TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Bebop vs Ursa (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #18 Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Ursaof Bebop, Ursa
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$79,834

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,834 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 146 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Ursa32c7,095$2,276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,819.72,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x085e…9aeabacked Bebop57c3,006$1,716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,715.833759.5%22 W · 15 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+21.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf8ab…13a1backed Bebop65c3,000$1,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9506747.8%32 W · 35 L-6.6wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-16.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x567e…e8fbbacked Ursa36c2,914$1,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,877.8721939.7%87 W · 132 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0133…64bcbacked Bebop77c2,537$1,944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,944.423265.6%21 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd208…0e63backed Bebop11c2,410$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.95366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid-13.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90eb…db79backed Bebop76c1,974$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5002454.2%13 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Ursa42c1,797$755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,042.043,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Bebop64c1,754$1,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,130.476,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3db4…d69bbacked Bebop50c1,500$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75075056.8%426 W · 324 L+47.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Ursa39c1,255$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$769.265,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4b59…3aa6backed Ursa47c1,138$534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604.5484958.3%495 W · 354 L+60.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x837b…81d5backed Bebop20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-31.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa16b…b541backed Bebop53c1,000$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53043455.1%239 W · 195 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Ursa52c955.32$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.3227452.9%145 W · 129 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Ursa39c949.26$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.4117849.4%88 W · 90 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+14.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Bebop54c933.19$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.495,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46ae…ed64backed Bebop71c926.67$656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$655.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d9e…5421backed Bebop67c894.84$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2761…4d95backed Ursa41c839.62$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.8452951.4%272 W · 257 L+23.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Ursa55c691.87$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.222,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0832…9182backed Ursa46c654.01$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.69257.6%53 W · 39 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Ursa29c623.63$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.6456732.5%184 W · 383 L-30.0wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-36.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7da7…17aabacked Bebop51c591.8$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+74.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Bebop60c542$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.7346843.4%203 W · 265 L-11.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b9b…c323backed Ursa49c500$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.055070%35 W · 15 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+22.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Bebop56c455$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.654346.2%251 W · 292 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8b6…c7dbbacked Bebop54c444$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.7636253.3%193 W · 169 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Bebop58c408$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.1546344.5%206 W · 257 L-14.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Bebop59c400$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.0949745.9%228 W · 269 L-10.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa4…16e3backed Bebop58c395.86$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.8576546.7%357 W · 408 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb580…9b95backed Bebop59c381$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.4524747%116 W · 131 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Ursa31c378.98$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.564,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfa0…c3acbacked Ursa40c374.39$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.044065%26 W · 14 L+6.4wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+24.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4687…8d42backed Bebop54c373.96$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.6752947.1%249 W · 280 L-14.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Ursa49c361.38$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.487,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Bebop56c356.1$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20024346.9%114 W · 129 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Ursa29c350.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.521,57929.7%469 W · 1,110 L-86.9wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-39.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1f4f…46c2backed Ursa43c327.89$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.5639851.3%204 W · 194 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1118…6f82backed Ursa40c325$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+21.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16b8…cdb5backed Bebop77c313.68$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.42per pick59cpaid-78.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Bebop59c301.34$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.082,46824.6%607 W · 1,861 L-317.8wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-51.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x2d1f…a252backed Ursa42c298.51$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.215033.3%50 W · 100 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Ursa49c293.67$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.821,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8eb3…2ab3backed Bebop71c280.42$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002665.4%17 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick70cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Ursa44c276.05$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.5960451%308 W · 296 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Ursa44c249.97$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.991,57335.3%556 W · 1,017 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xeca1…57e4backed Ursa50c238.73$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.9813436.6%49 W · 85 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed Bebop61c237$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.4929647.6%141 W · 155 L-13.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-19.