3c112,546$3,915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,915.4547028.1%132 W · 338 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa382…ed19backed Jazz5c108,178$5,409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,408.883240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9367…f6bebacked Jazz2c103,078$1,618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,618.3860%0 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4309…7456backed Jazz3c65,096$2,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,006.1261336.1%221 W · 392 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44fc…7961backed Jazz3c43,168$1,205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,205.091735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-29.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8907…a996backed Jazz3c40,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0802927.6%8 W · 21 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick35cpaid+54.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc8ec…e8f1backed Jazz3c37,140$1,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,065.424831.9%79 W · 169 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a7e…1cc7backed Jazz3c35,597$969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$969.288429.8%25 W · 59 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-36.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Jazz0c29,287$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.755213.8%20 W · 501 L+0.6wins0.00per pick4cpaid-36.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Jazz3c23,170$694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$693.83,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Jazz4c23,006$808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808.171,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Jazz3c21,135$659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$658.784443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Jazz0c19,273$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.9567911%75 W · 604 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick10cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Jazz1c17,938$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.8665855.6%366 W · 292 L+27.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Jazz3c14,706$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.8382442.2%348 W · 476 L-3.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Jazz0c10,300$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.18820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5523…51e9backed Jazz4c10,196$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.8461851.6%319 W · 299 L-1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x269c…9017backed Jazz2c9,413$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.668953.9%48 W · 41 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-14.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Jazz3c8,737$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.1629243.8%128 W · 164 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Jazz3c8,197$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.891,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Jazz3c7,718$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.7748944.2%216 W · 273 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Jazz3c7,521$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.1286641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Jazz0c7,174$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.71,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d30…fad8backed Jazz2c5,155$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.269134.1%31 W · 60 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccea…a8ebbacked Jazz4c5,072$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.2623348.1%112 W · 121 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93ef…468bbacked Jazz2c5,065$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.23633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-45%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Jazz3c5,000$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14965939.5%260 W · 399 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa97b…388dbacked Jazz2c5,000$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1211844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Jazz3c4,800$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.823742.6%101 W · 136 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcbf…d37fbacked Jazz2c4,787$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.738728.7%25 W · 62 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Jazz3c4,760$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.686,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cf5…6440backed Jazz3c4,709$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.2746928.4%133 W · 336 L+2.3wins0.00per pick28cpaid-4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5a5c…0fc2backed Jazz2c4,706$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.8310255.9%57 W · 45 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb309…e08fbacked Jazz3c4,594$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.84837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-40.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Jazz2c4,501$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.382,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e1c…b3abbacked Jazz3c4,488$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.673647.2%17 W · 19 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd523…032dbacked Jazz2c4,482$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.131030%3 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf787…7b27backed Jazz3c4,168$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.532347.8%11 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick43cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64ad…bde6backed Jazz6c4,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2409749.5%48 W · 49 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01f5…5cfbbacked Jazz3c3,979$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.2316421.3%35 W · 129 L-10.7wins-0.07per pick28cpaid-30.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8f96…0f14backed Jazz4c3,884$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.36742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb270…d580backed Jazz3c3,861$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.11728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick25cpaid-29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0659…0f2bbacked Jazz5c3,772$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.66440.6%26 W · 38 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf429…969ebacked Jazz3c3,632$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.1633837.3%126 W · 212 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Jazz2c3,618$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.742,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9027…5954backed Jazz3c3,513$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.161020%2 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-36.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Jazz3c3,500$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10543438.5%167 W · 267 L-1.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x555c…319ebacked Jazz2c3,384$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.173627.8%10 W · 26 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-18.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x25a2…3b2fbacked Jazz1c3,334$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.041926.3%5 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick36cpaid+65%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xae2e…043abacked Jazz4c3,327$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.07540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick33cpaid-11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99f8…3e71backed Jazz4c3,303$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.12944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7bb…d747backed Jazz4c3,296$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.83425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-52.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x34c5…cf83backed Jazz3c3,293$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.211631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-43.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x791e…9bdabacked Jazz3c3,291$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.1717247.7%82 W · 90 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0cc…6095backed Jazz4c3,218$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.72650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Jazz5c3,216$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.6426839.2%105 W · 163 L-0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a7d…a80ebacked Jazz4c3,169$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.751020%2 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-58.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x31b1…5327backed Jazz4c3,060$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.381127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.23per pick51cpaid-48.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Jazz2c3,050$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.961,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4137…586cbacked Jazz3c3,000$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9047043.8%206 W · 264 L-22.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf569…6e9ebacked Jazz4c3,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.31per pick41cpaid+69%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4003…8557backed Jazz4c2,969$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.77757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb64…5e23backed Jazz4c2,830$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.7426530.9%82 W · 183 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea81…4f4bbacked Jazz2c2,733$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.0320%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3bcf…dc5cbacked Jazz2c2,687$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.059629.2%28 W · 68 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-35.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32df…ce69backed Jazz4c2,622$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.861060%6 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd0ff…24e3backed Jazz2c2,549$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.592937.9%11 W · 18 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick30cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4759…9257backed Jazz5c2,515$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.75520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-64.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Jazz3c2,322$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.052,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10f5…fdebbacked Jazz3c2,274$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.83333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick15cpaid-7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2aa1…70c5backed Jazz3c2,215$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.033540%14 W · 21 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-30.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5f57…f8c5backed Jazz1c2,199$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.811040%4 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-17.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Jazz3c2,173$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.4942645.5%194 W · 232 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca0a…8556backed Jazz3c2,105$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.45977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.22per pick56cpaid+25.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Jazz3c2,085$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.4515140.4%61 W · 90 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7841…7273backed Jazz2c2,071$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.4910022%22 W · 78 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa2c0…69d0backed Jazz2c2,062$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.39439.4%37 W · 57 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdda3…d55fbacked Jazz2c2,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405743.9%25 W · 32 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+50.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Jazz2c2,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4058740%235 W · 352 L+24.3wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc770…d7d8backed Jazz3c1,985$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.052532%8 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-41.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc16…7d64backed Jazz3c1,978$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.732133.3%7 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick33cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Jazz4c1,960$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.921350.7%108 W · 105 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5463…368ebacked Jazz3c1,948$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7d7…e413backed Jazz3c1,884$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.51425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Jazz3c1,883$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.621,09035.8%390 W · 700 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9dfb…4af4backed Jazz3c1,873$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.311181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.6wins+0.33per pick49cpaid+52.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf0b5…bd15backed Jazz3c1,682$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.082441.7%10 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-23.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b7c…8d4cbacked Jazz6c1,495$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.664513.3%6 W · 39 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick14cpaid-40.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf4b…52c0backed Jazz2c1,444$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.881136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick29cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Jazz3c1,400$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.868944%303 W · 386 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5715…1616backed Jazz2c1,367$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.246333.3%21 W · 42 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick39cpaid+50.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x23c7…329fbacked Jazz2c1,255$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.3630%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ec9…02f6backed Jazz3c1,252$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.343327.3%9 W · 24 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c85…31d4backed Jazz2c1,165$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.533043.3%13 W · 17 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick35cpaid-3.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x14df…30b2backed Jazz5c1,154$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.712045%9 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-17.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0619…d801backed Jazz2c1,129$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5822826.3%60 W · 168 L-10.3wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xba04…310bbacked Jazz3c1,000$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262528%7 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-38.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.