NBA · resolved market
Bucks vs. Lakers: O/U 230.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6eae67d86fb2a2a37dc9533be9ef8ae491c23fafceac1854d76ea7a34c6ea9e4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,444
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,691
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,444 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Under | 52c | 14,979$7,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,190 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Over | 48c | 11,111$5,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,333.28 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4940…05cbbacked Over | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 52c | 6,312$3,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,057.06 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Under | 53c | 4,641$2,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,187.87 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Under | 53c | 3,887$2,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,818.45 | 502 | 41.2%207 W · 295 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 50c | 3,362$1,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,695.97 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 49c | 3,182$1,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,607.04 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Over | 48c | 3,014$1,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,446.49 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…2af1backed Over | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 214 | 46.7%100 W · 114 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 50c | 1,246$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 45c | 909.09$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.09 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Under | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 50c | 863$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.5 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Over | 45c | 840$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed Under | 46c | 798.51$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.2 | 166 | 57.2%95 W · 71 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Under | 55c | 694$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.3 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 45c | 694$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.3 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 48c | 627$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.96 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Over | 49c | 606.2$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 216 | 5.6%12 W · 204 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -61%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd24f…849ebacked Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 47c | 520.61$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.69 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Over | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 50c | 407.71$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.86 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Over | 47c | 339.99$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Over | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 329 | 52.9%174 W · 155 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Over | 47c | 284$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.48 | 401 | 46.9%188 W · 213 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…0eccbacked Under | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.02 | 245 | 56.3%138 W · 107 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Under | 50c | 272.46$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.23 | 119 | 42.9%51 W · 68 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Under | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 126 | 50%63 W · 63 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Over | 48c | 191.15$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.75 | 304 | 52.6%160 W · 144 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 56c | 182$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.08 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Over | 47c | 180$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.6 | 203 | 53.7%109 W · 94 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 44c | 174$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.56 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked Under | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 336 | 50.6%170 W · 166 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd925…3ab5backed Under | 53c | 143.94$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.65 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Over | 46c | 130.41$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.43 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca6b…9f5cbacked Over | 49c | 101.84$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.9 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -58%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07bc…393abacked Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +7.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d14…1eb4backed Under | 54c | 81.61$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.68 | 373 | 52%194 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Under | 52c | 59.62$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.62 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Under | 53c | 54.26$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed Under | 52c | 53.23$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.47 | 166 | 58.4%97 W · 69 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf9…1abfbacked Under | 52c | 52$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.96 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50c1…6c6cbacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…b479backed Over | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 147 | 27.2%40 W · 107 L | -21.7wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x086f…8bc3backed Over | 50c | 40.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.18 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 661 | 43.4%287 W · 374 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe00f…c254backed Under | 52c | 37.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.96 | 191 | 47.1%90 W · 101 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9b…d8afbacked Over | 51c | 33.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08b6…7db6backed Under | 52c | 26.76$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.77 | 120 | 62.5%75 W · 45 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Under | 52c | 26.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.66 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Over | 47c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 397 | 56.7%225 W · 172 L | +21.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Under | 52c | 24.44$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.63 | 244 | 54.1%132 W · 112 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Under | 78c | 22.58$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.97 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…5590backed Under | 52c | 21.61$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 180 | 51.1%92 W · 88 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bucks vs. Lakers: O/U 230.5this page
- Bucks vs. LakersBucks won
- Bucks vs. Lakers: O/U 227.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Lakers: O/U 228.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Lakers: O/U 229.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Lakers: O/U 231.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Lakers: O/U 232.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Lakers: O/U 233.5Under won
- Spread: Lakers (-2.5)Bucks won
- Spread: Lakers (-3.5)Bucks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.