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Ursa29c232.24$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.35,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x125f…c488backed Bebop69c220$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc155…dc0fbacked Bebop69c217.87$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.8630%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xace6…5556backed Ursa46c217.02$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.0267651.8%350 W · 326 L+2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Ursa44c200$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11219344%85 W · 108 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x649d…ec03backed Ursa36c200$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1282060%12 W · 8 L+3.5wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+38.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x671d…c1c6backed Bebop12c193.67$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241020%2 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-38.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca67…5476backed Bebop70c185.49$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b84…2f73backed Bebop56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001250%6 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-22.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d0e…13aabacked Bebop44c160.78$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.0215638.5%60 W · 96 L-19.6wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-25.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x5142…ee20backed Ursa51c156.86$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.861968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Ursa44c156.3$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.082,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5583…1fbbbacked Bebop51c153.5$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.296149.2%30 W · 31 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x500e…6118backed Bebop75c132.81$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed Bebop48c127.32$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.1140247.8%192 W · 210 L+11.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfcf0…b95dbacked Bebop56c120$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.618751.3%96 W · 91 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Ursa31c106$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.931,30426.5%345 W · 959 L-89.4wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7b28…ff4fbacked Ursa46c103.06$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.561,35252%703 W · 649 L+29.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd752…7b4fbacked Ursa49c102.14$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.1425753.7%138 W · 119 L-20.0wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-13.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdc5a…bf71backed Bebop68c100.79$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.3580744.6%360 W · 447 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe64b…9cf1backed Ursa34c100$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$664362.8%27 W · 16 L+6.2wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+30%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xced8…221ebacked Bebop48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4870038.9%272 W · 428 L-29.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3262…3e5fbacked Ursa40c98.72$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.72580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+66.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf7b…5091backed Bebop74c98.21$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick73cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf104…d34cbacked Bebop49c94.72$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.5611037.3%41 W · 69 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-28.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x68fa…b21bbacked Bebop53c94.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-50.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe488…f2c0backed Bebop56c89.84$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503855.3%21 W · 17 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick63cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc255…68f8backed Bebop77c89.08$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.592867.9%19 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x581f…9d8ebacked Ursa38c81.7$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.6513351.1%68 W · 65 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd425…603ebacked Bebop63c81.3$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.227255.6%40 W · 32 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd612…0477backed Ursa37c81.2$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.993961.5%24 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4b1…18ffbacked Bebop62c80.65$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502552%13 W · 12 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe564…221abacked Ursa26c78.15$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.151,07832%345 W · 733 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe52e…ac6dbacked Ursa40c75$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452365.2%15 W · 8 L+3.3wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+24.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Ursa30c74.54$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.072,10216.8%353 W · 1,749 L-286.5wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-47.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xf740…cf50backed Bebop60c68.33$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4113943.9%61 W · 78 L-9.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-16.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6f2a…e0d7backed Ursa30c66.95$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.9521141.7%88 W · 123 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x239d…d21cbacked Bebop61c64.29$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick37cpaid-73.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Ursa33c63.7$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.4145956.9%261 W · 198 L+20.9wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa62c…a3c1backed Bebop52c63.05$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.610651.9%55 W · 51 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xefff…2d98backed Ursa47c59.54$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.478045%36 W · 44 L-6.2wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-15.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbf0b…7cccbacked Bebop54c56.41$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.4645450.2%228 W · 226 L-12.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x83c8…3b6cbacked Bebop54c55.56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301,04357.3%598 W · 445 L+17.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b38…4d61backed Ursa32c55.25$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.4725045.2%113 W · 137 L-1.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Ursa39c55$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.5579951.7%413 W · 386 L+25.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Ursa39c55$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.5596543.5%420 W · 545 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x155b…d7babacked Bebop61c54.41$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.240652.2%212 W · 194 L+22.4wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4425…0d21backed Bebop63c52.78$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3370%0 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f71…9a06backed Bebop76c52.63$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40875%6 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad06…b132backed Bebop68c50.7$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.667948.1%38 W · 41 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Ursa42c50$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2924633.3%82 W · 164 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.