Mls · resolved market
Charlotte FC vs. Inter Miami CF: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x38ae4bad334ec4f10dcbe1c7c3a25c699b8e49a5d040c186b11b0ee175cc0491
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,871
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,871 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 59c | 674.31$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.77 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 43c | 607.2$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.99 | 371 | 38.8%144 W · 227 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 33c | 541.61$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.5 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 65c | 365.57$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.04 | 580 | 43.6%253 W · 327 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5903…bc30backed Yes | 67c | 310.82$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 40c | 302$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.8 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 35c | 282.9$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.33 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Yes | 43c | 231.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 51c | 206.32$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.61 | 461 | 56.2%259 W · 202 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8766…0ef8backed Yes | 65c | 199.99$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe937…d46abacked Yes | 60c | 194.98$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…2391backed Yes | 58c | 184.45$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.57 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed No | 41c | 180.02$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.33 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd179…361ebacked Yes | 37c | 163.67$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87b8…29dcbacked Yes | 65c | 160$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51bb…a919backed Yes | 65c | 127.69$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 65c | 103$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.95 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 34c | 95$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.49 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Yes | 65c | 87.27$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.73 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 65c | 66$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 557 | 50.1%279 W · 278 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 46c | 63.74$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.34 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Yes | 65c | 60$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 36c | 49.78$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.86 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Yes | 64c | 39.41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.23 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed No | 55c | 32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.38 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed No | 52c | 32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.36 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Yes | 65c | 31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -9.8wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed No | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed No | 36c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf32c…ff08backed Yes | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab4…04efbacked Yes | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Charlotte FC vs. Inter Miami CF: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Charlotte FC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 1.5Under won
- Charlotte FC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 2.5Under won
- Charlotte FC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 3.5Under won
- Charlotte FC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Charlotte FC (-1.5)Inter Miami CF won
- Spread: Inter Miami CF (-1.5)Charlotte FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.