Golf · resolved market

Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9bf0092578d69373d691cbb97aab078dd1ee8ec7b52adfe4e42e1327d5000fd7

Rebuilt 4 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Feb 15, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $55,713
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $51,560

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,713 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Golf
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x3257…2f3bbacked No	74c	14,538$10,777 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,761.33	17	58.8%10 W · 7 L	+1.3wins	+0.08per pick	51cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes	25c	10,414$2,577 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,577.12	35	25.7%9 W · 26 L	-2.8wins	-0.08per pick	34cpaid	-49.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Yes	21c	2,070$437 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$437.08	225	46.7%105 W · 120 L	+5.6wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No	76c	1,741$1,330 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$410.74	50	44%22 W · 28 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b11…0e49backed Yes	4c	1,389$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.07per pick	18cpaid	-56.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x169a…add3backed Yes	5c	1,239$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb78…e7c8backed Yes	21c	1,107$232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$232.17	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.29per pick	29cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	1c	1,098$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.06	295	3.7%11 W · 284 L	-5.4wins	-0.02per pick	6cpaid	-73.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9676…8349backed Yes	4c	1,070$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	19cpaid	+51.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36aa…a683backed Yes	5c	920.78$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.6	38	10.5%4 W · 34 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	13cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26d9…03dbbacked Yes	32c	875.06$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Yes	20c	853.41$173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$172.75	37	29.7%11 W · 26 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9fa…222bbacked Yes	4c	625$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9f46…4f2bbacked Yes	7c	575.23$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1221…5aadbacked Yes	24c	500$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	9cpaid	+640.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe6c…4f6fbacked Yes	25c	419.2$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.8	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf56f…75a1backed Yes	25c	403.23$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.1wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x24a5…5d07backed Yes	25c	400$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.6	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.2wins	-0.23per pick	43cpaid	-60.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1895…efd2backed Yes	29c	343.73$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	38cpaid	-41%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb8…f7debacked Yes	9c	322.57$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.56	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.6wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcf5…fd4abacked Yes	6c	304.49$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.54	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x42f8…bdc9backed Yes	5c	297.39$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x681d…4cbfbacked Yes	25c	271.12$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.32	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	16cpaid	-20%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73e6…37dbbacked Yes	4c	250$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.06per pick	27cpaid	+42%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Yes	19c	222$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.07	68	7.4%5 W · 63 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-63%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf72…b4a6backed Yes	23c	216.7$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.01	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.21per pick	54cpaid	-58.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b3a…df40backed Yes	20c	200$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.8	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.7wins	+0.12per pick	38cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe910…938cbacked Yes	13c	195.39$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xe2c5…3462backed Yes	7c	194.9$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.91	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf263…e9c1backed Yes	14c	173.36$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.27	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.14per pick	19cpaid	+66.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4725…619bbacked Yes	24c	166.65$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.46	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-0.9wins	-0.08per pick	17cpaid	-88%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ce5…b14fbacked Yes	24c	164.61$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972c…c2e2backed Yes	28c	155.33$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.4wins	-0.47per pick	47cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb046…857cbacked No	75c	128.91$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.23	37	45.9%17 W · 20 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7db…ee3ebacked Yes	19c	126.68$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.87	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf15…2f3dbacked Yes	15c	104.7$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	39	17.9%7 W · 32 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb436…61bcbacked Yes	25c	80.04$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8289…2b2ebacked No	73c	74.07$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.1wins	+0.37per pick	63cpaid	+82.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x34db…c813backed Yes	27c	74.07$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed No	80c	69.87$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.97	47	48.9%23 W · 24 L	+2.4wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1aac…8b50backed Yes	25c	40$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0947…f948backed No	80c	30$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-2.3wins	-0.21per pick	48cpaid	-61.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event