TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Stocks · resolved market

Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of March 9 above $5.00?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Stocksevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$45,335

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,335 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Stocks is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Stocks
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbca6…73e3backed No49c5,000$2,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5502100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2651…3471backed No50c2,183$1,091 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,091.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5136…0c60backed No52c2,063$1,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$997.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+93.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8907…a996backed Yes47c1,763$834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$834.1250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1755…5aacbacked Yes46c1,608$737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$737.131,32646.9%622 W · 704 L+41.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7132…a53ebacked No50c1,384$688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$695.521735.3%6 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick29cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x38d8…ea7cbacked No45c1,249$557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692.171,78349%874 W · 909 L+142.6wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+17.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes55c999.99$547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547.526237%97 W · 165 L-11.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-34.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x950a…fca5backed Yes50c887.55$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.9955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+33.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49f9…32b0backed No65c738.47$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa05…a764backed Yes51c689.97$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.792045%9 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+539.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1f1…2d5fbacked Yes50c650$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebfd…dd70backed No59c620$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+68.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed No48c560$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.256548.7%275 W · 290 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1985…8cbdbacked No51c528.72$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.721464.3%9 W · 5 L+3.4wins+0.24per pick40cpaid+93.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6364…8316backed No45c514.29$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.2331036.1%112 W · 198 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-23.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x388a…dbdcbacked No49c500$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2551100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7771…009fbacked Yes49c500$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2451060%6 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8cb4…b997backed No49c469.3$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.599038%376 W · 614 L+2.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe634…fae1backed Yes51c450$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.4425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-46%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Yes47c408.69$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.54816.7%8 W · 40 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-45.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x933c…a8c6backed No51c300.16$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.0813147.3%62 W · 69 L+6.5wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf40…38b8backed No50c246.8$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.592975.9%22 W · 7 L+8.7wins+0.30per pick46cpaid+58.2%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x2606…61b9backed Yes51c240$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8cf0…34b8backed Yes51c214.97$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.63333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-53.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f59…3637backed Yes40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.4250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-31%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf809…5f9fbacked Yes51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe64d…5e09backed Yes11c181.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333%1 W · 32 L-4.6wins-0.14per pick17cpaid-85.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcb6b…c5cebacked Yes51c170$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6cd…e027backed No50c162.79$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.4250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe35…6789backed Yes51c150$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.540%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xefb9…e74fbacked Yes50c145.79$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.04250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+27.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa28d…17e9backed Yes50c139.99$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+59.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8444…1cf9backed Yes49c115.13$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.51837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd78e…6421backed Yes50c110.01$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.0160%0 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6447…8075backed Yes40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-66%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9cd…9a4cbacked Yes50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x126d…f863backed Yes50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2aa1…70c5backed Yes48c99.99$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48825%2 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-55.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes36c97.84$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.715947.8%76 W · 83 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2098…c8aebacked Yes48c84.62$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc124…1745backed Yes60c80$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5a7…c4e7backed Yes52c80$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74b6…41d8backed Yes69c72.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50580%4 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick73cpaid+9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ba3…27e2backed No39c70$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.9933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8eb…36aebacked Yes59c60$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8933…a8e1backed No63c57.64$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5ae…be02backed Yes49c55$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.95837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-30.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f0d…f4d9backed No36c54.96$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.96742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes62c50.09$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.0617049.4%84 W · 86 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-11.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3b2…2171backed No65c50$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.5450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d8b…00a3backed Yes51c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.25450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0b5…cd01backed No78c50$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41a5…953fbacked No50c48.26$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x185f…3649backed Yes41c46.84$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.28239%32 W · 50 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+8.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf556…d2c2backed No62c45.84$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.51683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick69cpaid+15.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes52c44.31$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.0443838.8%170 W · 268 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6b5…80eebacked No57c40.99$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.65475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94d8…37e6backed No49c40.03$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.41250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x508d…9c58backed Yes48c40$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafb1…0329backed No40c40$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242536%9 W · 16 L-4.8wins-0.19per pick55cpaid-40.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xbdf4…59b4backed Yes59c40$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.61323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.7wins-0.20per pick43cpaid-60.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd7b3…d873backed No50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No42c39.79$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.1627429.2%80 W · 194 L-16.6wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-42.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0f76…6764backed Yes36c39.01$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbce…fcccbacked No41c38.52$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.731100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb376…3ecebacked Yes48c37.36$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.950%0 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8798…62b8backed Yes49c35$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1530%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6801…7184backed Yes51c34.42$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7444…3c05backed Yes51c31.61$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1408…b4f8backed No51c30.59$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.927844.9%35 W · 43 L-0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe41…9f23backed Yes59c30$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick64cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x22f1…6415backed No39c30$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.452100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+142.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x50fa…11babacked Yes61c29.94$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2879…e34fbacked Yes53c27.72$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cfd…dfe7backed No62c23$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.751450%7 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-23.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x26e3…0b75backed Yes51c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf212…a810backed Yes50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-62.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x92d8…8dc5backed No50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9094…7228backed Yes51c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34cb…7588backed Yes50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+27.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2d5…d87abacked No50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7740…a03cbacked Yes61c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Stocks and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.