Movies · resolved market
Will One Battle After Another win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5dfefabd924c443fa5f5279d62aade02993db7eacb7bbbc44e6d9fd536dfa596
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $220,346
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $220,346 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 560 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x629b…995abacked No | 18c | 11,450$2,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,065.86 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3054…699bbacked No | 18c | 7,861$1,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,395.75 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 74c | 6,925$5,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,834.5 | 299 | 26.4%79 W · 220 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 70c | 4,572$3,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,385.75 | 482 | 36.3%175 W · 307 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed No | 30c | 3,630$1,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,091.79 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed Yes | 79c | 3,223$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.46 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc853…9d37backed No | 27c | 3,176$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.71 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 25c | 2,780$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.08 | 45 | 8.9%4 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -76.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34cf…7188backed No | 32c | 2,685$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +24%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 58c | 1,842$1,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.35 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd44…f151backed No | 17c | 1,742$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ee…a587backed No | 16c | 1,741$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.12 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41f0…3eebbacked No | 16c | 1,666$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.17 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb04e…d4aabacked No | 20c | 1,612$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.37 | 54 | 14.8%8 W · 46 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77a1…de3dbacked Yes | 80c | 1,510$1,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.22 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6368…d45ebacked Yes | 76c | 1,477$1,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.24 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe02c…5d08backed Yes | 68c | 1,463$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.06 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda9e…ac09backed No | 14c | 1,438$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a10…fbe0backed No | 36c | 1,397$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.92 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83e8…7b89backed Yes | 74c | 1,333$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.85 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 29c | 1,323$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.05 | 365 | 38.1%139 W · 226 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0df5…e7c2backed Yes | 71c | 1,212$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.08 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad90…9090backed Yes | 65c | 1,115$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.25 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +6.8wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…f919backed Yes | 79c | 1,102$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.74 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 59c | 1,065$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.82 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755e…7b04backed No | 37c | 1,017$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.29 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x864a…9ed1backed Yes | 65c | 1,014$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.9 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x750b…7a65backed Yes | 64c | 945$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.2 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a45…9d4abacked No | 11c | 909$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | +8.8wins | +0.13per pick | 28cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8153backed Yes | 65c | 908$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.8 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 76c | 895.87$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.88 | 106 | 32.1%34 W · 72 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7407…19bebacked Yes | 65c | 869$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.15 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a7a9backed Yes | 64c | 861$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.96 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe136…cacebacked Yes | 64c | 841$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.76 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 27c | 828.48$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.17 | 156 | 41.7%65 W · 91 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc187…bdf1backed Yes | 65c | 822$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.7 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2604…13ccbacked Yes | 62c | 815$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.7 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80a2…838bbacked No | 27c | 811.32$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.57 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 32cpaid | -83.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e15…7ff5backed No | 35c | 801$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.35 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecc…53a9backed Yes | 75c | 794.09$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.6 | 237 | 41.4%98 W · 139 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc094…c8d4backed Yes | 72c | 792.36$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.98 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf25d…8b1ebacked Yes | 63c | 784$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.08 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4516…ea0ebacked No | 36c | 749$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.51 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39e5…fba1backed Yes | 60c | 746$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 60cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44aa…d1d5backed Yes | 60c | 740$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 32cpaid | +123.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e96…c895backed No | 35c | 712$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.2 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed No | 14c | 699.98$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 285 | 28.8%82 W · 203 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a4…aa57backed Yes | 65c | 696$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.6 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f85…e5a3backed No | 35c | 689$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.15 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa45c…1d10backed No | 40c | 672.87$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.05 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d38…e898backed No | 35c | 654$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.9 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 64c | 640.04$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.78 | 237 | 51.9%123 W · 114 L | +16.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a8…2a44backed No | 35c | 639$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.65 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb12e…8c6cbacked No | 38c | 634.11$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.07 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a5…c0edbacked No | 36c | 627$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.72 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 15c | 625.79$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.52 | 231 | 30.3%70 W · 161 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ed…ec87backed No | 35c | 619$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.65 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe47d…907bbacked Yes | 64c | 617$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.12 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6c…a568backed Yes | 74c | 607.87$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.05 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +42%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…9c76backed Yes | 58c | 607$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.43 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd1…2bb3backed No | 35c | 580$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae8c…b99bbacked Yes | 66c | 569.09$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.97 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1c…7406backed No | 37c | 569$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.63 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63a2…3dfcbacked No | 35c | 561$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.35 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…0cd8backed No | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbfc…e387backed No | 16c | 554.02$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ba…c705backed Yes | 64c | 532$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.52 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86c5…4c23backed No | 33c | 525$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.25 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeafc…c7c5backed No | 41c | 520.92$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4346…2241backed No | 41c | 518$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.38 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bb…e885backed No | 36c | 513$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.68 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d75…78b9backed Yes | 66c | 512.67$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.91 | 29 | 79.3%23 W · 6 L | +5.9wins | +0.20per pick | 59cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed No | 26c | 500$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccd…5330backed No | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742c…acc0backed Yes | 70c | 494.43$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.8 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05f2…95debacked No | 26c | 490$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +114.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cb…ac3dbacked Yes | 47c | 473$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.69 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc8…05b5backed Yes | 66c | 465.02$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.97 | 34 | 73.5%25 W · 9 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…1214backed No | 36c | 459$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.24 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bef…1e38backed Yes | 64c | 439$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.04 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x636a…09aabacked Yes | 63c | 437$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.57 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea28…3a0bbacked Yes | 75c | 433.63$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.03 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked Yes | 76c | 423.64$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.63 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e36…2479backed No | 43c | 423$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.89 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6a…53e0backed No | 36c | 412$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.32 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3734…01a3backed No | 41c | 401$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.41 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x562b…dc09backed No | 23c | 397.6$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.45 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb8…ec8dbacked Yes | 57c | 396$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.28 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c9…af45backed Yes | 62c | 395$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.1 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…24efbacked Yes | 65c | 391$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.85 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…2393backed No | 41c | 386$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.61 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca87…3701backed No | 35c | 384$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.4 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.23per pick | 40cpaid | +118.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6acb…06bdbacked No | 30c | 383$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03a3…fdf4backed Yes | 59c | 376$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.16 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x048b…8bbebacked No | 24c | 372$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 33c | 370.66$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.73 | 1,393 | 8%111 W · 1,282 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbec…8dccbacked Yes | 64c | 370$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.2 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd2fd…f0b5backed Yes | 65c | 368$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.8 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6499…05d2backed No | 36c | 367$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.12 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f07…2036backed Yes | 78c | 364.53$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.86 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will One Battle After Another win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?this page
- Will A House of Dynamite win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Avatar: Fire and Ash win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Bugonia win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will F1: The Movie win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Frankenstein win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Hamnet win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Marty Supreme win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will No Other Choice win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Sentimental Value win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Sinners win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Wicked: For Good win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.