Asian League · resolved market
Jeju SK FC vs. Gwangju FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x605cd3cbba39edc3a74a277bbda4559d8adeb174053eafd816ddb8aa9332e080
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,183
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,860
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,183 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbca0…d7a0backed Over | 48c | 3,400$1,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,631.98 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 52c | 1,059$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.44 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 51c | 997.59$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.53 | 1,306 | 56.9%743 W · 563 L | +67.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2795…fd6bbacked Under | 38c | 980.44$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +162.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 52c | 484.68$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.96 | 692 | 52.3%362 W · 330 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Under | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.19 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Over | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 26cpaid | +118.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x227c…ee3fbacked Under | 75c | 300$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +72.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Under | 69c | 291.74$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.09 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Over | 35c | 203.6$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4588…d206backed Over | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1af3…fbe3backed Over | 61c | 132$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.52 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +75%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…d72dbacked Under | 40c | 125.07$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.07 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 50c | 81.71$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.47 | 141 | 53.2%75 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7c…4394backed Over | 25c | 77.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8529…b973backed Over | 36c | 75$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 66c | 65.2$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.03 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c4…d390backed Over | 64c | 60.8$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.02 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 66c | 60.49$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca70…85debacked Over | 65c | 60$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf226…9c0fbacked Over | 39c | 59.56$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.23 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67d2…a008backed Under | 64c | 46.93$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.93 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 70c | 40.43$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 1,354 | 45.4%615 W · 739 L | +14.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b0…e756backed Over | 40c | 34.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2246…e958backed Over | 44c | 33.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd402…5a50backed Under | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e65…ff48backed Over | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…5544backed Over | 59c | 24.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f8…e204backed Over | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jeju SK FC vs. Gwangju FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Jeju SK FC vs. Gwangju FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Jeju SK FC vs. Gwangju FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Jeju SK FC vs. Gwangju FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Jeju SK FC vs. Gwangju FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Gwangju FC (-2.5)Jeju SK FC won
- Spread: Jeju SK FC (-1.5)Gwangju FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.