Tweets · resolved market
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1ce269eb10ca44f90062f9785f7b3ac1b5f475f1882fa0c5d6a372f9872ca781
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,261
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,261 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed No | 2c | 3,617$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.44 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 13c | 2,902$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,510.55 | 2,552 | 13.1%335 W · 2,217 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes | 10c | 1,520$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,361.08 | 553 | 5.6%31 W · 522 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x289c…79bcbacked No | 2c | 1,086$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x312a…66b8backed Yes | 34c | 746.93$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.94 | 279 | 20.4%57 W · 222 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 57c | 730.78$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.57 | 195 | 50.3%98 W · 97 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed No | 6c | 711.74$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.23 | 102 | 16.7%17 W · 85 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 10cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed Yes | 19c | 699.85$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.42 | 77 | 14.3%11 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…6071backed Yes | 11c | 692.55$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.8 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1137…978dbacked Yes | 33c | 670.04$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.12 | 100 | 32%32 W · 68 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 53c | 662.07$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.55 | 996 | 19.8%197 W · 799 L | -15.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb478…ac0abacked Yes | 19c | 628.57$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.69 | 417 | 18%75 W · 342 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…2db3backed No | 2c | 588.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 40cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…d4febacked Yes | 22c | 517.26$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.68 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 31c | 488.04$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.25 | 378 | 30.7%116 W · 262 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4f1…25f6backed Yes | 28c | 468.41$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.47 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +90.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdade…2700backed Yes | 78c | 463.71$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.44 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc592…bd7fbacked No | 5c | 453.15$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x508d…9c58backed No | 12c | 416.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.78 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…4cc9backed Yes | 20c | 396.97$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.17 | 195 | 27.7%54 W · 141 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 377.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.36 | 2,163 | 3.9%85 W · 2,078 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa279…c30dbacked Yes | 21c | 360.67$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.67 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 25cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e50…98f0backed Yes | 4c | 332.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319 | 330 | 27.9%92 W · 238 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x184d…bc42backed Yes | 22c | 304.52$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.07 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked No | 79c | 289.54$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +4.2wins | +0.22per pick | 47cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xceed…f8eebacked Yes | 36c | 273.31$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.31 | 251 | 27.1%68 W · 183 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x695c…10a1backed No | 24c | 270.59$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.97 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2d…e075backed Yes | 79c | 266$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.9 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 28c | 255$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.16 | 768 | 21.7%167 W · 601 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x789d…d3bbbacked Yes | 73c | 233.69$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.85 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83e9…cfb0backed Yes | 34c | 229.99$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.74 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…7ebabacked Yes | 21c | 217.74$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.74 | 73 | 26%19 W · 54 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9454…7f72backed Yes | 23c | 215.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.67 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 66c | 209.61$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.66 | 797 | 35.9%286 W · 511 L | -34.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 79c | 208$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.68 | 315 | 65.1%205 W · 110 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc9e…6693backed Yes | 19c | 200$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9484…a173backed Yes | 24c | 200$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 400 | 16.8%67 W · 333 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc7…e411backed No | 78c | 193.74$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.89 | 63 | 81%51 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 75cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc31a…94f7backed No | 14c | 190.12$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee38…fd31backed Yes | 30c | 188.9$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.3 | 39 | 71.8%28 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 16c | 185.2$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.18 | 518 | 45.9%238 W · 280 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc820…6a28backed Yes | 19c | 183.82$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.82 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03d0…d647backed No | 8c | 183.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed Yes | 20c | 176.91$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.87 | 118 | 9.3%11 W · 107 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3423…fe57backed Yes | 72c | 168.85$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.2 | 508 | 28.3%144 W · 364 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 9c | 165$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91d8…fbc5backed Yes | 7c | 158.44$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.94 | 90 | 12.2%11 W · 79 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -42%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d4…41e2backed No | 23c | 150$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5bc…10adbacked Yes | 23c | 150$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.65 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb37…6883backed Yes | 45c | 149.19$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.55 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Yes | 72c | 139.78$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.14 | 70 | 25.7%18 W · 52 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x652e…4a94backed Yes | 9c | 135.78$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.03 | 133 | 23.3%31 W · 102 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x497f…43e4backed Yes | 16c | 132.75$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.92 | 71 | 22.5%16 W · 55 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9720…9aebbacked Yes | 38c | 131.66$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.66 | 241 | 14.1%34 W · 207 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x341b…4a23backed No | 10c | 130.82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.19 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +41%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5f…b380backed Yes | 24c | 125.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.96 | 430 | 27%116 W · 314 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58cb…3cd6backed Yes | 21c | 122.83$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.83 | 100 | 24%24 W · 76 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 20c | 120.23$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.59 | 526 | 19.8%104 W · 422 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1002…afbabacked No | 16c | 117$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf0…fdbebacked Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.8 | 205 | 32.7%67 W · 138 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6e…54cfbacked Yes | 12c | 99.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.94 | 412 | 20.6%85 W · 327 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x662b…eb47backed No | 79c | 99.74$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.75 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 59cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9af8…b069backed Yes | 19c | 96.86$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.46 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac16…4f44backed No | 33c | 95.88$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.74 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed No | 33c | 92.96$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.68 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5940…37cdbacked No | 18c | 86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66b…114dbacked Yes | 24c | 84.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.15 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba63…6271backed Yes | 62c | 83.84$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07f8…ccacbacked Yes | 66c | 78.15$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.87 | 86 | 22.1%19 W · 67 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 49c | 75.62$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.19 | 249 | 32.9%82 W · 167 L | -33.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf811…de46backed Yes | 20c | 74.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.1 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ab…e293backed Yes | 45c | 67.35$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.19 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5c…3740backed No | 37c | 65.72$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…c11cbacked Yes | 40c | 65.03$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.32 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2c…8258backed Yes | 24c | 62.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.24 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59fe…14fdbacked No | 44c | 61.71$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.36 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -7.3wins | -0.30per pick | 51cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 45c | 60.02$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.03 | 395 | 18.7%74 W · 321 L | -57.0wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6440…85e2backed Yes | 77c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf26a…e5b1backed Yes | 79c | 59.25$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.58 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf67…374ebacked Yes | 24c | 58$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.25 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcc…643fbacked Yes | 20c | 57.05$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.64 | 95 | 15.8%15 W · 80 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…cf97backed No | 75c | 56.93$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.95 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -6.7wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -27%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbce…fcccbacked No | 48c | 56.66$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.45 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9da5…44f4backed Yes | 35c | 54.13$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.13 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb34a…6e39backed Yes | 79c | 52$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +83.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf141…67b0backed No | 33c | 51.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad70…4ccfbacked Yes | 26c | 50.55$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.55 | 131 | 19.1%25 W · 106 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb5b…0037backed Yes | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +89.6%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xae2d…02e1backed Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad3…7715backed Yes | 37c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.7 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c6a…168ebacked No | 63c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.7 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d77…523dbacked Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.05 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.05 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x723e…083ebacked No | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.20per pick | 41cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd937…456dbacked Yes | 60c | 49$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.67 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked No | 65c | 48.38$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.4 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba8…e4e4backed Yes | 75c | 48.02$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.81 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6442…a2fcbacked Yes | 24c | 41.44$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +314.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed No | 40c | 35.59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 56 | 12.5%7 W · 49 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c28…4e7dbacked Yes | 38c | 33.43$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.56 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?this page
- Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.