NHL · resolved market
World Championships: USA vs. Germany
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9be79135c52d59915012e6664a4e9dc11915cc71dd47b2df774e3fc99d93a970
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- USAof USA, Germany
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,999
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,065
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,999 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked Germany | 19c | 2,060$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.61 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x008d…b839backed Germany | 66c | 1,783$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180.11 | 450 | 69.3%312 W · 138 L | +51.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdd15…4a07backed Germany | 21c | 1,721$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.6 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked USA | 49c | 1,324$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.15 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc83f…23e4backed USA | 52c | 1,321$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.31 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab2d…b1aabacked USA | 63c | 1,309$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.38 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked USA | 46c | 1,302$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Germany | 53c | 999.99$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.21 | 323 | 53.9%174 W · 149 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41bb…26e8backed Germany | 28c | 984.54$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.6wins | +0.26per pick | 53cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Germany | 48c | 825.41$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.08 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfff3…e2c5backed Germany | 55c | 789.56$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.1 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5fc…dbc6backed USA | 58c | 689.74$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.59 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed USA | 70c | 522.42$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.28 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed USA | 5c | 516.13$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.57 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f9…86ecbacked USA | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8c…3d1abacked USA | 61c | 497$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.98 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Germany | 77c | 486.38$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.59 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Germany | 22c | 450.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x115e…5019backed USA | 71c | 444.84$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.72 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed USA | 78c | 415$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.23 | 100 | 66%66 W · 34 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf92f…1a35backed USA | 47c | 389.36$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.36 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…387ebacked Germany | 31c | 378.97$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.45 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x48cb…1169backed USA | 80c | 375.91$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.91 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x196b…4151backed USA | 4c | 375$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 3cpaid | +1,150%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed USA | 45c | 370.57$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.77 | 127 | 33.1%42 W · 85 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed USA | 58c | 345.25$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.25 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked USA | 61c | 327.38$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.74 | 239 | 50.6%121 W · 118 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Germany | 57c | 294.42$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.52 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.9wins | +0.23per pick | 53cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xebf6…c629backed USA | 31c | 243.56$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.48 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed USA | 70c | 228.54$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.28 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebd5…094cbacked Germany | 54c | 209.99$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.99 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13c9…5e53backed Germany | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 146 | 43.8%64 W · 82 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d1…f8c0backed Germany | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +4.8wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +151%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9f57…c3acbacked Germany | 52c | 194.82$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca4…db18backed Germany | 47c | 191.96$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Germany | 22c | 174.97$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.79 | 497 | 47.9%238 W · 259 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked USA | 78c | 147.67$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.21 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c5…6483backed USA | 70c | 142.97$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked USA | 52c | 138.92$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.16 | 112 | 51.8%58 W · 54 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf09f…05f9backed USA | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…85f3backed Germany | 22c | 126.7$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9abb…3f96backed USA | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 95 | 62.1%59 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd7…db07backed USA | 80c | 125.63$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.62 | 242 | 59.1%143 W · 99 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f17…b55dbacked USA | 31c | 117.74$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.19 | 16 | 87.5%14 W · 2 L | +5.7wins | +0.36per pick | 52cpaid | +81.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d8…e72dbacked USA | 44c | 115.43$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.29 | 85 | 29.4%25 W · 60 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e4…24c2backed Germany | 44c | 115.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 181 | 49.7%90 W · 91 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc451…958cbacked USA | 77c | 114.44$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.44 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed USA | 75c | 102.86$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.06 | 279 | 47.3%132 W · 147 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a12…7ab8backed Germany | 50c | 100.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Germany | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 432 | 50.9%220 W · 212 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked USA | 78c | 99.99$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 454 | 47.8%217 W · 237 L | -17.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed USA | 78c | 99.97$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.99 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed USA | 78c | 97.5$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed USA | 54c | 93.82$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.98 | 270 | 37.4%101 W · 169 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4b…9f92backed Germany | 30c | 88.9$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.78 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +6.8wins | +0.24per pick | 45cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa211…a283backed USA | 80c | 84.53$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.25 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4232…d505backed Germany | 39c | 84.49$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf67d…2de1backed Germany | 25c | 79.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7292…75dcbacked USA | 80c | 75.16$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.16 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +40%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked USA | 47c | 68.32$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.11 | 143 | 47.6%68 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67ae…1e53backed USA | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…29ebbacked Germany | 26c | 58.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Germany | 37c | 58.32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked USA | 56c | 57.17$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.16 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0eab…71abbacked Germany | 24c | 54.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cd4…0a6fbacked USA | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.35per pick | 52cpaid | +82.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x52c1…1084backed USA | 40c | 51.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.17 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed USA | 29c | 51.15$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.15 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Germany | 58c | 50.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc7c…1d18backed USA | 21c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -48%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked USA | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8eea…22cbbacked USA | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Germany | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 138 | 41.3%57 W · 81 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x154e…911fbacked Germany | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed USA | 78c | 46.68$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.43 | 196 | 57.1%112 W · 84 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d38…0183backed Germany | 37c | 39.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked USA | 50c | 38.47$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.07 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f6…d815backed USA | 79c | 37.75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed USA | 52c | 37.56$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.08 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7465…caa8backed USA | 53c | 33.57$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.69 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfc…0556backed USA | 79c | 33.27$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x973f…4b3ebacked USA | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ebc…35c2backed USA | 79c | 27.85$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ddc…7b24backed USA | 54c | 26.43$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.12 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…28b8backed Germany | 55c | 25.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Germany | 57c | 25.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +4.1wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x670c…a7dfbacked USA | 77c | 21.66$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.87 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8917…be6fbacked USA | 80c | 21.25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 68cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked USA | 61c | 20.42$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc061…a297backed USA | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5d…1e18backed USA | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a63…fe88backed USA | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c4c…73d3backed USA | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Germany | 60c | 18.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 314 | 48.7%153 W · 161 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Germany | 59c | 17.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf886…d825backed USA | 73c | 15.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.13 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.