Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on March 22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ee43fd1627891a45c18fd692d0045f9cfab89bc3111a2ae254537411adca85f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,892
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,892 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 1c | 2,600$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Yes | 9c | 505.63$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.02 | 353 | 23.2%82 W · 271 L | -16.4wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 19c | 417.56$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.2 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09a8…47c1backed Yes | 18c | 404.15$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.35 | 418 | 45.2%189 W · 229 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x883a…f76bbacked No | 65c | 403.05$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.17 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -6.1wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a19…3c95backed No | 79c | 384$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.4 | 428 | 57%244 W · 184 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 25c | 349.99$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.8 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98d1…019abacked Yes | 21c | 341.31$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a6…9e63backed Yes | 7c | 270$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 332 | 32.8%109 W · 223 L | +18.8wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefae…3acebacked Yes | 19c | 265.89$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.01 | 268 | 27.2%73 W · 195 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7deb…7c0abacked Yes | 25c | 250.5$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.04 | 156 | 26.3%41 W · 115 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 16c | 248.36$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.83 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x879d…b501backed Yes | 6c | 244.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 605 | 19.7%119 W · 486 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d69…7a63backed No | 76c | 239.59$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.56 | 1,075 | 54.8%589 W · 486 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37a2…4965backed Yes | 14c | 238.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.81 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac16…4f44backed Yes | 36c | 237.41$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.47 | 230 | 35.7%82 W · 148 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Yes | 9c | 231.28$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.49 | 234 | 7.3%17 W · 217 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 22c | 222.2$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.8 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 78c | 220.08$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.65 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…d571backed Yes | 25c | 212.35$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 2,225 | 49.2%1,094 W · 1,131 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce3…4291backed Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.32 | 2,165 | 23.8%516 W · 1,649 L | +83.8wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 74c | 199.99$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.16 | 583 | 49.4%288 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 24c | 187.46$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.64 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ae…73ddbacked Yes | 24c | 182.59$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.19 | 75 | 18.7%14 W · 61 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6316…7488backed Yes | 9c | 177.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.79 | 153 | 34%52 W · 101 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa994…19a6backed Yes | 17c | 173.09$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.04 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 24c | 167.06$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.89 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…a79bbacked Yes | 20c | 166.65$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.33 | 132 | 15.9%21 W · 111 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 76c | 161.53$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.43 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…f5f9backed Yes | 21c | 150$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 304 | 28%85 W · 219 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 22c | 148.57$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.89 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 29c | 147.83$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.64 | 1,592 | 30.8%491 W · 1,101 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 78c | 134.06$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.55 | 1,842 | 63.5%1,170 W · 672 L | -42.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa06e…eba4backed Yes | 22c | 133.42$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.75 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a1…3840backed Yes | 28c | 130$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.54 | 1,153 | 27.1%312 W · 841 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9450…685abacked Yes | 17c | 128.13$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.06 | 75 | 21.3%16 W · 59 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5948…56cbbacked Yes | 16c | 128$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.86 | 159 | 23.3%37 W · 122 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x343f…bb4dbacked No | 72c | 127.79$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.02 | 135 | 33.3%45 W · 90 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e7f…7bfbbacked Yes | 24c | 126.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c14…2f42backed Yes | 19c | 121.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7943…27a1backed Yes | 30c | 120.05$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.22 | 320 | 44.7%143 W · 177 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dce…4490backed Yes | 15c | 120$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1,285 | 19.5%250 W · 1,035 L | +44.3wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe423…2492backed Yes | 22c | 120$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed No | 78c | 105.03$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.11 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…baa4backed Yes | 26c | 100.6$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4122…6c07backed Yes | 35c | 100.18$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.06 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03d8…5e9abacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64a4…c103backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 110 | 38.2%42 W · 68 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82f3…9f82backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1,455 | 24.7%359 W · 1,096 L | -33.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7141…7900backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 84 | 33.3%28 W · 56 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac45…844fbacked Yes | 31c | 96.79$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -4.1wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 13c | 93.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed No | 66c | 93.01$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 287 | 37.6%108 W · 179 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86cb…6c6dbacked No | 77c | 91.83$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.58 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…2b4abacked Yes | 14c | 90$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 149 | 15.4%23 W · 126 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa26f…1071backed Yes | 13c | 89.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 376 | 44.9%169 W · 207 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed No | 74c | 88.06$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 23c | 83.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36c2…2b8cbacked No | 78c | 82.37$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.15 | 707 | 70.2%496 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 27c | 81.8$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.86 | 321 | 33.3%107 W · 214 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…141dbacked No | 64c | 81.79$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.11 | 1,256 | 38.2%480 W · 776 L | +53.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf60…79c5backed Yes | 36c | 78.7$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.33 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b4a…255dbacked Yes | 26c | 77.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e53…b65ebacked Yes | 26c | 77.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 26c | 73.52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd84…109dbacked Yes | 24c | 70$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 220 | 28.2%62 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 75c | 68.64$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.98 | 860 | 50.9%438 W · 422 L | +29.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 78c | 67.2$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c23…56ecbacked Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 301 | 41.2%124 W · 177 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43f2…09a5backed Yes | 26c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 81 | 24.7%20 W · 61 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ad…411abacked No | 76c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f10…0060backed Yes | 34c | 59.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 69 | 31.9%22 W · 47 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca5…32bebacked Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 75c | 52.67$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 1,605 | 42.9%689 W · 916 L | -86.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36f7…4a5abacked No | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9be9…7017backed Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 656 | 27.4%180 W · 476 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd01…d8cdbacked Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 332 | 43.1%143 W · 189 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5644…ecbbbacked Yes | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 237 | 38%90 W · 147 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe34d…41f0backed Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55cf…b347backed No | 73c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5445…f68abacked Yes | 21c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad58…7624backed Yes | 33c | 49.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 542 | 32.3%175 W · 367 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ca05backed No | 78c | 49.74$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.88 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbce…507dbacked Yes | 32c | 46.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x419e…4cd4backed No | 78c | 44.2$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd4fa…4a86backed Yes | 25c | 43.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbf…cf4bbacked Yes | 24c | 42.55$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64bd…82cfbacked No | 71c | 41.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.12 | 187 | 61%114 W · 73 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x814a…ab7abacked No | 79c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.3wins | +0.27per pick | 56cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…a2f8backed No | 73c | 36.84$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.95 | 118 | 72.9%86 W · 32 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46bb…4c35backed No | 76c | 35.68$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.56 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1869…9449backed Yes | 30c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f9c…7e2fbacked No | 73c | 34.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5c…4568backed No | 74c | 30.76$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1775…85b0backed No | 79c | 30.58$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.42 | 366 | 48.4%177 W · 189 L | +25.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 155 | 58.1%90 W · 65 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 70c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 77c | 26.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.03 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47ab…a0c0backed No | 76c | 23.96$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…8a71backed No | 65c | 23.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.04 | 123 | 29.3%36 W · 87 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on March 22?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on March 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on March 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on March 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C or higher on March 22?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 4°C or below on March 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 6°C on March 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C on March 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 8°C on March 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on March 22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.