Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 66-67°F on March 13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x48e4a853cc5beca0f7230a16bf46fd55682b94ebf417093deb47ac27171699a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,369
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,369 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2060…db34backed Yes | 0c | 13,077$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b5…5ea4backed Yes | 36c | 2,779$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32f3…f15abacked Yes | 35c | 2,717$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd35d…a786backed Yes | 35c | 2,693$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6796…f1f2backed Yes | 35c | 2,626$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bff…7c0ebacked No | 64c | 1,411$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2979…7946backed No | 65c | 1,394$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed99…ef94backed No | 64c | 1,368$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d29…d725backed No | 65c | 1,362$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7650…1c3ebacked No | 65c | 1,359$883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48ee…2bbebacked No | 65c | 1,355$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb5…d77dbacked No | 65c | 1,299$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb80…78cbbacked No | 65c | 1,267$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d87…f13cbacked Yes | 48c | 1,075$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.84 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa37d…b2b4backed No | 64c | 885.62$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.84 | 321 | 57.3%184 W · 137 L | +17.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad13…7ed6backed No | 72c | 764.71$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.48 | 919 | 67%616 W · 303 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Yes | 34c | 531.84$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.72 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 26c | 486.81$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.98 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 27c | 415$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.22 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d72…8e62backed Yes | 10c | 400$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 1,817 | 8.1%148 W · 1,669 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 25c | 368.62$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.32 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf350…9961backed Yes | 58c | 343.72$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11dc…fac5backed No | 50c | 280$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 9c | 264$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.09 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09a8…47c1backed Yes | 21c | 228.29$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.11 | 418 | 45.2%189 W · 229 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 74c | 220.73$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.13 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…0a0bbacked No | 66c | 200$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.39 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc33…9636backed No | 65c | 199.98$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.99 | 125 | 40%50 W · 75 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2db…2263backed Yes | 28c | 199.87$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.29 | 111 | 26.1%29 W · 82 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a42…8da8backed Yes | 30c | 199.13$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.16 | 388 | 40.7%158 W · 230 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0d2…c042backed Yes | 51c | 194.6$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 25c | 171.2$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.18 | 722 | 22.3%161 W · 561 L | -37.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c51…d7aebacked No | 76c | 170.45$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.81 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 71c | 163.42$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.47 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 59c | 157.88$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.05 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Yes | 37c | 156.95$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.75 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -4.4wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x30ad…22d6backed No | 79c | 146.36$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.08 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cc…a95dbacked No | 73c | 133.86$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.86 | 70 | 81.4%57 W · 13 L | +10.1wins | +0.14per pick | 67cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ca…ad5dbacked Yes | 27c | 129.84$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 36c | 126.91$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.99 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb5…b3cfbacked No | 67c | 124.62$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.58 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…8ee7backed No | 71c | 122.99$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.55 | 163 | 55.2%90 W · 73 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ab…2048backed No | 69c | 120.16$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.25 | 135 | 31.9%43 W · 92 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0b…30aebacked Yes | 41c | 120$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.94 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7deb…7c0abacked Yes | 25c | 119.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 156 | 26.3%41 W · 115 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 59c | 117.82$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.36 | 1,592 | 30.8%491 W · 1,101 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Yes | 37c | 109.52$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.59 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf306…2155backed Yes | 28c | 102.12$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.1 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4635…6c48backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -7.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…29bfbacked Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.62 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | -4.6wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f8…f4cbbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 812 | 34.1%277 W · 535 L | +56.9wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe44…af27backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.9 | 174 | 33.9%59 W · 115 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…a3ddbacked Yes | 33c | 99.97$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.29 | 216 | 41.7%90 W · 126 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb616…0086backed Yes | 35c | 99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.81 | 164 | 34.1%56 W · 108 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df8…4005backed No | 78c | 96.77$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.29 | 108 | 41.7%45 W · 63 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba5…dc25backed Yes | 48c | 96.55$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd979…4a18backed Yes | 33c | 96.23$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +4.7wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 27c | 95$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.72 | 2,823 | 11.2%316 W · 2,507 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bcb…634fbacked Yes | 32c | 94.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 215 | 47.4%102 W · 113 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed No | 51c | 94.69$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.11 | 981 | 60.6%594 W · 387 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked No | 74c | 92.66$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.17 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a1…3840backed Yes | 27c | 91$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.77 | 1,153 | 27.1%312 W · 841 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 28c | 90.12$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.83 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c25…87c0backed Yes | 48c | 78.41$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.55 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 26c | 75.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b0b…3b3fbacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 27c | 71.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae47…638dbacked No | 72c | 69.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.83 | 525 | 71.2%374 W · 151 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Yes | 36c | 69.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.07 | 342 | 19.9%68 W · 274 L | +18.6wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1382…7820backed Yes | 30c | 67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 147 | 36.1%53 W · 94 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc92…b4d7backed No | 69c | 65.59$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 103 | 60.2%62 W · 41 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3c…eba1backed No | 45c | 64.86$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.49 | 134 | 53.7%72 W · 62 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…8e43backed No | 79c | 63.69$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.69 | 151 | 55.6%84 W · 67 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd03…932fbacked Yes | 30c | 63.55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.06 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b9…b47fbacked No | 60c | 63$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa7a…957ebacked Yes | 51c | 59.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +43%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e4…eec0backed Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53a0…1907backed Yes | 28c | 55.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.34 | 73 | 9.6%7 W · 66 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd524…0f5abacked Yes | 54c | 55.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.88 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2061…c872backed Yes | 27c | 54.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3681…4e48backed No | 74c | 54.35$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.2 | 1,375 | 56%770 W · 605 L | +25.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65c4…7ea4backed Yes | 39c | 51.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 559 | 42.6%238 W · 321 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bda…439fbacked No | 49c | 50.61$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.61 | 594 | 40.6%241 W · 353 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x858b…a2cebacked Yes | 60c | 50.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.12 | 171 | 44.4%76 W · 95 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8e…5d6abacked Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 95 | 20%19 W · 76 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc393…66f9backed Yes | 29c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 129 | 32.6%42 W · 87 L | -8.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40eb…ade9backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 495 | 47.1%233 W · 262 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xace5…4457backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 58 | 12.1%7 W · 51 L | -7.9wins | -0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x356b…1c3fbacked Yes | 22c | 47.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 591 | 25.9%153 W · 438 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36c2…2b8cbacked No | 64c | 46.9$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 707 | 70.2%496 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…d144backed No | 44c | 46.8$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.24 | 1,255 | 62.5%785 W · 470 L | +99.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x80f5…2b27backed Yes | 45c | 45.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.67 | 314 | 42.4%133 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 51c | 45.26$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.35 | 1,842 | 63.5%1,170 W · 672 L | -42.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ced…7ce8backed No | 50c | 45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x884f…c132backed Yes | 62c | 44.5$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.56 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -4.8wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa9…858dbacked Yes | 29c | 43.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5220…901dbacked Yes | 58c | 43.42$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.25per pick | 46cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe31e…ec88backed Yes | 35c | 43.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 559 | 19.1%107 W · 452 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x720a…0a49backed No | 69c | 42.58$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.41 | 118 | 78.8%93 W · 25 L | +9.3wins | +0.08per pick | 71cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a49…8d1fbacked No | 43c | 42.33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.29 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 66-67°F on March 13?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 57°F or below on March 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 72°F or higher on March 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 58-59°F on March 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 60-61°F on March 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 62-63°F on March 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 64-65°F on March 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on March 13?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on March 13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.