Venezuela · resolved market
Will Maduro's rule survive a US military engagement?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x55a2d9c5c22b2d31909d96884f9b48e4e8bf54e4129ea0fec1f2b13286bbdf57
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Venezuelaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $189,924
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $173,024
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $189,924 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 192 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Venezuela is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Venezuela | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x662c…bfe7backed No | 74c | 9,807$7,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,530.58 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 18c | 6,028$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,067.27 | 52 | 19.2%10 W · 42 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 2c | 5,123$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.77 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 3cpaid | -50%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 17c | 4,930$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.58 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 31cpaid | +118.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0673…2e81backed Yes | 9c | 4,316$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc021…1fa8backed Yes | 27c | 4,210$1,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,138.89 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e2…b2afbacked No | 80c | 4,185$3,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 1c | 4,000$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.25 | 31 | 3.2%1 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60a9…5a71backed Yes | 15c | 2,861$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.39 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7744…999ebacked Yes | 4c | 2,675$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.75 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5666…c630backed Yes | 27c | 2,500$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17ce…beecbacked Yes | 4c | 2,482$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.1 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 9c | 2,312$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.32 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…26a7backed Yes | 2c | 2,300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01a4…0064backed Yes | 4c | 2,035$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.58 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -59%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 7c | 1,917$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.66 | 164 | 4.9%8 W · 156 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Yes | 7c | 1,916$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.72 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2a…fbccbacked Yes | 37c | 1,910$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Yes | 19c | 1,898$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.93 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…72bebacked Yes | 7c | 1,812$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.97 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +102.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Yes | 9c | 1,769$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.56 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83a2…9452backed Yes | 3c | 1,630$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.41 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +5.1wins | +0.22per pick | 43cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 6c | 1,482$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.14 | 63 | 3.2%2 W · 61 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x000d…758ebacked Yes | 11c | 1,465$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 30cpaid | +153.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 3c | 1,413$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.38 | 59 | 5.1%3 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc412…592dbacked No | 77c | 1,368$1,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3d…56b9backed Yes | 15c | 1,343$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47ca…88dbbacked Yes | 14c | 1,337$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6e…b45bbacked No | 77c | 1,320$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.76 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…d68ebacked Yes | 5c | 1,301$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.38 | 32 | 6.3%2 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 3c | 1,274$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.33 | 33 | 0%0 W · 33 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x807c…f1e3backed Yes | 2c | 1,250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 5c | 1,211$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.04 | 61 | 4.9%3 W · 58 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed Yes | 5c | 1,200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.6 | 47 | 4.3%2 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…b73ebacked Yes | 13c | 1,101$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.82 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 19cpaid | -84.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x357e…2a0cbacked Yes | 15c | 1,096$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.33 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +5.5wins | +0.29per pick | 50cpaid | +81.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…f04ebacked Yes | 4c | 1,075$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.82 | 32 | 0%0 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes | 4c | 1,072$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.62 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2200…0f2dbacked Yes | 7c | 992.05$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.9 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -88%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed Yes | 29c | 966.72$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.75 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd950…ad1bbacked No | 70c | 961.94$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.3 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90be…c800backed Yes | 30c | 949.99$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.5 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8920…bdb2backed No | 72c | 849.53$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.96 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…0727backed Yes | 6c | 775.39$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.13 | 44 | 9.1%4 W · 40 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 4cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5927…7cacbacked Yes | 9c | 757.64$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x017b…1ef4backed No | 66c | 691.95$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.77 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -78.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb214…44aabacked Yes | 13c | 629.19$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c8…1da2backed Yes | 31c | 617.99$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.96 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc909…d4a4backed Yes | 4c | 585.73$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ede…b67bbacked No | 69c | 580.12$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca1…13b5backed Yes | 9c | 566$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.94 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x008d…6958backed Yes | 21c | 561.95$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.39 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8593…c931backed No | 79c | 555.15$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.03 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -43%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588c…1bf4backed No | 68c | 548.8$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.89 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb3…2682backed Yes | 26c | 530.8$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.54 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedd1…b571backed Yes | 29c | 510$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0989…1b82backed Yes | 40c | 502.47$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b76…bf1dbacked No | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a91…5267backed Yes | 17c | 500$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 18cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 12c | 476$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6000…4a5ebacked Yes | 38c | 462.87$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.89 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7b…2a87backed Yes | 32c | 450.83$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.65 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 16c | 419.93$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.4 | 65 | 21.5%14 W · 51 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…3003backed No | 71c | 405$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.45 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcef…7388backed Yes | 9c | 400$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 5cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe52…32c5backed Yes | 13c | 400$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac06…f4f0backed Yes | 21c | 398.93$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x846d…4ab2backed Yes | 25c | 389$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4b…b93cbacked Yes | 10c | 389$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.68 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd45…59b2backed Yes | 5c | 373.58$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1af5…89babacked Yes | 15c | 329.71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.12 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…cbdcbacked No | 60c | 320.39$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.73 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0f…0522backed No | 78c | 301.31$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.95 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28a6…86a7backed No | 73c | 300$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.27per pick | 61cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e4…28aabacked Yes | 14c | 300$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed No | 77c | 296.6$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.06 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +47%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe434…a77abacked Yes | 5c | 284.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdc…5a2ebacked No | 77c | 280$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 5c | 278.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 10cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed Yes | 21c | 261.18$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.06 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23d8…710cbacked No | 65c | 259.91$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.17 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b93…9ec4backed No | 70c | 250$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +82.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5885…6562backed No | 75c | 250$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5880…a675backed Yes | 18c | 241.68$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…1a3ebacked No | 73c | 238.67$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.55 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +25%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91c7…b576backed Yes | 15c | 218$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.69 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x195d…446abacked Yes | 14c | 214.84$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0f…859abacked No | 70c | 214.29$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9deb…8108backed Yes | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc5…610ebacked Yes | 13c | 202.02$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.95 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.23per pick | 30cpaid | -90.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed No | 72c | 200.01$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.6 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ad…ff58backed Yes | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28f3…af5ebacked No | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad52…11acbacked Yes | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x437d…d079backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9722…5304backed No | 69c | 198.25$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…aeedbacked No | 77c | 194.44$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.33 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 8c | 180.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 80 | 13.8%11 W · 69 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Venezuela and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.