NBA · resolved market
Spread: Lakers (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x466e0ec8cd0437949e2a0d78b68aac1a83b1819335dadc8a1a247eef8eacfe13
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bucksof Lakers, Bucks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $153,363
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $155,138
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $153,363 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 192 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Lakers | 49c | 50,753$24,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,673.14 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Lakers | 48c | 28,829$13,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,837.76 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Bucks | 51c | 26,676$13,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,078.56 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Bucks | 52c | 11,842$6,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,684.16 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Lakers | 49c | 11,111$5,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,444.38 | 203 | 52.2%106 W · 97 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Bucks | 73c | 9,738$7,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,643.03 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Bucks | 51c | 6,250$3,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,065 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Bucks | 52c | 5,998$3,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,879.09 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Lakers | 48c | 5,940$2,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,851.31 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5df…382dbacked Lakers | 50c | 5,936$2,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,942.29 | 163 | 35.6%58 W · 105 L | -12.2wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5227…f9bdbacked Bucks | 52c | 5,782$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,782.48 | 102 | 52.9%54 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Bucks | 52c | 5,300$2,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,544 | 120 | 56.7%68 W · 52 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Bucks | 52c | 4,818$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,318.36 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Bucks | 51c | 4,484$2,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,196.96 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bucks | 51c | 4,348$2,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,123.98 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b4…a278backed Bucks | 51c | 4,081$2,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,999.69 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d18…4972backed Lakers | 48c | 3,922$1,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,882.69 | 163 | 39.3%64 W · 99 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Bucks | 52c | 3,696$1,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,781.49 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Lakers | 25c | 3,656$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.15 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Bucks | 52c | 2,885$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,384.62 | 310 | 44.8%139 W · 171 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Lakers | 48c | 2,247$1,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,085.1 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Lakers | 49c | 2,235$1,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094.98 | 375 | 57.6%216 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Bucks | 52c | 2,053$1,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.48 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…1b96backed Bucks | 52c | 1,952$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936.92 | 240 | 51.3%123 W · 117 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Lakers | 27c | 1,940$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.15 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Bucks | 52c | 1,708$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.69 | 476 | 51.7%246 W · 230 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2579…9d48backed Bucks | 51c | 1,255$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.9 | 193 | 59.6%115 W · 78 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lakers | 28c | 1,245$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.55 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f03…766dbacked Lakers | 40c | 1,243$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.25 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lakers | 34c | 1,184$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.46 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Bucks | 54c | 1,169$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.73 | 629 | 48.6%306 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Bucks | 52c | 1,052$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.16 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcf…146ebacked Bucks | 49c | 1,027$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.9 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Lakers | 49c | 1,009$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.01 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Lakers | 50c | 1,000$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc5…b639backed Bucks | 51c | 999.99$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.99 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -29%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked Bucks | 52c | 962.78$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.78 | 489 | 57.5%281 W · 208 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Bucks | 52c | 962$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.76 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd56d…bd7dbacked Bucks | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Bucks | 51c | 900$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…e20fbacked Lakers | 50c | 885$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.5 | 499 | 38.9%194 W · 305 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Lakers | 49c | 800$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 297 | 48.1%143 W · 154 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9bc…a812backed Bucks | 52c | 694.62$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Lakers | 9c | 629$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.61 | 353 | 26.6%94 W · 259 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +31%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcea6…67adbacked Lakers | 49c | 609.99$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.89 | 284 | 48.2%137 W · 147 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e7…85a1backed Bucks | 52c | 600$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 195 | 56.9%111 W · 84 L | +20.0wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Lakers | 29c | 554.37$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.77 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Lakers | 49c | 506.11$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.99 | 119 | 42.9%51 W · 68 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27ac…188dbacked Lakers | 50c | 486$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Bucks | 56c | 465.46$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.72 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x240d…a928backed Lakers | 50c | 422.45$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 164 | 40.9%67 W · 97 L | -13.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Bucks | 52c | 417.31$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.31 | 685 | 42.6%292 W · 393 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Bucks | 52c | 410$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.8 | 909 | 57.6%524 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Lakers | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed Lakers | 50c | 400$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 166 | 57.2%95 W · 71 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Bucks | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 218 | 58.7%128 W · 90 L | +17.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4b…a250backed Lakers | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 344 | 47.4%163 W · 181 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Lakers | 50c | 298$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 304 | 54.9%167 W · 137 L | +16.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad44…db14backed Bucks | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.12 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…ca9dbacked Bucks | 50c | 260$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 182 | 40.7%74 W · 108 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Lakers | 46c | 258.22$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.66 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…669fbacked Lakers | 9c | 250$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 132 | 28.8%38 W · 94 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7c…d12fbacked Lakers | 51c | 235.29$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Lakers | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55ac…9955backed Lakers | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 10cpaid | +85.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Lakers | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 235 | 53.6%126 W · 109 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebb1…e7afbacked Bucks | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 368 | 54.1%199 W · 169 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd5…26ccbacked Bucks | 51c | 199.99$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 516 | 51%263 W · 253 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e3…29ebbacked Bucks | 72c | 184$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Lakers | 28c | 170$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Bucks | 52c | 160$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.8 | 344 | 51.5%177 W · 167 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d2…22fbbacked Bucks | 52c | 153.85$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.85 | 113 | 48.7%55 W · 58 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e9…5112backed Bucks | 51c | 150$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 217 | 49.3%107 W · 110 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c1…18c7backed Bucks | 55c | 140$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 140 | 42.9%60 W · 80 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Lakers | 34c | 125.67$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.41 | 306 | 16.7%51 W · 255 L | -36.5wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Lakers | 50c | 112.1$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.05 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Lakers | 49c | 110.7$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.24 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8328…0a5cbacked Lakers | 49c | 108.08$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.96 | 368 | 42.4%156 W · 212 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Lakers | 49c | 102$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09e3…48acbacked Lakers | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 147 | 46.9%69 W · 78 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc63…f1c7backed Lakers | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 506 | 53.2%269 W · 237 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Lakers | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 158 | 7%11 W · 147 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a20…af22backed Bucks | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Bucks | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 522 | 42.7%223 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Bucks | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 514 | 51.9%267 W · 247 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Lakers | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 745 | 47.2%352 W · 393 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e96…e9f8backed Bucks | 51c | 97.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.29 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Bucks | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f8…256ebacked Bucks | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf54a…e25dbacked Lakers | 42c | 94.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 157 | 52.2%82 W · 75 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Bucks | 52c | 90$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 231 | 53.2%123 W · 108 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13bc…2d19backed Lakers | 29c | 84.79$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.34 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -38%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Bucks | 52c | 84$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.32 | 623 | 49.6%309 W · 314 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Bucks | 52c | 84$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.32 | 717 | 47.6%341 W · 376 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Bucks | 52c | 84$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.32 | 317 | 54.6%173 W · 144 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x058a…ed5cbacked Bucks | 52c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Bucks | 52c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb58…4acebacked Bucks | 64c | 78.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.41 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Bucks | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Bucks | 51c | 76.47$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.47 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Lakers (-3.5)this page
- Bucks vs. LakersBucks won
- Bucks vs. Lakers: O/U 227.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Lakers: O/U 228.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Lakers: O/U 229.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Lakers: O/U 230.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Lakers: O/U 231.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Lakers: O/U 232.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Lakers: O/U 233.5Under won
- Spread: Lakers (-2.5)Bucks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.