Golf · resolved market

Will Christopher Gotterup win the 2026 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x793327054957d891a2bbbb79b25d61801a3532d818da17de704e211df40d9096

Rebuilt 15 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Feb 15, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $24,748
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $20,054

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,748 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Golf
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xb7f5…c669backed Yes	8c	7,545$604 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$603.58	68	7.4%5 W · 63 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-63%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8214…ef72backed Yes	11c	2,725$294 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$294.25	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-63.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Yes	10c	2,091$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.99	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+0.5wins	+0.07per pick	31cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2a4…3ee9backed Yes	4c	1,739$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.58	172	26.7%46 W · 126 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	+19.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e65…ff48backed Yes	5c	800$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.91	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	+1.1wins	+0.07per pick	24cpaid	-46.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ed1…caa2backed Yes	4c	759.18$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.67	37	8.1%3 W · 34 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	12cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xca6e…ce7abacked Yes	2c	699.95$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.5	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	+0.4wins	+0.06per pick	11cpaid	-71.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	4c	511.6$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.75	295	3.7%11 W · 284 L	-5.4wins	-0.02per pick	6cpaid	-73.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	9c	503.26$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.22	39	2.6%1 W · 38 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	4cpaid	-69.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf15…2f3dbacked Yes	4c	500$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	39	17.9%7 W · 32 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Yes	7c	421.45$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.55	12	0%0 W · 12 L	-0.9wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Yes	10c	380.82$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.14	225	46.7%105 W · 120 L	+5.6wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Yes	11c	380.11$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.09per pick	24cpaid	-67.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fdb…0b12backed Yes	4c	300$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.42	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.6wins	-0.08per pick	20cpaid	-81.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Yes	7c	290.98$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.57	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-0.9wins	-0.07per pick	22cpaid	-77.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5cd…c989backed Yes	7c	200$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.07	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4725…619bbacked Yes	10c	184.03$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.03	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-0.9wins	-0.08per pick	17cpaid	-88%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7912…2c47backed Yes	10c	162.51$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.6	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Christopher Gotterup win the 2026 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event