South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Banfield vs. CA Aldosivi: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd745225b51f9195c4cf9f0168b94eb9f59d978e2182481dc39d7151b9022bc76
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,468
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,155
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,468 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf5d1…cdc9backed Under | 49c | 2,269$1,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111.9 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 56c | 891.94$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.54 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73e6…5cb1backed Under | 53c | 600$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 36c | 471.21$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.89 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 64c | 390.63$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.63 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 63c | 285.71$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.71 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 52c | 280.12$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.84 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…1d41backed Over | 58c | 275.53$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.72 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -7.2wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 56c | 261.47$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.99 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 166 | 56%93 W · 73 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 126 | 45.2%57 W · 69 L | -10.7wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 43c | 210.97$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.2 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 59c | 191.11$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.11 | 493 | 41%202 W · 291 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 359 | 58.8%211 W · 148 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Under | 36c | 122.25$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.01 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 64c | 110$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.7 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 73c | 77.15$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.86 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -25%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Over | 49c | 75.29$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.29 | 297 | 47.1%140 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Over | 79c | 67.45$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.07 | 29 | 79.3%23 W · 6 L | +7.8wins | +0.27per pick | 52cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed Over | 50c | 65$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 64 | 68.8%44 W · 20 L | +8.7wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x993a…1e2fbacked Over | 53c | 60.6$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.48 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +5.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 36c | 56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.38 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 37c | 37.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…31f3backed Over | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Over | 78c | 31.03$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.83 | 124 | 64.5%80 W · 44 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd040…4e6bbacked Over | 51c | 29.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.18 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c3c…cf9cbacked Over | 51c | 27.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e65…ff48backed Over | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +96.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa288…401cbacked Over | 50c | 23.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Over | 53c | 19.16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 91 | 62.6%57 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d0…1a0fbacked Over | 71c | 14.12$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.09 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Banfield vs. CA Aldosivi: O/U 1.5this page
- CA Banfield vs. CA Aldosivi: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CA Banfield vs. CA Aldosivi: O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Banfield vs. CA Aldosivi: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA Banfield vs. CA Aldosivi: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CA Aldosivi (-1.5)CA Banfield won
- Spread: CA Aldosivi (-2.5)CA Banfield won
- Spread: CA Banfield (-1.5)CA Banfield won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.