NBA · resolved market
Bucks vs. Lakers: O/U 229.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x962610fc8b15caf3b35a197bd7f770a67de05f3fdc63582077ca11b966a45132
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $778,232
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $778,018
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $778,232 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 224 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Under | 50c | 576,905$288,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288,531.9 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Over | 50c | 305,086$152,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152,543.03 | 262 | 53.8%141 W · 121 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Over | 50c | 241,322$120,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120,660.91 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 32,572$16,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,537.77 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 52c | 30,571$15,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,681.21 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Over | 52c | 27,969$14,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,515.8 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 50c | 27,381$13,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,690.5 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…40e3backed Over | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Over | 47c | 20,000$9,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,399.99 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Over | 50c | 10,000$4,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,950 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Over | 50c | 9,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 48c | 8,174$3,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,250.69 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Over | 51c | 6,863$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,499.99 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ac…fd51backed Over | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 52c | 5,692$2,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,732.12 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 49c | 5,437$2,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,752.04 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Over | 49c | 5,260$2,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,575.55 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Under | 51c | 4,804$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,353.92 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked Over | 51c | 4,528$2,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,309.52 | 135 | 63%85 W · 50 L | +15.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Over | 49c | 4,500$2,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,205 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Over | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Under | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 173 | 48.6%84 W · 89 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Over | 51c | 3,581$1,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,826.35 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4366…c73ebacked Over | 49c | 3,500$1,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,725 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Over | 11c | 3,300$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353 | 289 | 29.4%85 W · 204 L | -13.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0352…3292backed Under | 50c | 3,256$1,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,627.94 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Over | 50c | 3,000$1,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,510 | 228 | 45.2%103 W · 125 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Over | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Under | 51c | 2,891$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410.72 | 434 | 53.2%231 W · 203 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Under | 50c | 2,866$1,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,433 | 502 | 41.2%207 W · 295 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Under | 47c | 2,505$1,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,327.57 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Over | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 51c | 2,102$1,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034.05 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Over | 49c | 2,050$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.5 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -11.1wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x713d…53a9backed Over | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 181 | 51.4%93 W · 88 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Over | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Over | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 245 | 49%120 W · 125 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Over | 51c | 1,680$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07bc…393abacked Over | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +7.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Under | 50c | 1,468$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734 | 254 | 52.8%134 W · 120 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef34…86b2backed Over | 48c | 1,408$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe00f…c254backed Over | 52c | 1,069$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556 | 191 | 47.1%90 W · 101 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Over | 50c | 1,038$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.26 | 629 | 48.6%306 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 50c | 1,027$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.81 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ff…85d8backed Over | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Under | 52c | 1,011$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.35 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcaf…9343backed Over | 50c | 1,002$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -28%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…0a77backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 157 | 56.7%89 W · 68 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Over | 50c | 999.98$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.99 | 134 | 64.2%86 W · 48 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…e89abacked Over | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Over | 47c | 855$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.85 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 50c | 800.29$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Over | 6c | 649.95$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.17 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc82a…cc74backed Over | 53c | 641.51$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 121 | 55.4%67 W · 54 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Over | 51c | 600$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -9.4wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -20%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 50c | 598.37$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.04 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa009…a6efbacked Over | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 147 | 42.2%62 W · 85 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked Over | 49c | 510.2$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…42f9backed Over | 53c | 508.47$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.49 | 168 | 52.4%88 W · 80 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Over | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 328 | 46.6%153 W · 175 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Over | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 228 | 46.1%105 W · 123 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Over | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 456 | 47.1%215 W · 241 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 53c | 490.33$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.45 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0319…2f43backed Over | 51c | 431.37$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed Over | 51c | 423.13$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.8 | 166 | 58.4%97 W · 69 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b44…8df9backed Over | 51c | 395.06$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbec4…637fbacked Under | 48c | 372.4$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.8 | 531 | 49.3%262 W · 269 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff0…91fcbacked Over | 51c | 303.92$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3888…0755backed Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 250 | 58.4%146 W · 104 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Over | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec8…397bbacked Over | 50c | 280$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb986…d032backed Under | 50c | 278.18$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.09 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x240d…a928backed Over | 52c | 264.77$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.68 | 164 | 40.9%67 W · 97 L | -13.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c10…829bbacked Over | 51c | 259$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.09 | 102 | 70.6%72 W · 30 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Over | 51c | 250$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.5 | 377 | 50.4%190 W · 187 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…22eabacked Over | 48c | 250$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x65b6…2108backed Over | 28c | 247.35$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 358 | 44.1%158 W · 200 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Under | 57c | 243.14$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.49 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa126…9e20backed Over | 50c | 217.45$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb378…ce53backed Over | 52c | 216.35$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b35…b38ebacked Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb2…f12fbacked Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 230 | 58.7%135 W · 95 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4dab…0711backed Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad01…6f40backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50ba…5435backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b34…294cbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e51…9531backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 367 | 51.5%189 W · 178 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf60…f8d5backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecc2…eeefbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…16cfbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 151 | 61.6%93 W · 58 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10a3…ae13backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…0888backed Over | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8e…7fe3backed Under | 52c | 200$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97 | 45 | 80%36 W · 9 L | +12.1wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Over | 52c | 196.31$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.04 | 217 | 53%115 W · 102 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bucks vs. Lakers: O/U 229.5this page
- Bucks vs. LakersBucks won
- Bucks vs. Lakers: O/U 227.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Lakers: O/U 228.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Lakers: O/U 230.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Lakers: O/U 231.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Lakers: O/U 232.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Lakers: O/U 233.5Under won
- Spread: Lakers (-2.5)Bucks won
- Spread: Lakers (-3.5)Bucks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.