Mls · resolved market
Spread: Inter Miami CF (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9b87a4141e943b8c07587456ef28bc8a228479fd5628a1412b7d7df476f0ae67
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Charlotte FCof Inter Miami CF, Charlotte FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,249
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,249 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Charlotte FC | 79c | 3,837$3,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.49 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…2b04backed Inter Miami CF | 22c | 1,900$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…cb8fbacked Inter Miami CF | 25c | 1,330$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Inter Miami CF | 21c | 722.16$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.71 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Charlotte FC | 77c | 492.07$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.91 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Charlotte FC | 75c | 417$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.25 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Inter Miami CF | 23c | 250$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Inter Miami CF | 18c | 213.76$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.96 | 130 | 46.2%60 W · 70 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Inter Miami CF | 17c | 175$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.51 | 580 | 43.6%253 W · 327 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c4…d390backed Charlotte FC | 77c | 127.81$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 57cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Inter Miami CF | 23c | 124.05$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Inter Miami CF | 16c | 91.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 164 | 53%87 W · 77 L | +20.7wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +40%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Inter Miami CF | 21c | 61.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 251 | 49%123 W · 128 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Charlotte FC | 79c | 58.46$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.36 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Inter Miami CF | 24c | 57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 557 | 50.1%279 W · 278 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Inter Miami CF | 23c | 52.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 153 | 41.2%63 W · 90 L | -14.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -24%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Charlotte FC | 80c | 16.73$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.38 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Inter Miami CF (-1.5)this page
- Charlotte FC vs. Inter Miami CF: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Charlotte FC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 1.5Under won
- Charlotte FC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 2.5Under won
- Charlotte FC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 3.5Under won
- Charlotte FC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Charlotte FC (-1.5)Inter Miami CF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.