Movies · resolved market
Will Sinners win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab381b2d2ec1de40e35f2cf6beb6b46a183d360d46f2b587e8709bde3f1db7ed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $173,982
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $173,982 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 7c | 3,468$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.22 | 299 | 26.4%79 W · 220 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x000f…dd5fbacked Yes | 6c | 3,332$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 4c | 3,190$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.41 | 56 | 12.5%7 W · 49 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -76%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd61e…c34fbacked Yes | 10c | 3,159$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.98 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88c3…0871backed Yes | 6c | 3,020$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6e…f83dbacked Yes | 6c | 2,933$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb62…60fcbacked Yes | 6c | 2,322$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf4…209cbacked Yes | 5c | 2,248$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 7c | 2,164$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.51 | 89 | 4.5%4 W · 85 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb3…0434backed Yes | 8c | 2,144$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.98 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x721b…3846backed Yes | 6c | 2,068$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9776…fbc7backed Yes | 6c | 1,990$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…820cbacked Yes | 6c | 1,958$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.43 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b4f…d985backed Yes | 5c | 1,951$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5883…c532backed Yes | 6c | 1,947$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.87 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf068…dc96backed Yes | 5c | 1,880$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26e4…c128backed Yes | 6c | 1,752$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 6c | 1,727$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.21 | 45 | 8.9%4 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -76.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4452…c7cabacked Yes | 6c | 1,715$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.33 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 5c | 1,468$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.99 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x050d…7f00backed Yes | 5c | 1,456$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 7c | 1,315$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.7 | 1,394 | 8%111 W · 1,283 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 8c | 1,297$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.3 | 154 | 9.7%15 W · 139 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Yes | 6c | 1,242$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 79 | 31.6%25 W · 54 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb886…81b3backed Yes | 6c | 1,218$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.57 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x425a…78cbbacked Yes | 11c | 1,174$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.62 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aac…0e7abacked Yes | 6c | 955.5$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.38 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab9…a08dbacked Yes | 4c | 955.46$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.86 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4628…ee62backed Yes | 11c | 806$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.63 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7d…d6ebbacked Yes | 6c | 800$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 331 | 23.9%79 W · 252 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x755e…7b04backed Yes | 11c | 781$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.01 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x933c…4c8fbacked Yes | 6c | 767$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1eff…69d2backed Yes | 5c | 763$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd416…d9e2backed Yes | 6c | 760$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.84 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 5c | 735.62$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.46 | 73 | 6.8%5 W · 68 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 6c | 722.2$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.05 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc6…ffc7backed Yes | 6c | 717$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd4…c0febacked Yes | 14c | 715.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc094…c8d4backed Yes | 7c | 711.5$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.92 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbb…8e8ebacked Yes | 5c | 701$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9836…6f2ebacked Yes | 7c | 680.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 12cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85dc…7ebfbacked Yes | 9c | 680.55$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.97 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1693…e5ebbacked Yes | 6c | 668$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.41 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 7c | 659.86$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.84 | 365 | 38.1%139 W · 226 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc0…62edbacked Yes | 5c | 653$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf351…6284backed Yes | 11c | 629$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.05 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec9…3e46backed Yes | 11c | 614$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.7 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46ce…c842backed Yes | 8c | 591.04$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.88 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5322…95e1backed Yes | 11c | 553$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.07 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.26per pick | 49cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 6c | 530$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.38 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf6…af1ebacked Yes | 7c | 525.6$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb04e…d4aabacked Yes | 7c | 503.38$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 54 | 14.8%8 W · 46 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…b035backed Yes | 10c | 499.97$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 178 | 21.3%38 W · 140 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e59…a24abacked Yes | 5c | 488$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85be…5ec1backed Yes | 11c | 478.32$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.87 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1086…7b3cbacked Yes | 13c | 473.92$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.1 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcc…f8b2backed Yes | 7c | 470.32$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 157 | 39.5%62 W · 95 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd006…5358backed Yes | 5c | 466$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54f2…55d9backed Yes | 11c | 463$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.62 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea28…3a0bbacked Yes | 7c | 454.48$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.21 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfef9…67afbacked Yes | 7c | 443.75$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 6c | 442.43$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.58 | 106 | 32.1%34 W · 72 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5516…2263backed Yes | 11c | 434$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.44 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Yes | 5c | 422.12$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.35 | 35 | 17.1%6 W · 29 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6499…05d2backed Yes | 8c | 405$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf705…9f99backed Yes | 8c | 373.81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74ab…9a54backed Yes | 6c | 371.05$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 6c | 361.47$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.29 | 98 | 3.1%3 W · 95 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -89%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb90…8dd8backed Yes | 5c | 359.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.79 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff5d…4e58backed Yes | 11c | 357$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.49 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fc2…f8aabacked Yes | 6c | 354.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7372…d682backed Yes | 5c | 343$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…7009backed Yes | 5c | 322$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 6c | 317.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 83 | 32.5%27 W · 56 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa284…fbbabacked Yes | 6c | 315.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 0%0 W · 52 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce70…b4f4backed Yes | 7c | 301.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 9c | 290$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.27 | 184 | 44%81 W · 103 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa6e…6419backed Yes | 5c | 286$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3490…381bbacked Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +157.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25fa…455fbacked Yes | 5c | 277$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2a…6f46backed Yes | 7c | 274.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 23cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed Yes | 6c | 269.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 71 | 21.1%15 W · 56 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes | 5c | 260.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 39 | 0%0 W · 39 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8262…eddebacked Yes | 12c | 250$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…95febacked Yes | 5c | 235.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0692…2afabacked Yes | 13c | 231.59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2658…27d3backed Yes | 5c | 225$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 5c | 221.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 123 | 1.6%2 W · 121 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62c8…b82abacked Yes | 6c | 216.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8624…b484backed Yes | 8c | 211$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18fa…3730backed Yes | 11c | 210$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce25…4e7dbacked Yes | 11c | 207$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.74 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1633…8bf6backed Yes | 11c | 201$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.51 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5960…d692backed Yes | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfca…2db8backed Yes | 6c | 200$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed Yes | 7c | 200$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 93 | 4.3%4 W · 89 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…0727backed Yes | 7c | 195.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 67 | 4.5%3 W · 64 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe47d…907bbacked Yes | 11c | 189$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc5…610ebacked Yes | 7c | 181.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 49 | 6.1%3 W · 46 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 16cpaid | -84%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb132…6943backed Yes | 8c | 178$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sinners win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?this page
- Will A House of Dynamite win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Avatar: Fire and Ash win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Bugonia win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will F1: The Movie win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Frankenstein win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Hamnet win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Marty Supreme win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will No Other Choice win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will One Battle After Another win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes won
- Will Sentimental Value win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Wicked: For Good win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.