TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Charlotte FC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$158,982

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $158,982 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb22…6478backed Under41c131,184$53,949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77,235.7615647.4%74 W · 82 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x036c…178dbacked Over58c60,310$34,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,979.532871.4%20 W · 8 L+6.0wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+46.9%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over60c20,049$11,945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,944.813,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over58c14,437$8,407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,407.0112451.6%64 W · 60 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Under42c9,000$3,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,2202751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over60c7,182$4,273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,273.3925149%123 W · 128 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over60c6,709$4,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,034.5115341.2%63 W · 90 L-14.0wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-24%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over59c4,828$2,857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,856.5197146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31c5…ede4backed Over57c4,000$2,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,280250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over60c3,500$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1008845.5%40 W · 48 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed Over60c3,500$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1005054%27 W · 23 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Over20c3,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60050%0 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under42c3,000$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7404035%14 W · 26 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-20.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x86c8…c867backed Under80c3,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6003450%17 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Over60c2,500$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5005251.9%27 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb752…cabcbacked Over44c2,500$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over59c1,873$1,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,113.1577751.7%402 W · 375 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Over35c1,217$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.165228.8%15 W · 37 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked Over32c1,106$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3502458.3%14 W · 10 L+4.7wins+0.19per pick39cpaid+74.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x838d…3cbdbacked Over49c1,087$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.811533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over60c750$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4509151.6%47 W · 44 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under36c726.02$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.6513053.1%69 W · 61 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Over60c600$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3606155.7%34 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc39…1564backed Over60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004456.8%25 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under79c494.89$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.0328851.4%148 W · 140 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Under42c471.18$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.1810853.7%58 W · 50 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Over60c450$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.754656.5%26 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over60c400$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2403655.6%20 W · 16 L-0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Over60c351.42$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.247150.7%36 W · 35 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed Over64c350$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2247668.4%52 W · 24 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Under42c313.97$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.363426.5%9 W · 25 L-5.8wins-0.17per pick43cpaid-43.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over60c310.94$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.7658043.6%253 W · 327 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over60c300$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.519657.1%112 W · 84 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca0f…780bbacked Over60c300$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Over57c263.16$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-44.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2eed…85a9backed Over59c244$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.96850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over60c228.06$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.8439234.4%135 W · 257 L-47.2wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-31%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over14c214.29$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303228.1%9 W · 23 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick23cpaid+23.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe5af…f9e3backed Over59c203.39$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+30%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe013…1ddcbacked Over60c200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1202458.3%14 W · 10 L-0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66df…7ea5backed Over63c198.41$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over26c192.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504645.7%21 W · 25 L-3.7wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-12.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6275…4e76backed Under42c190.23$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.23520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-52.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Over58c180$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.824351.4%125 W · 118 L-16.4wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-12.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Over60c168.77$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.7913950.4%70 W · 69 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Over58c166$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.48757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+12.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under50c165.4$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.4682044.5%365 W · 455 L-16.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013046.2%60 W · 70 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x891f…88bfbacked Under52c153.85$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.851376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.17per pick59cpaid+35.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Over61c150$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.53545.7%16 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+16.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Over60c150$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$908653.5%46 W · 40 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over60c150$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903354.5%18 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked Over60c150$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$906256.5%35 W · 27 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over60c150$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$904961.2%30 W · 19 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over60c150$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$904459.1%26 W · 18 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over60c150$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.2520154.2%109 W · 92 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Over58c148.15$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.392147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3123…b44dbacked Over56c135.27$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.151172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.15per pick58cpaid+29.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Over60c125$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755257.7%30 W · 22 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Over61c122.9$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.568652.3%45 W · 41 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b07…869abacked Under42c120$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.12850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over21c117.75$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2828721.6%62 W · 225 L-29.9wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-44.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Over60c115$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$695651.8%29 W · 27 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe647…c9aabacked Over59c103.87$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.151172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.22per pick50cpaid+27.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5a2b…d4e9backed Under56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Over60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603759.5%22 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Over60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605152.9%27 W · 24 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4813243.9%58 W · 74 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6013557.8%78 W · 57 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over60c90$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545556.4%31 W · 24 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Over60c90$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545154.9%28 W · 23 L-0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over45c88.89$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407642.1%32 W · 44 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed Under42c85.99$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.872462.5%15 W · 9 L+3.4wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+31.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf469…dcaabacked Over57c85.7$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.85771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+35.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Over61c81.6$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.782965.5%19 W · 10 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+23.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x939d…3b3cbacked Over64c80$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.28446.4%39 W · 45 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over58c76.67$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.221,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbcc2…8c9abacked Over59c70$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411070%7 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Over61c69.5$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.410648.1%51 W · 55 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce4d…ade4backed Over60c66.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401250%6 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Over60c66.61$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.974955.1%27 W · 22 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x079f…a9d1backed Over35c60$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212850%14 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Over60c60$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365451.9%28 W · 26 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Over60c60$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365352.8%28 W · 25 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over60c60$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366256.5%35 W · 27 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Over60c60$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365056%28 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Over60c60$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364854.2%26 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over60c60$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365149%25 W · 26 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Over60c60$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364953.1%26 W · 23 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over60c60$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365046%23 W · 27 L-4.5wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Over60c60$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365352.8%28 W · 25 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Over60c60$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365152.9%27 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Over60c60$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364951%25 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over60c55$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331,30151.2%666 W · 635 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Over60c50.54$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.575251.9%27 W · 25 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeac9…4092backed Under40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed Over60c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303847.4%18 W · 20 L-5.2wins-0.14per pick61cpaid-23.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Over60c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.754755.3%26 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked Under69c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.53151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+19.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Over60c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304148.8%20 W · 21 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.