TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

West Ham United FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$271,964
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$322,366

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $271,964 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 259 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8372…5223backed Over53c73,647$39,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,434.136857.4%39 W · 29 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d2e…896dbacked Under47c39,997$18,798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,798.38633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-36.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c45…0ac6backed Over49c39,810$19,505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,305.57425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-49%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefdd…017fbacked Under46c26,096$12,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,004.041172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.25per pick48cpaid+49.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x1ba1…1ce4backed Over54c16,151$8,753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,397.962774.1%20 W · 7 L+5.7wins+0.21per pick53cpaid+40.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under47c15,017$7,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,058.0876842.6%327 W · 441 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under52c12,493$6,487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,486.846,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over53c11,665$6,231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,433.7413630.9%42 W · 94 L-7.4wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Under46c9,000$4,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,14013348.9%65 W · 68 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Under47c7,215$3,391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,391.268345.8%38 W · 45 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+15.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89cd…4d7dbacked Under45c5,847$2,631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,631.36425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-64.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Under46c5,000$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3008939.3%35 W · 54 L-7.3wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-23.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbaa2…1973backed Under1c4,703$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.0311630.2%35 W · 81 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick32cpaid+6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x933f…1540backed Under49c3,936$1,939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,939.12520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-66.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under52c3,291$1,698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,698.2939555.9%221 W · 174 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under52c3,290$1,698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,698.2816753.3%89 W · 78 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under46c3,072$1,417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,417.251,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under51c2,780$1,428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,427.9227552.7%145 W · 130 L-1.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under51c2,723$1,394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,394.2430057%171 W · 129 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under51c2,496$1,276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,276.4640655.2%224 W · 182 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Under51c2,209$1,127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,127.186462.5%40 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under64c2,169$1,388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,388.371,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under53c2,060$1,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,086.924,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd586…7c9bbacked Under47c2,060$968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$968.2250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a91…c6b1backed Under47c2,012$945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$945.425145.1%23 W · 28 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Under46c2,000$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92040953.3%218 W · 191 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x30d9…41c7backed Over53c1,834$972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$861.785100%5 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+91.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Over53c1,648$873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$774.520448.5%99 W · 105 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74d0…de45backed Under33c1,619$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.424540%18 W · 27 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over29c1,415$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,006.7682763%521 W · 306 L+113.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+41.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under53c1,214$646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$645.915056%28 W · 22 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Under1c1,200$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15933.2%3 W · 90 L-0.2wins0.00per pick3cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under59c1,171$686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$686.32,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under51c1,078$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.9529250%146 W · 146 L+7.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x10d4…69ebbacked Under3c1,044$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.412850%14 W · 14 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Over48c1,009$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.7714138.3%54 W · 87 L-8.9wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe02…dababacked Under48c1,009$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.41866.7%12 W · 6 L+3.5wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+37.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Under45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45020040.5%81 W · 119 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x033b…5e3fbacked Under51c974.86$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.184856.3%27 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under46c900$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.580953.6%434 W · 375 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under51c781.94$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.1923556.2%132 W · 103 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under56c768.4$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.1574644.8%334 W · 412 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under46c749.02$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.0469851.1%357 W · 341 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd500…4568backed Under48c588.91$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.02757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Over44c570$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.26445.3%29 W · 35 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94fd…7fefbacked Over54c522.22$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.22560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under54c509.6$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.992,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d5c…1768backed Over53c499.99$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2354360.5%26 W · 17 L+5.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+34.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa6d1…62eabacked Under47c490.18$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.384445.5%20 W · 24 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Under46c440$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.412549.6%62 W · 63 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over56c419.19$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.1161143.7%267 W · 344 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b84…2f73backed Under71c415.18$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.782373.9%17 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick65cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under52c413.17$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.361,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fc3…0670backed Under47c407.88$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.78831.8%28 W · 60 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+16%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over46c400$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21677336.4%281 W · 492 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4d0…8814backed Over49c395.67$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.791163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8ed…8bb4backed Over53c367.02$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.673562.9%22 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cef…d4debacked Over53c366.72$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.368158%47 W · 34 L+7.5wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+17.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc775…6b22backed Under11c363$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9370%0 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0640…1cd6backed Over54c360.27$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.79560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8fb…28dabacked Over54c358.74$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.02771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick47cpaid+43.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Under52c329.56$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.8420651.9%107 W · 99 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x49ec…ac1cbacked Over54c304.42$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.294238.1%16 W · 26 L-4.7wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-36.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7736…2d4abacked Over54c277.13$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87a6…eb84backed Under47c275.94$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.6910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a73…a9c8backed Over54c270.11$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.256541.5%27 W · 38 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-6.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under56c268.81$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.5313748.9%67 W · 70 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Over42c255.64$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.3916757.5%96 W · 71 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Over42c255.64$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.399752.6%51 W · 46 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fce…c02abacked Under20c252$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.440%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under59c239.8$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.7719244.8%86 W · 106 L-10.2wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Over41c237.94$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.6810221.6%22 W · 80 L-0.1wins0.00per pick22cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under47c235.28$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.632,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6516…dfdabacked Over54c225.09$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.543141.9%13 W · 18 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over44c220.88$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.1911055.5%61 W · 49 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9f5…0688backed Under46c199.99$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925642.9%24 W · 32 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over49c197.84$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.928654.2%155 W · 131 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0189…cab8backed Over54c194.48$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.465757.9%33 W · 24 L+0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfc7…7f02backed Over54c194.48$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.461747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x373b…1107backed Over53c194.36$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.3510147.5%48 W · 53 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf341…9bd8backed Under50c194$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$972944.8%13 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Under51c189.38$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.0711555.7%64 W · 51 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x353c…b793backed Under47c184.64$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x431c…12ecbacked Over53c183.36$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.18966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+39.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Under45c181.82$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.8213151.1%67 W · 64 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over54c180.07$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.8322242.8%95 W · 127 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe562…4fa9backed Over54c180.07$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.8318841.5%78 W · 110 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea8d…89b1backed Under56c173.33$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.365952.5%31 W · 28 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Over53c168.43$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.169058.9%53 W · 37 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb595…5922backed Over80c166.73$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.352580%20 W · 5 L+3.8wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+24.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over41c165.45$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.5940841.9%171 W · 237 L-8.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9691…c6e7backed Under52c162.19$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.341637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-23.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed Over34c157.85$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.187758.4%45 W · 32 L+0.3wins0.00per pick58cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf21…be19backed Over52c150$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$725349.1%26 W · 27 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Under68c144.24$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.0824062.5%150 W · 90 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over54c144.06$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.276451.6%33 W · 31 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5887…994ebacked Over49c140.6$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.861758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Under51c133.92$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.320259.9%121 W · 81 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Over53c130.86$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.5111164%71 W · 40 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over53c118.92$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.655751.5%287 W · 270 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.