CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: METANOIA WOLVES vs Guara Esports (BO3) - CCT South America Series #10 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x513939ceff8ed07a661ad934bff920b3d6b8b2d49d8ba2df6a2b2e9dac77a05e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Guara Esportsof METANOIA WOLVES, Guara Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,052
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,052 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Guara Esports | 67c | 3,686$2,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,210.62 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Guara Esports | 47c | 2,873$1,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,512.21 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x085e…9aeabacked METANOIA WOLVES | 50c | 2,693$1,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,355.37 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 52c | 2,595$1,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,351.26 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Guara Esports | 44c | 1,283$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.14 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 32c | 1,054$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.28 | 219 | 39.7%87 W · 132 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed METANOIA WOLVES | 41c | 925.32$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.66 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Guara Esports | 46c | 808.06$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.43 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Guara Esports | 50c | 689.71$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.96 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed METANOIA WOLVES | 15c | 650.76$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.28 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 6c | 605$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.87 | 329 | 30.4%100 W · 229 L | -21.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed METANOIA WOLVES | 40c | 513.73$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.92 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed METANOIA WOLVES | 23c | 425.01$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.86 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Guara Esports | 66c | 324.34$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.73 | 157 | 32.5%51 W · 106 L | -11.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39e2…040dbacked Guara Esports | 45c | 268.98$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.94 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed METANOIA WOLVES | 37c | 268.67$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.64 | 529 | 51.4%272 W · 257 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…7ed7backed METANOIA WOLVES | 48c | 248.98$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed METANOIA WOLVES | 34c | 228$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.24 | 398 | 51.3%204 W · 194 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked METANOIA WOLVES | 46c | 227$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.98 | 497 | 45.9%228 W · 269 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 45c | 224$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.84 | 543 | 46.2%251 W · 292 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd679…9ccfbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 49c | 214.58$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa84d…74a8backed METANOIA WOLVES | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb909…2d57backed METANOIA WOLVES | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf2…1e5bbacked Guara Esports | 56c | 150$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.75 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | +13.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed METANOIA WOLVES | 42c | 145$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.91 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 48c | 144$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.44 | 489 | 48.7%238 W · 251 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54b4…748abacked METANOIA WOLVES | 20c | 120$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.24 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca67…5476backed METANOIA WOLVES | 34c | 113.9$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.59 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Guara Esports | 47c | 110.91$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.51 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed METANOIA WOLVES | 60c | 106$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.4 | 463 | 44.5%206 W · 257 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2f…a15fbacked Guara Esports | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 190 | 55.8%106 W · 84 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed METANOIA WOLVES | 21c | 93.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd2…1f27backed Guara Esports | 35c | 85.29$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.29 | 544 | 39.7%216 W · 328 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed METANOIA WOLVES | 25c | 77.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Guara Esports | 41c | 75.6$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.71 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…7b4fbacked Guara Esports | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 257 | 53.7%138 W · 119 L | -20.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…78ccbacked Guara Esports | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Guara Esports | 46c | 73.37$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.26 | 958 | 49.8%477 W · 481 L | -17.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed METANOIA WOLVES | 55c | 72$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.79 | 247 | 47%116 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked Guara Esports | 72c | 67.82$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed METANOIA WOLVES | 19c | 65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed METANOIA WOLVES | 49c | 64.01$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.44 | 468 | 43.4%203 W · 265 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3d…bbfabacked Guara Esports | 43c | 58.81$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.8 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8945…640bbacked Guara Esports | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 262 | 57.6%151 W · 111 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Guara Esports | 63c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.65 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed METANOIA WOLVES | 33c | 48.89$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.31 | 567 | 32.5%184 W · 383 L | -30.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked METANOIA WOLVES | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 69cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Guara Esports | 41c | 39.36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.35 | 459 | 56.9%261 W · 198 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbac…693ebacked METANOIA WOLVES | 47c | 38.52$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ce…daa7backed METANOIA WOLVES | 58c | 37.61$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Guara Esports | 68c | 30.18$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.58 | 623 | 50.9%317 W · 306 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked METANOIA WOLVES | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72b2…963dbacked Guara Esports | 39c | 29.85$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.08 | 30 | 10%3 W · 27 L | -5.1wins | -0.17per pick | 27cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf8…5facbacked Guara Esports | 70c | 28.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0097…9055backed Guara Esports | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 41 | 85.4%35 W · 6 L | +7.8wins | +0.19per pick | 66cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Guara Esports | 50c | 23.41$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2023…294cbacked Guara Esports | 59c | 20.87$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.63 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 67cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8821…32c6backed Guara Esports | 59c | 20.54$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.42 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a2…23a0backed METANOIA WOLVES | 52c | 20.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -7.0wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xefd1…e5d1backed METANOIA WOLVES | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: METANOIA WOLVES vs Guara Esports (BO3) - CCT South America Series #10 Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: METANOIA WOLVES vs Guara Esports - Map 1 WinnerGuara Esports won
- Counter-Strike: METANOIA WOLVES vs Guara Esports - Map 2 WinnerMETANOIA WOLVES won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.