Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on March 13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8661eb4c26a090139c40f99ea2abf3e3ddb8d4165772a101b49fe04e94d208a9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,872
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,872 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 143 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe383…9d00backed Yes | 33c | 2,697$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,806.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb2…bb29backed Yes | 33c | 2,693$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,804.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fc…88e1backed Yes | 41c | 1,691$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.91 | 1,298 | 33.1%430 W · 868 L | +39.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d87…f13cbacked Yes | 41c | 1,620$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.54 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4358…fb04backed No | 67c | 1,364$914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$913.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e7…d1f0backed No | 67c | 1,349$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1516…64bbbacked No | 67c | 1,344$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf453…bf30backed No | 67c | 1,333$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad13…7ed6backed No | 59c | 588.99$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.38 | 919 | 67%616 W · 303 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 31c | 546.42$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.76 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Yes | 48c | 545.23$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.6 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51bb…a919backed No | 75c | 460.42$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.59 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3c…eba1backed No | 21c | 458.81$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.67 | 134 | 53.7%72 W · 62 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Yes | 48c | 446.49$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.93 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -4.4wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1c78…42e6backed No | 12c | 405.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 597 | 42%251 W · 346 L | +96.8wins | +0.16per pick | 26cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked No | 52c | 390.15$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.09 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 42c | 355.68$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.07 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Yes | 47c | 332.91$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.32 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…a3ddbacked Yes | 73c | 305.55$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.5 | 216 | 41.7%90 W · 126 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3681…4e48backed No | 56c | 300.42$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.98 | 1,375 | 56%770 W · 605 L | +25.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 59c | 258.32$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.76 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f8…f4cbbacked Yes | 36c | 238.76$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.78 | 812 | 34.1%277 W · 535 L | +56.9wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf2db…2263backed Yes | 46c | 200.18$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.71 | 111 | 26.1%29 W · 82 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 16c | 200$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 860 | 50.9%438 W · 422 L | +29.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6372…4a25backed No | 76c | 193.1$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 410 | 70.5%289 W · 121 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 46c | 190.7$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.14 | 1,592 | 30.8%491 W · 1,101 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…f23dbacked Yes | 29c | 187.55$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.15 | 335 | 35.2%118 W · 217 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa37d…b2b4backed Yes | 58c | 184.47$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.14 | 321 | 57.3%184 W · 137 L | +17.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47af…3999backed No | 59c | 175.44$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.43 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x132e…c1dfbacked Yes | 45c | 174$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 45c | 164.9$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.51 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1348…7037backed No | 61c | 159.46$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.25 | 176 | 65.9%116 W · 60 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa8…afb6backed Yes | 46c | 157$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 59cpaid | +79.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0d2…c042backed Yes | 34c | 145.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 28c | 144.01$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.15 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0428…285cbacked Yes | 46c | 142$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ad…22d6backed No | 52c | 139.99$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf60…79c5backed Yes | 43c | 126.85$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.86 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d67…2b6abacked No | 74c | 125.67$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…faeabacked Yes | 66c | 122.82$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.24 | 311 | 70.7%220 W · 91 L | +42.3wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x83fe…23d9backed No | 62c | 120$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.65 | 327 | 60.6%198 W · 129 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7deb…7c0abacked Yes | 22c | 119.98$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.59 | 156 | 26.3%41 W · 115 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ca…ad5dbacked Yes | 28c | 119.82$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.82 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 32c | 119.7$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.99 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb5…b3cfbacked No | 37c | 119.15$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.59 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbecc…f560backed Yes | 36c | 117.42$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.15 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Yes | 31c | 117.12$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.76 | 328 | 18.3%60 W · 268 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bda…439fbacked No | 66c | 113.45$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 594 | 40.6%241 W · 353 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 70c | 111.13$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.08 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a4…f148backed Yes | 30c | 104.54$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.11 | 1,429 | 34.5%493 W · 936 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df8…4005backed No | 72c | 103.42$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.46 | 108 | 41.7%45 W · 63 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b09…aca6backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 262 | 36.6%96 W · 166 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb616…0086backed Yes | 32c | 99.08$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.27 | 164 | 34.1%56 W · 108 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 57c | 98.86$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.62 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…8ee7backed No | 58c | 91$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.98 | 163 | 55.2%90 W · 73 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a1…3840backed Yes | 40c | 91$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.26 | 1,153 | 27.1%312 W · 841 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 59c | 90$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.1 | 1,605 | 42.9%689 W · 916 L | -86.