TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Morelos: Miguel Tobon vs Juan Pablo Ficovich

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Miguel Tobonof Miguel Tobon, Juan Pablo Ficovich
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$71,219

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,219 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Miguel Tobon67c7,033$4,706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,327.127,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34ed…cfe3backed Juan Pablo Ficovich25c7,000$1,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7507357.5%42 W · 31 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5886…fe3bbacked Juan Pablo Ficovich1c5,000$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70273.7%1 W · 26 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick2cpaid+23.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf05c…66b9backed Juan Pablo Ficovich1c5,000$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70130%0 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ce0…6599backed Juan Pablo Ficovich2c4,500$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70260%0 W · 26 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23ec…759fbacked Juan Pablo Ficovich1c4,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50630%0 W · 63 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Juan Pablo Ficovich28c2,253$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621.882,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Juan Pablo Ficovich53c2,091$1,117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,116.543,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Juan Pablo Ficovich50c1,945$968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$968.068,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80ef…3973backed Juan Pablo Ficovich1c1,300$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16260%0 W · 26 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Juan Pablo Ficovich66c1,156$763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$762.941,97346.3%914 W · 1,059 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Juan Pablo Ficovich29c1,037$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.5727231.3%85 W · 187 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4738…4687backed Miguel Tobon50c1,006$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.2237351.2%191 W · 182 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Juan Pablo Ficovich1c1,000$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131389.4%13 W · 125 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick4cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Juan Pablo Ficovich1c1,000$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14521.9%1 W · 51 L+0.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid+31.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ea1…f17ebacked Juan Pablo Ficovich1c1,000$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13300%0 W · 30 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Juan Pablo Ficovich51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5106,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Miguel Tobon69c668.59$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.742,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb580…9b95backed Juan Pablo Ficovich45c545$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.1426941.3%111 W · 158 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed Juan Pablo Ficovich43c538$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.5937342.6%159 W · 214 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Miguel Tobon48c457.18$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.319,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Miguel Tobon34c441.18$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.181,76843.2%764 W · 1,004 L+2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Juan Pablo Ficovich44c430$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.0799044.8%444 W · 546 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Miguel Tobon41c367.74$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.251,26529.2%370 W · 895 L-13.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb906…2a75backed Miguel Tobon34c330.91$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.440744%179 W · 228 L-14.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Juan Pablo Ficovich50c298.55$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.022,06535.2%727 W · 1,338 L-52.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x004e…90f8backed Juan Pablo Ficovich56c269.94$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15113146.6%61 W · 70 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbde7…cf8abacked Juan Pablo Ficovich7c250$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187828.2%22 W · 56 L+11.6wins+0.15per pick13cpaid+31.1%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x96d9…18a0backed Miguel Tobon54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923855.3%21 W · 17 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+14.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Juan Pablo Ficovich52c190$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.571,24551.9%646 W · 599 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7e4…15eebacked Juan Pablo Ficovich10c175$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.054617.4%8 W · 38 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick14cpaid-13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Miguel Tobon59c164.44$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.514,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7896…c2ffbacked Juan Pablo Ficovich64c160.94$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1039453.2%50 W · 44 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Juan Pablo Ficovich10c160$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.39522.1%21 W · 74 L-11.7wins-0.12per pick34cpaid-51.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2ce2…4b11backed Juan Pablo Ficovich12c159.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.64027.5%11 W · 29 L-3.5wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-25.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xda22…6d2abacked Juan Pablo Ficovich55c154.55$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8535344.8%158 W · 195 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84c7…bea7backed Miguel Tobon34c147.07$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.0766452.3%347 W · 317 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Juan Pablo Ficovich69c145$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.0538268.1%260 W · 122 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Juan Pablo Ficovich49c124.39$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.722,76153.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L+73.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d2f…1bffbacked Juan Pablo Ficovich13c120$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.61643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed Juan Pablo Ficovich44c102.39$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.4650731.2%158 W · 349 L-41.2wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-36.