Movies · resolved market
Will F1: The Movie win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3f34e931e2457b68c4acce8c4f4d0f5e5a1a9d68afb44afb70af88478718dd76
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $275,963
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $275,963 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 171 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x358e…835abacked Yes | 26c | 13,780$3,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,610.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47d…ed37backed Yes | 8c | 4,973$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13f…e1eebacked No | 74c | 3,780$2,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed0…a73dbacked No | 74c | 3,570$2,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdee8…d9e4backed No | 74c | 3,450$2,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 10c | 3,218$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.57 | 45 | 8.9%4 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -76.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefcd…f539backed Yes | 9c | 3,083$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.39 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…a7b9backed No | 74c | 2,980$2,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 13c | 2,805$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.07 | 56 | 12.5%7 W · 49 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -76%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3abb…cf1cbacked Yes | 6c | 2,600$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad5f…ab9ebacked Yes | 6c | 2,486$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e27…d9adbacked Yes | 6c | 2,451$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc6…3442backed Yes | 6c | 2,411$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3395…7c66backed Yes | 20c | 2,409$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.65 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed7d…8fd5backed Yes | 6c | 2,258$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8307…ce8dbacked Yes | 9c | 2,248$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9d…8296backed Yes | 9c | 2,068$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe80e…9211backed Yes | 16c | 2,026$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -52%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2511…98f4backed Yes | 15c | 2,005$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea3…78eabacked Yes | 6c | 1,987$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf90…9c7dbacked Yes | 9c | 1,875$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x852e…98dabacked Yes | 6c | 1,780$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce7…33ecbacked Yes | 9c | 1,674$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca4d…2f9abacked Yes | 9c | 1,648$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 10c | 1,630$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.22 | 482 | 36.3%175 W · 307 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…73acbacked Yes | 11c | 1,518$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.01 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +57%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c37…a529backed Yes | 9c | 1,482$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1921…aa67backed Yes | 9c | 1,458$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f60…cb70backed Yes | 9c | 1,402$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80a2…838bbacked Yes | 19c | 1,387$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.41 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 32cpaid | -83.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x807b…3a39backed Yes | 6c | 1,347$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Yes | 15c | 1,336$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb2…f0cbbacked Yes | 9c | 1,329$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2658…27d3backed Yes | 9c | 1,323$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 9c | 1,323$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.41 | 1,394 | 8%111 W · 1,283 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…798dbacked Yes | 26c | 1,300$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.3 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 42cpaid | -83.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x65d0…425abacked Yes | 9c | 1,270$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76a4…3213backed Yes | 6c | 1,246$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x742c…acc0backed Yes | 11c | 1,240$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.53 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20f0…49bcbacked Yes | 9c | 1,186$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe94f…d6e5backed Yes | 9c | 1,173$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93c1…58fdbacked Yes | 9c | 1,117$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes | 9c | 1,080$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.11 | 90 | 21.1%19 W · 71 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…820cbacked Yes | 23c | 1,073$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.72 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x174a…6f03backed Yes | 16c | 1,055$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 78c | 953.07$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.81 | 156 | 41.7%65 W · 91 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2179…bedbbacked Yes | 7c | 947.39$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.52 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0fb…7e77backed Yes | 16c | 929$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09aa…bdb6backed Yes | 11c | 916.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe255…57c9backed Yes | 16c | 916$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 14c | 888$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.32 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x762b…d10fbacked Yes | 6c | 859$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0672…5763backed Yes | 16c | 819$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8b…a9b8backed Yes | 12c | 807.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc940…a508backed Yes | 8c | 803.25$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3474…be04backed Yes | 15c | 801$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.95 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 40cpaid | +93%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 14c | 790.46$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.37 | 106 | 32.1%34 W · 72 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 18c | 781.89$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.74 | 154 | 9.7%15 W · 139 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b0b…287abacked Yes | 9c | 773$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1693…e5ebbacked Yes | 9c | 753$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.52 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x158a…c822backed Yes | 6c | 730$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1970…398dbacked Yes | 16c | 701.75$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.25 | 49 | 18.4%9 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f42…2c90backed Yes | 6c | 681$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8de…a500backed Yes | 16c | 666$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.89 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1697…ed32backed Yes | 6c | 646$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba5b…8ea5backed Yes | 16c | 643$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd3…355ebacked Yes | 9c | 639$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4aa…729dbacked Yes | 6c | 633$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 13c | 629.28$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.6 | 98 | 3.1%3 W · 95 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -89%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefd5…3d23backed Yes | 6c | 629$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 12c | 593.59$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.7 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1865…34f0backed Yes | 9c | 588$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc6…02ddbacked Yes | 19c | 521.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecc…53a9backed Yes | 13c | 517.88$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.38 | 237 | 41.4%98 W · 139 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Yes | 11c | 510.31$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 35 | 5.7%2 W · 33 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3b…3d4abacked Yes | 12c | 480.95$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a43…c867backed Yes | 6c | 477$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 8c | 476$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.39 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e2…bb87backed Yes | 6c | 473.87$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x314c…6cbebacked Yes | 12c | 402.32$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 0%0 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 12c | 395.89$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.84 | 484 | 14%68 W · 416 L | -39.3wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 11c | 392.9$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.08 | 73 | 6.8%5 W · 68 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 6c | 391.05$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.3 | 672 | 32%215 W · 457 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f3…5dbdbacked Yes | 24c | 388.51$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.26 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff9…3427backed Yes | 20c | 378.9$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.18 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4452…c7cabacked Yes | 6c | 378$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.44 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Yes | 11c | 366.17$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.19 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Yes | 14c | 360$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.04 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5883…c532backed Yes | 6c | 358$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf6…af1ebacked Yes | 24c | 353.27$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f07…2036backed Yes | 23c | 348.18$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.75 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea28…3a0bbacked Yes | 13c | 324.87$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.3 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c7…be6fbacked No | 79c | 318$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.51 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f5…d7aabacked Yes | 21c | 318$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.51 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.27per pick | 35cpaid | +74.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8296…f295backed No | 79c | 310.92$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.24 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1086…7b3cbacked Yes | 8c | 309.88$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.32 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1991…846ebacked Yes | 18c | 279.01$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7d…d6ebbacked Yes | 13c | 278.06$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.29 | 331 | 23.9%79 W · 252 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc334…0e88backed Yes | 11c | 272.23$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.23per pick | 53cpaid | -44%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbb…8e8ebacked Yes | 6c | 271$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will F1: The Movie win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?this page
- Will A House of Dynamite win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Avatar: Fire and Ash win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Bugonia win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Frankenstein win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Hamnet win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Marty Supreme win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will No Other Choice win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will One Battle After Another win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes won
- Will Sentimental Value win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Sinners win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Wicked: For Good win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.