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 58c | 90$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…c70bbacked No | 68c | 90$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.52 | 549 | 66.7%366 W · 183 L | -27.1wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 57c | 89.07$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.66 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4f…8fbcbacked Yes | 26c | 83.49$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.05 | 214 | 40.2%86 W · 128 L | +12.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ced…7ce8backed No | 60c | 83$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.8 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe31e…ec88backed Yes | 31c | 81.81$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.3 | 559 | 19.1%107 W · 452 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0832…8681backed No | 56c | 78.08$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.72 | 346 | 51.2%177 W · 169 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1382…7820backed Yes | 26c | 77.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.86 | 147 | 36.1%53 W · 94 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a78…e93fbacked No | 56c | 75$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0067…446fbacked Yes | 27c | 73.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.21 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbc…4105backed Yes | 32c | 71.12$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.36 | 337 | 26.4%89 W · 248 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb537…14ccbacked No | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 414 | 60.1%249 W · 165 L | -21.5wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2205…8089backed No | 75c | 69.96$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 290 | 56.2%163 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc92…b4d7backed No | 59c | 69.78$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.17 | 103 | 60.2%62 W · 41 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a42…8da8backed No | 58c | 68.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.53 | 388 | 40.7%158 W · 230 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 34c | 64.75$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.05 | 2,823 | 11.2%316 W · 2,507 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24fe…3419backed Yes | 31c | 63.62$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.16 | 212 | 35.8%76 W · 136 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df1…ab0abacked No | 54c | 63$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d3f…ae75backed No | 74c | 61.2$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.18 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 68cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11dc…fac5backed No | 41c | 60$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade7…3159backed Yes | 42c | 60$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.6 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…4d23backed Yes | 30c | 60$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 987 | 38.1%376 W · 611 L | +80.8wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3712…f40ebacked No | 75c | 59.68$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c25…87c0backed Yes | 41c | 58.25$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.12 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17f3…769bbacked No | 57c | 56.14$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 71cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…5712backed No | 54c | 56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e27…9694backed Yes | 41c | 54.35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8643…82a0backed Yes | 39c | 52.93$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.17 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Yes | 28c | 51.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.16 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5368…2d62backed No | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,804 | 27.4%494 W · 1,310 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd01…d8cdbacked Yes | 34c | 51$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.82 | 332 | 43.1%143 W · 189 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x858b…a2cebacked Yes | 33c | 50.41$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.02 | 171 | 44.4%76 W · 95 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc393…66f9backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.2 | 129 | 32.6%42 W · 87 L | -8.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2cc…2d9abacked No | 59c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 30cpaid | -87.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb52e…6104backed Yes | 29c | 48.94$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.94 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x94e6…0a73backed Yes | 35c | 48.51$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.38 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…141dbacked Yes | 29c | 47.55$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.87 | 1,256 | 38.2%480 W · 776 L | +53.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 60c | 46.38$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.68 | 1,842 | 63.5%1,170 W · 672 L | -42.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36c2…2b8cbacked No | 69c | 43.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 707 | 70.2%496 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa7a…957ebacked Yes | 33c | 42.3$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.3 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +43%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d33…0199backed Yes | 30c | 42.07$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.45 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x356b…1c3fbacked Yes | 24c | 42$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.98 | 591 | 25.9%153 W · 438 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on March 13?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 57°F or below on March 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 72°F or higher on March 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 58-59°F on March 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 60-61°F on March 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 62-63°F on March 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 64-65°F on March 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 66-67°F on March 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on March 13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.