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd68e…8048backed Juan Pablo Ficovich66c100.68$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6641272.8%300 W · 112 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick71cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Juan Pablo Ficovich55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551,10742.8%474 W · 633 L-20.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Juan Pablo Ficovich38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3846556.1%261 W · 204 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x751b…90fbbacked Miguel Tobon71c98.83$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.7320758%120 W · 87 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad06…b132backed Juan Pablo Ficovich16c96.47$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.977639.5%30 W · 46 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed Juan Pablo Ficovich23c90$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.525737%95 W · 162 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fab…708bbacked Juan Pablo Ficovich28c84.29$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.41,27630.4%388 W · 888 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Miguel Tobon57c80.6$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.0357252.3%299 W · 273 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed Miguel Tobon30c72.43$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.77427%20 W · 54 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca67…5476backed Miguel Tobon48c72.22$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.221070%7 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+31.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x58f2…692ebacked Juan Pablo Ficovich70c71$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.753457.7%308 W · 226 L-0.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd88a…1eefbacked Miguel Tobon35c69$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.8554434.2%186 W · 358 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-2.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfa02…8b07backed Juan Pablo Ficovich59c67.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408068.8%55 W · 25 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Miguel Tobon48c67.29$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.991,25850%629 W · 629 L-4.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7690…dfcebacked Juan Pablo Ficovich30c66.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2034637.9%131 W · 215 L+0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe761…4f54backed Miguel Tobon57c65.29$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.0926349.4%130 W · 133 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Miguel Tobon57c63.08$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.37,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Miguel Tobon38c56.76$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.9436333.9%123 W · 240 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Miguel Tobon72c55$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.252,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Miguel Tobon34c51.17$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.771,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Juan Pablo Ficovich40c49.73$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.014,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Juan Pablo Ficovich52c48.34$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2458048.4%281 W · 299 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd866…55e0backed Miguel Tobon63c40.98$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.9938460.4%232 W · 152 L+29.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Miguel Tobon67c40.28$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.0970148.2%338 W · 363 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Miguel Tobon78c38.46$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.4653752.3%281 W · 256 L+2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x400d…e759backed Miguel Tobon33c34.97$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.4360856.6%344 W · 264 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe214…7febbacked Juan Pablo Ficovich63c31.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012444.4%55 W · 69 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x071f…92bdbacked Miguel Tobon62c30.64$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.731,07673.8%794 W · 282 L+41.1wins+0.04per pick70cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Miguel Tobon60c30.05$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.1631434.4%108 W · 206 L-25.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-32.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc539…5ec2backed Juan Pablo Ficovich55c29$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9532843.9%144 W · 184 L-11.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa7a8…2d58backed Juan Pablo Ficovich65c27.86$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.119154.9%50 W · 41 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick57cpaid+5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Juan Pablo Ficovich37c27.56$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.162,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x53c5…cb95backed Juan Pablo Ficovich42c27.2$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4224244.6%108 W · 134 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x449e…4f8ebacked Juan Pablo Ficovich65c27$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5513556.3%76 W · 59 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-6.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Juan Pablo Ficovich51c25.79$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2745147.2%213 W · 238 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x449d…88cfbacked Juan Pablo Ficovich64c23.44$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ef1…5acabacked Juan Pablo Ficovich65c21$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.651,79460.2%1,080 W · 714 L+6.8wins0.00per pick60cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe966…73acbacked Juan Pablo Ficovich60c20.3$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.182948.3%14 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfffb…5f95backed Juan Pablo Ficovich50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010063%63 W · 37 L+6.0wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x586d…fb12backed Miguel Tobon68c17.4$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.5321172%152 W · 59 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9555…889abacked Juan Pablo Ficovich64c15.63$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1058067.8%393 W · 187 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ed…72efbacked Juan Pablo Ficovich67c15.04$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0838754.3%210 W · 177 L+11.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.