TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7ddc…7b24

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
203
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: NHL, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 53 out of 100; worst Premier League at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT12054.2%65 W · 55 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 120 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+100%+$13
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$9.72
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.81
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+25%+$20.33
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.97
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+100%+$22.7
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 4 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$13.27
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.9
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$23.25
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.56
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$9.52
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - LEC Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$24.29
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$10.44
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+34.8%+$35.48
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$23.65
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.91
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$7.29
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.32
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Playoffsbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$53.11
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO5) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$8.27
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 4 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+43.2%+$6.48
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$8.69
LoL: Gen.G Global Academy vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$18.35
LoL: FlyQuest vs LYON - Game 2 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$41.04
Showing 25 of 120 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT4753.2%25 W · 22 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$12.71
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.54
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$14.3
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.12
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$12.93
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.34
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 2 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.89
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$23.22
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.66
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$41.95
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$45.91
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Abacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$7.97
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.33
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.78
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Legacy (BO5) - FERJEE In House Playoffsbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.79
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.51
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.03
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO5) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$23.48
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs OG (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffsbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs Liquid (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffsbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L-3.4wins-0.27per pick65cpaid-41%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Premier League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.31
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.17
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+61.3%+$12.26
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+63.1%+$18.92
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+56.3%+$5.63
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+44.9%+$17.97
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-02-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 13 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.31per pick59cpaid-60.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+34.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-28.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Golf — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$14.1
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$7.79
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+37%+$7.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.