Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C or higher on March 22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1ec0a3d14dea60844fd52a877bb186a2fb3421e9c682d797254b68ca918f5341
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,004
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,004 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 244 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf33c…bf48backed No | 2c | 2,875$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.39 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8a…8f0bbacked Yes | 54c | 1,638$883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.72 | 103 | 27.2%28 W · 75 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8209…62b6backed Yes | 43c | 1,434$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.96 | 96 | 25%24 W · 72 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ae…ce30backed No | 5c | 1,191$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.74 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x976d…430cbacked No | 48c | 1,171$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.37 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09a8…47c1backed No | 39c | 735.08$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.69 | 418 | 45.2%189 W · 229 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdda…310cbacked Yes | 66c | 718.41$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.34 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dce…4490backed No | 17c | 677.17$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.22 | 1,285 | 19.5%250 W · 1,035 L | +44.3wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x883a…f76bbacked No | 67c | 592.59$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.98 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -6.1wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2dca…4bc5backed No | 55c | 547.15$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc229…dbeabacked Yes | 58c | 517.16$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 49c | 501.74$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.09 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ced…7ce8backed Yes | 54c | 498.61$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.24 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 41c | 470.76$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.35 | 583 | 49.4%288 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c78…42e6backed No | 13c | 465.04$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 597 | 42%251 W · 346 L | +96.8wins | +0.16per pick | 26cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa2…05fbbacked No | 44c | 459.94$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.63 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc556…9720backed Yes | 79c | 450.94$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.5 | 255 | 49%125 W · 130 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f9c…7e2fbacked Yes | 57c | 427.35$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.81 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 42c | 415.93$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.77 | 1,592 | 30.8%491 W · 1,101 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d69…7a63backed Yes | 49c | 408.89$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.57 | 1,075 | 54.8%589 W · 486 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 56c | 407.98$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.25 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46bb…4c35backed Yes | 59c | 400.5$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.52 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 21c | 385.82$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.34 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59d4…b745backed No | 24c | 375.09$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.23 | 275 | 40%110 W · 165 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefae…3acebacked Yes | 59c | 326.34$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.92 | 268 | 27.2%73 W · 195 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed No | 5c | 300$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 234 | 7.3%17 W · 217 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x343f…bb4dbacked Yes | 48c | 290.57$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.95 | 135 | 33.3%45 W · 90 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 57c | 278.83$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.03 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8eea…e285backed Yes | 80c | 276.43$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.29 | 410 | 46.8%192 W · 218 L | +57.4wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0f…18b4backed Yes | 48c | 271.61$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.29 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -4.7wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed No | 52c | 266.29$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.23 | 287 | 37.6%108 W · 179 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf177…d1b5backed Yes | 48c | 264.37$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac16…4f44backed Yes | 44c | 258.73$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.74 | 230 | 35.7%82 W · 148 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 33c | 247.08$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.9 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5948…56cbbacked No | 21c | 240.35$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.39 | 159 | 23.3%37 W · 122 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e9…bdacbacked Yes | 38c | 229.03$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.82 | 117 | 31.6%37 W · 80 L | -19.1wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x270b…9b20backed No | 9c | 225.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96aa…a84cbacked Yes | 59c | 220.34$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 52c | 217.74$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.95 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 48c | 217.27$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.39 | 860 | 50.9%438 W · 422 L | +29.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8988…98f2backed Yes | 33c | 216.54$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.9 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 53c | 214.77$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.9 | 321 | 33.3%107 W · 214 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc472…b96cbacked Yes | 40c | 210.81$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.51 | 59 | 28.8%17 W · 42 L | -12.2wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xea89…26abbacked No | 48c | 208.86$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.84 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3e…d2acbacked Yes | 47c | 206.43$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.36 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 23c | 200.83$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.46 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked No | 69c | 200.01$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -54%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3886…b492backed Yes | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 561 | 18.4%103 W · 458 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7141…7900backed Yes | 50c | 200$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.15 | 84 | 33.3%28 W · 56 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x745c…970fbacked Yes | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.6 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 41cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd8…1de3backed No | 45c | 199.99$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c83…cf0abacked No | 64c | 191.01$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.53 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 33c | 188.18$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.32 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x47af…3999backed No | 43c | 183.66$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.92 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27cd…c7adbacked No | 55c | 181.45$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -5.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 51c | 172.25$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.59 | 1,605 | 42.9%689 W · 916 L | -86.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ca05backed No | 63c | 171.6$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.75 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e06…42f0backed No | 22c | 169.47$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.65 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5c…4568backed No | 58c | 169.41$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.07 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61e0…4b62backed Yes | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 43c | 150.27$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.52 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6316…7488backed No | 56c | 149.99$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.99 | 153 | 34%52 W · 101 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x040b…bbc5backed No | 46c | 145.93$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.99 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed No | 58c | 145$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.95 | 318 | 68.6%218 W · 100 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5cb…d64bbacked Yes | 50c | 145$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1e…7ee3backed Yes | 56c | 142.85$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.85 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf503…39e2backed Yes | 49c | 136.48$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.24 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked No | 41c | 130.51$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.08 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a1…3840backed Yes | 51c | 130$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.27 | 1,153 | 27.1%312 W · 841 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71af…6b3dbacked Yes | 55c | 126.46$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.05 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8781…88c0backed Yes | 74c | 126.42$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.24 | 325 | 48.6%158 W · 167 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1775…85b0backed No | 43c | 124.36$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.08 | 366 | 48.4%177 W · 189 L | +25.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3681…4e48backed No | 42c | 122.34$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.16 | 1,375 | 56%770 W · 605 L | +25.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62e1…4e25backed No | 48c | 119.5$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.29 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4058…9dc6backed Yes | 11c | 118.6$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf483…3f62backed Yes | 33c | 118.33$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.1 | 37 | 10.8%4 W · 33 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 32c | 115.28$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.36 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11bf…882ebacked No | 56c | 113.38$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3557…ae87backed No | 32c | 112.5$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 35c | 110$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.25 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82f3…9f82backed Yes | 59c | 108$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.78 | 1,455 | 24.7%359 W · 1,096 L | -33.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 68c | 106.84$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.02 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 24c | 103.94$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 1,002 | 60.9%610 W · 392 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc980…4e72backed No | 21c | 102.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -6.1wins | -0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked No | 13c | 102.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 368 | 19.6%72 W · 296 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4122…6c07backed Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf46f…42a2backed No | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f02…5f35backed No | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb385…f4b2backed Yes | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef3…f1c5backed No | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 324 | 44.4%144 W · 180 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49d7…1635backed Yes | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…baa4backed Yes | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9450…685abacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.06 | 75 | 21.3%16 W · 59 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3489…7fffbacked No | 67c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffb…119dbacked Yes | 70c | 99.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 430 | 21.9%94 W · 336 L | +22.0wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed No | 22c | 99.86$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.77 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb7…1a88backed No | 25c | 98.75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.04 | 999 | 49.5%495 W · 504 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb733…e5edbacked Yes | 31c | 97.84$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.85 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.50per pick | 25cpaid | +134%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x48c2…4901backed Yes | 51c | 97.69$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C or higher on March 22?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on March 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on March 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on March 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on March 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 4°C or below on March 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 6°C on March 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C on March 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 8°C on March 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on March 22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.