Australian A League · resolved market
Wellington Phoenix FC vs. Perth Glory FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x98745ddcd3845f8f4e6bcafaafb2d2bf796b324e8ab2a64bc170e4460b1e032a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,907
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,907 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 42c | 1,783$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.03 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 53c | 789.54$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.38 | 309 | 54.7%169 W · 140 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 61c | 642.85$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.85 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1038…fd48backed Over | 71c | 563.02$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.02 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00a0…bf76backed Over | 48c | 525$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Over | 74c | 400$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 49c | 358.79$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.6 | 478 | 50.8%243 W · 235 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53eb…90ebbacked Under | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b8d…6d3bbacked Over | 61c | 268.03$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.53 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 20c | 249.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.27 | 119 | 40.3%48 W · 71 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 20c | 234.53$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.27 | 132 | 43.2%57 W · 75 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Over | 49c | 230.04$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.41 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over | 52c | 229.8$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.8 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Over | 44c | 180.45$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.37 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.27per pick | 50cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 22c | 174.98$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.49 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0722…fceebacked Over | 47c | 171.45$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.87 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8a…8775backed Under | 46c | 141.41$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3108…8a52backed Under | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 41c | 111.1$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.55 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c87…7f4abacked Under | 22c | 102.91$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.93 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…0888backed Over | 51c | 97.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.02 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 41c | 96.1$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.7 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +8.1wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 50c | 83$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Under | 17c | 77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 21c | 75.32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.82 | 147 | 55.1%81 W · 66 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Over | 80c | 75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e08…19cabacked Over | 68c | 73$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefff…c0efbacked Under | 61c | 65.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 62cpaid | -25%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 24c | 56.34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 149 | 51%76 W · 73 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 43c | 54$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.26 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…3f87backed Over | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.9 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e65…ff48backed Over | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.41per pick | 39cpaid | +80.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Under | 35c | 34.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Over | 52c | 32.93$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.77 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 45c | 32.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 68c | 32.24$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed Over | 41c | 31.46$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Over | 62c | 31$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 64c | 24.1$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +10.4wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Under | 48c | 23.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…59d8backed Over | 79c | 21.14$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.44 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Over | 49c | 21.01$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed Over | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 437 | 48.3%211 W · 226 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wellington Phoenix FC vs. Perth Glory FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Spread: Wellington Phoenix FC (-1.5)Wellington Phoenix FC won
- Wellington Phoenix FC vs. Perth Glory FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Wellington Phoenix FC vs. Perth Glory FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Wellington Phoenix FC vs. Perth Glory FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Wellington Phoenix FC vs. Perth Glory FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.