NHL · resolved market
Flames vs. Kings
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d107430fd8f23ee3212133f61025eb21be1b859903014cb988f593a473b95e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kingsof Flames, Kings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $204,712
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $212,986
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $204,712 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 323 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Flames | 42c | 42,153$17,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,669.81 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Kings | 57c | 11,524$6,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,924.14 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x522a…d4a0backed Flames | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…e271backed Kings | 58c | 10,000$5,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,199.85 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Kings | 58c | 9,000$5,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,809.95 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff9…a78bbacked Kings | 58c | 6,578$3,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,762.59 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Kings | 58c | 6,071$3,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,562.03 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f6d…4ad5backed Flames | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Flames | 43c | 5,000$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,150 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Flames | 43c | 5,000$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,149.99 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Kings | 57c | 4,990$2,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,145.7 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Kings | 59c | 4,920$2,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,017.2 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2639…a9b6backed Flames | 9c | 4,477$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 174 | 42.5%74 W · 100 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Kings | 57c | 4,439$2,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,919.37 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kings | 62c | 4,403$2,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,662.96 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Kings | 57c | 4,089$2,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,758.26 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebc7…4003backed Kings | 57c | 4,000$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,719.88 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Flames | 42c | 3,566$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbe…b84fbacked Flames | 43c | 3,488$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 182 | 58.2%106 W · 76 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Kings | 58c | 2,964$1,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,247.5 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Kings | 57c | 2,438$1,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,048.25 | 457 | 51.6%236 W · 221 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Kings | 59c | 2,276$1,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$943.96 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Flames | 30c | 2,114$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.87 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Kings | 58c | 2,050$1,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.2 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Kings | 58c | 1,830$1,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.82 | 302 | 59.6%180 W · 122 L | +31.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa5…4f56backed Kings | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.39 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Flames | 43c | 1,357$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.42 | 134 | 37.3%50 W · 84 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2eed…85a9backed Kings | 57c | 1,215$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.45 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Flames | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Kings | 57c | 1,175$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.44 | 339 | 50.1%170 W · 169 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce50…b747backed Flames | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Kings | 60c | 1,111$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.4 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Flames | 44c | 1,100$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Kings | 56c | 1,062$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.07 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Kings | 59c | 1,000$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.38 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5b…a699backed Flames | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Kings | 58c | 999.86$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.94 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Flames | 43c | 999.61$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.83 | 271 | 50.2%136 W · 135 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Kings | 56c | 999.08$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.6 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…abc5backed Flames | 21c | 978.33$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.03 | 148 | 37.2%55 W · 93 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Flames | 49c | 961$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.12 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Flames | 44c | 910$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.4 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Flames | 42c | 899.88$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.62 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9852…111abacked Kings | 58c | 765.52$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.52 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Kings | 57c | 719.99$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.57 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Kings | 79c | 690.66$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.36 | 519 | 49.5%257 W · 262 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Flames | 23c | 686.96$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 358 | 29.3%105 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…2a04backed Flames | 40c | 667.4$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.96 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Flames | 19c | 641$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.39 | 277 | 39.4%109 W · 168 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Flames | 38c | 631.84$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.55 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Flames | 42c | 600$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 1,220 | 46.1%562 W · 658 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Flames | 36c | 550.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 369 | 48%177 W · 192 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc587…beefbacked Kings | 58c | 520.45$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.59 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Kings | 58c | 517.19$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.22 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Kings | 58c | 470$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.4 | 396 | 49.5%196 W · 200 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dab…9629backed Flames | 40c | 464.3$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.72 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 49cpaid | -48%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9b…9cafbacked Kings | 59c | 440.68$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.68 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0463…a137backed Flames | 42c | 440.48$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ac…f6b4backed Flames | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 349 | 41.3%144 W · 205 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Flames | 19c | 429$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.13 | 345 | 38.6%133 W · 212 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cb…bc54backed Kings | 59c | 427.16$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.16 | 299 | 46.8%140 W · 159 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Kings | 58c | 421.92$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.08 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Kings | 57c | 420.9$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.35 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…2767backed Flames | 27c | 419.82$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.56 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Kings | 58c | 400$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Kings | 57c | 399.83$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.93 | 148 | 53.4%79 W · 69 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Kings | 66c | 390.15$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.81 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c18…78aabacked Kings | 58c | 382.07$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.47 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9107…28c2backed Flames | 42c | 380.95$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Flames | 22c | 379.99$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.4 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Flames | 36c | 371$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.18 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc459…966fbacked Kings | 59c | 353.81$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.06 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Kings | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 167 | 56.3%94 W · 73 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99a7…a264backed Flames | 43c | 349.3$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.2 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.8wins | -0.27per pick | 48cpaid | -51%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x234e…240bbacked Kings | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Flames | 44c | 341.66$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.4 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Flames | 42c | 339.67$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.66 | 211 | 58.8%124 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e9…bd3fbacked Kings | 58c | 338.88$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.33 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +25%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…c830backed Flames | 14c | 333$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.62 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…5c87backed Flames | 13c | 333$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.36 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdff2…2e27backed Flames | 14c | 317$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.96 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6082…6ce2backed Kings | 58c | 300$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Flames | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 318 | 51.9%165 W · 153 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…fcf3backed Flames | 40c | 299.96$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.98 | 385 | 55.6%214 W · 171 L | +24.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Kings | 57c | 289.22$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.04 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Flames | 43c | 277$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.11 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5142…ee20backed Flames | 43c | 274.81$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.26 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Kings | 62c | 272.23$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.95 | 266 | 57.1%152 W · 114 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4649…4500backed Flames | 43c | 265.14$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.01 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x805f…7492backed Flames | 42c | 264.19$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.96 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Flames | 43c | 260$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.8 | 749 | 51.8%388 W · 361 L | +18.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9794…9371backed Kings | 59c | 255.12$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.6 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +58%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45ac…c0c4backed Flames | 43c | 253.72$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.1 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f1…b386backed Flames | 40c | 248.69$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Kings | 58c | 239$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.38 | 265 | 51.3%136 W · 129 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d3…9af1backed Kings | 59c | 239$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.99 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x847d…2505backed Kings | 58c | 234.17$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.35 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.28per pick | 46cpaid | -67%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb858…7dc3backed Flames | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 128 | 55.5%71 W · 57 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb98e…8823backed Flames | 45c | 231.11$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x958a…c897backed Flames | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 140 | 47.9%67 W · 73 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Flames vs. Kingsthis page
- Flames vs. Kings: O/U 4.5Under won
- Flames vs. Kings: O/U 5.5Under won
- Flames vs. Kings: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Kings (-1.5)Kings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.