Tweets · resolved market
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbd80c44477af52d41bd501bd42b0be22fa7997525ec2594f54a1600cacc972b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,046
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,046 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x037b…47f4backed Yes | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 416 | 5.3%22 W · 394 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | +158.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa6…4094backed Yes | 36c | 2,765$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.77 | 307 | 14%43 W · 264 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 27c | 2,122$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.51 | 2,545 | 13.2%335 W · 2,210 L | +4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…32fbbacked Yes | 10c | 1,147$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.43 | 123 | 8.9%11 W · 112 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +54%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Yes | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 70 | 25.7%18 W · 52 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed Yes | 22c | 896.3$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.86 | 77 | 14.3%11 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb12e…8c6cbacked No | 75c | 833.48$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.19 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97c2…55d6backed No | 74c | 749.97$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.99 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86f7…4edbbacked Yes | 6c | 708.22$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.42 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…6071backed Yes | 15c | 703.01$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.7 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x312a…66b8backed Yes | 23c | 587.56$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.6 | 279 | 20.4%57 W · 222 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c36…9433backed Yes | 45c | 554.99$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.75 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb478…ac0abacked Yes | 20c | 530.86$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.29 | 417 | 18%75 W · 342 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe008…f7d3backed Yes | 5c | 526.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.29 | 256 | 17.2%44 W · 212 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 7c | 500$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.97 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…7ebabacked Yes | 32c | 483.97$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.01 | 73 | 26%19 W · 54 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0be…8d08backed Yes | 12c | 472.49$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.7 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad70…4ccfbacked Yes | 4c | 423.71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 131 | 19.1%25 W · 106 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…2c72backed Yes | 3c | 400$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 72 | 9.7%7 W · 65 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9454…7f72backed Yes | 26c | 381.04$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.07 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6964…ef53backed Yes | 9c | 341.02$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.69 | 662 | 22.2%147 W · 515 L | -34.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa279…c30dbacked Yes | 32c | 307.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 25cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe4f1…25f6backed Yes | 30c | 302.12$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +90.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ca05backed Yes | 12c | 300$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe35d…f5d5backed Yes | 18c | 296.2$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.21 | 656 | 23.2%152 W · 504 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee38…fd31backed No | 72c | 291.99$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.6 | 39 | 71.8%28 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2863…91fbbacked Yes | 14c | 285.71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf1e…8136backed Yes | 10c | 273.87$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 27c | 255$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.09 | 768 | 21.7%167 W · 601 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 25c | 251.23$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.63 | 195 | 50.3%98 W · 97 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34c4…9c93backed Yes | 11c | 250$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc6…0f6abacked Yes | 21c | 243.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 89 | 18%16 W · 73 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 34c | 243.03$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.67 | 378 | 30.7%116 W · 262 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeba1…44dfbacked Yes | 43c | 230.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x341b…4a23backed Yes | 8c | 218.01$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +41%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x446b…132abacked Yes | 11c | 211.16$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.73 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789d…d3bbbacked Yes | 24c | 206.24$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.58 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9484…a173backed Yes | 21c | 200.03$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.41 | 400 | 16.8%67 W · 333 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…70c5backed Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc7…e411backed No | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 63 | 81%51 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 75cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 79c | 189.9$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.68 | 315 | 65.1%205 W · 110 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceed…f8eebacked Yes | 44c | 185.58$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 251 | 27.1%68 W · 183 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 79c | 170.11$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.51 | 518 | 45.9%238 W · 280 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9349…0486backed Yes | 33c | 170$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.45 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3423…fe57backed Yes | 15c | 168.85$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.48 | 508 | 28.3%144 W · 364 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked No | 53c | 164$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.08 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed No | 77c | 152.51$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.59 | 56 | 12.5%7 W · 49 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6d…d7dcbacked Yes | 44c | 151.08$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.77 | 140 | 25.7%36 W · 104 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x040b…bbc5backed Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83e9…cfb0backed Yes | 42c | 150$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 74c | 147.51$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.94 | 996 | 19.8%197 W · 799 L | -15.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbef1…d41cbacked Yes | 8c | 143.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91d8…fbc5backed Yes | 21c | 141.82$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 90 | 12.2%11 W · 79 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -42%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 16c | 139.63$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.97 | 797 | 35.9%286 W · 511 L | -34.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 76c | 139.36$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.09 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5f…b380backed Yes | 26c | 134.62$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 430 | 27%116 W · 314 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae7c…487ebacked Yes | 12c | 133.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 122 | 32.8%40 W · 82 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd8c…2600backed Yes | 24c | 130.29$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.27 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa601…cad0backed Yes | 43c | 120$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b5…80eebacked Yes | 36c | 118.81$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 30c | 118.06$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.74 | 439 | 33%145 W · 294 L | -19.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…4cc9backed Yes | 28c | 117.46$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.32 | 195 | 27.7%54 W · 141 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07f8…ccacbacked Yes | 34c | 116.49$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.12 | 86 | 22.1%19 W · 67 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9314…6bd7backed Yes | 9c | 115.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 247 | 10.9%27 W · 220 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 19c | 113.16$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 526 | 19.8%104 W · 422 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa539…c217backed Yes | 18c | 110$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +64%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf9…ea65backed Yes | 46c | 105$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x829f…5f7dbacked Yes | 11c | 105$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1907…8174backed Yes | 13c | 103.94$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed Yes | 25c | 102.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.21 | 249 | 32.9%82 W · 167 L | -33.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4b03…b766backed Yes | 11c | 100.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 106 | 23.6%25 W · 81 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6e…54cfbacked Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 412 | 20.6%85 W · 327 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37b2…8681backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 233 | 21%49 W · 184 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c4a…31e3backed Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9da5…44f4backed Yes | 37c | 98.79$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb37…6883backed Yes | 41c | 96.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x440a…0ae9backed Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x084f…8b8ebacked No | 61c | 88.83$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.85 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8547…39abbacked Yes | 15c | 86.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.03 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d4…0787backed Yes | 19c | 73.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4e…0432backed Yes | 35c | 72.62$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.28 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58cb…3cd6backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 100 | 24%24 W · 76 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd685…8be9backed No | 78c | 63.42$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2c…8258backed Yes | 26c | 61.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…d4febacked Yes | 36c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…cf97backed No | 59c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.34 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -6.7wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -27%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7832…ca08backed Yes | 21c | 57.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0afd…b9c9backed No | 56c | 55.54$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.26 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe356…63bcbacked Yes | 21c | 52.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 77c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 340 | 39.7%135 W · 205 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae2d…02e1backed Yes | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad3…7715backed Yes | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf95d…e957backed Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8028…b6fabacked Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5bc…10adbacked Yes | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xede3…2f81backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c0…38acbacked No | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b2…7c84backed Yes | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.75 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -8.8wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x29e4…16a6backed Yes | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf58a…2a4fbacked Yes | 41c | 49.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?this page
- Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.