Mls · resolved market
Charlotte FC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc44f43f9a1eb3d0054f92e8ab767d8dafb0e3192c5f9e69ade03e1e33ff7e298
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,302
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,302 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 39c | 4,205$1,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,546.37 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Over | 45c | 4,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Under | 55c | 3,975$2,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,788.75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Over | 43c | 1,347$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.58 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc4…99adbacked Under | 17c | 1,158$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$958.36 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 57c | 943.63$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.16 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Over | 60c | 913.31$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.34 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 15c | 396.56$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.43 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 45c | 333.74$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.13 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 63c | 317.9$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.15 | 164 | 53%87 W · 77 L | +20.7wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +40%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 34c | 308.82$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 74c | 300$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.2 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 22c | 295$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.54 | 371 | 38.8%144 W · 227 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf956…644dbacked Over | 80c | 281.25$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4831…4feebacked Under | 20c | 281.25$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +400%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2eed…85a9backed Under | 52c | 265$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 39c | 256.43$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.25 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 63c | 256.19$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.35 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Over | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Over | 43c | 230$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.58 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Over | 40c | 221$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.86 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 55c | 182.18$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Over | 42c | 173$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.48 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…99febacked Over | 35c | 142.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 26c | 142$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.11 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +12.1wins | +0.15per pick | 36cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 16c | 125$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 75c | 120.17$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.06 | 287 | 21.6%62 W · 225 L | -29.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9df6…c33bbacked Over | 39c | 114.93$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Over | 45c | 111.74$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.05 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 16c | 108.84$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.43 | 557 | 50.1%279 W · 278 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x034e…f79dbacked Over | 49c | 99.24$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.63 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…ce0abacked Over | 46c | 80.83$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 26c | 52.65$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.22 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…049fbacked Under | 47c | 50.73$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe937…d46abacked Over | 78c | 38.59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4359…1260backed Over | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18d3…98e5backed Over | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e65…ff48backed Over | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Over | 76c | 13.16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Charlotte FC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 1.5this page
- Charlotte FC vs. Inter Miami CF: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Charlotte FC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 2.5Under won
- Charlotte FC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 3.5Under won
- Charlotte FC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Charlotte FC (-1.5)Inter Miami CF won
- Spread: Inter Miami CF (-1.5)Charlotte FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.